St Mirren vs Ayr United FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish League Cup

Scotland - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
27/07/2025 10:00
Ayr United FC

Prediction :

 

St Mirren wins

 
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 by Ian John | in Football Predictions

There is a crunch Scottish League Cup Group Stage game at St. Mirren Park this weekend as hosts St. Mirren welcome Ayr United in a game that will decide who tops the group. Only a win will be enough for the Saints, but Scott Brown's visiting Honest Men need only a point to ensure that they finish top of the group. What will our prediction be for this even-looking match?

St. Mirren finished sixth in the SPL last season with 50 points from 38 games, a comfortable position for Stephen Robinson's team. Similarly, Ayr finished in third place in the Scottish Championship, earning themselves a spot in the playoffs after amassing 63 points from 36 games. However, in the playoffs they were beaten by Partick Thistle.

In the Scottish League Cup Group Stage, St. Mirren began with a 0-0 away draw with Arbroath, losing out on a bonus point by losing the penalty shootout. Since then though they have been excellent, earning a 2-1 away win over Forfar and then thrashing Annan Athletic 8-2 at home in their most recent game. The Saints are on a 12-game unbeaten run.

Despite that good form, the Saints are only second in the group due to Ayr's 100% record. They began in style, with a 6-1 away win over Annan Athletic before comfortably despatching Arbroath 4-0 at home and then did likewise in their second home game, earning a 3-0 win over Forfar.

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St Mirren v Ayr United FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.72 3.8 4.3
1xbet
1.75 4.01 4.01
Melbet
1.61 4.2 4.49
Betwinner
1.75 4.01 4.01
Bet365
1.67 3.9 4
Check all St Mirren vs Ayr United FC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between St Mirren and Ayr United FC?

Our prediction for the St Mirren vs Ayr United FC match is: St. Mirren wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/07/2025 between St Mirren and Ayr United FC in Scottish League Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.36% for a win of St Mirren against Ayr United FC with odds of 1.75 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St Mirren vs Ayr United FC is 18.13% with odds of 4.2 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Ayr United FC vs St Mirren with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.

St Mirren - Ayr United FC Prediction and Best Odds:

St Mirren Ayr United FC Prediction Probability Odds
St Mirren wins 57.36% 1.75 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 63.18% 1.97 at Stake
Both Team To Score 54.76%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St Mirren 25.44% 4.75 at Bet365

St Mirren vs Ayr United FC Form

St Mirren and Ayr United FC's standings in the Scottish League Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 St Mirren
10 4 3 1 0 +6
2 Ayr United FC
9 4 3 0 1 +11

St Mirren and Ayr United FC Last Matches

St Mirren
St Mirren Last matches
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
8 :  2
Annan Athletic FC

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Forfar Athletic FC
1 :  2
St Mirren

12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Arbroath
0 :  0
St Mirren

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
St Mirren

28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Dumbarton
0 :  4
St Mirren

17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  1
St Mirren
W W D W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
8 :  2
Annan Athletic FC

14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Hibernian

3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Aberdeen

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Rangers

12 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
3 :  2
Ross County

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
5 :  1
Kilmarnock
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Forfar Athletic FC
1 :  2
St Mirren

12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Arbroath
0 :  0
St Mirren

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
St Mirren

28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Dumbarton
0 :  4
St Mirren

17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  1
St Mirren

10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  2
St Mirren
Ayr United FC
Ayr United FC Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Ayr United FC
3 :  0
Forfar Athletic FC

19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Ayr United FC
4 :  0
Arbroath

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Annan Athletic FC
1 :  6
Ayr United FC

4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Ayr United FC

1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Spartans
3 :  2
Ayr United FC

9 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Ayr United FC
0 :  2
Partick Thistle FC
W D D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Ayr United FC
3 :  0
Forfar Athletic FC

19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Ayr United FC
4 :  0
Arbroath

9 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Ayr United FC
0 :  2
Partick Thistle FC

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish Championship

Ayr United FC
2 :  2
Queens Park

11 Apr 2025 - Scottish Championship

Ayr United FC
1 :  1
Falkirk

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Championship

Ayr United FC
3 :  0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Annan Athletic FC
1 :  6
Ayr United FC

4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Ayr United FC

1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Spartans
3 :  2
Ayr United FC

6 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Partick Thistle FC
0 :  1
Ayr United FC

2 May 2025 - Scottish Championship

Airdrieonians FC
0 :  1
Ayr United FC

18 Apr 2025 - Scottish Championship

Livingston
5 :  0
Ayr United FC

St Mirren - Ayr United FC Key Points

  1. St. Mirren are unbeaten in their last 12 games (W8, D4).
  2. St. Mirren's last two home games have seen them score ten goals, with just three conceded.
  3. Ayr's most recent game against SPL opponents saw them lose 1-0 in a friendly to Kilmarnock on July 4th.
  4. St. Mirren have won six of the last nine games between the two teams (D2, L1).
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Our St Mirren vs Ayr United FC Prediction

Our prediction for the St. Mirren vs. Ayr United Scottish League Cup Group Stage match is: St. Mirren wins the match.

The winner of this game will top the group in this final match of the group stage, so there's plenty to play for here. Ayr have a 100% record in this competition, but have a poor record against St. Mirren. With home advantage, and after scoring eight past Annan Athletic in their last home game, the smart money should be on a win for the Saints.

Prediction :

 

St Mirren wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St Mirren Ayr United FC

St Mirren vs Ayr United FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
St Mirren wins 1.26 1.75 +38.9%
Draw 5.5 4.2 -23.6%
Ayr United FC wins 8.25 5.25 -36.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • St Mirren is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 38.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 79.4% and is now 57.1% (-22.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

St Mirren vs Ayr United FC Prediction