Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Reigning champions Sporting Lisbon eyes a routine win over Nacional Madeira in Round 20 to keep the pressure on Porto FC. Os Leões (The Lions) trail the league leaders by seven points, and will be looking to cut it to four while hoping their rivals slip up. Find out the best bet in this match prediction.
Sporting Lisbon is still on a high after qualifying in the top 8 of the Champions League thanks to a stoppage-time winner. That win now makes it four in a row—a run which also saw them beat PSG. The next challenge is mounting pressure on Porto with another win.
The Lions would especially feel confident going up against a low-scoring Madeira side that they already thrashed 4-1 this season. For Nacional, they cannot afford too many slipups in this second half of the season, considering that only five points separate them from the relegation playoffs zone.
And after just beating Rio Ave 4-0, they might just feel they can salvage something against something for the first time in a decade. However, with four losses in its last five away games and no defeats, it's hard to see how Alvinegros (White-and-Black) will beat Sporting in its fortress. See key betting stats below.
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Sporting Lisbon v Nacional Madeira Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.15 | 7.8 | 16 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.7 | 16 |
|
|
1.08 | 12 | 22 |
|
|
1.13 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.6 | 18 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira match is: Both Teams To Score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/02/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 75.82% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.17 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira is 15.02% with odds of 12 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 22 at Betwinner.
Sporting Lisbon - Nacional Madeira Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Nacional Madeira Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 75.82% | 1.17 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.43% | |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 42.07% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Form
Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 |
|
14
|
34 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 |
Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2024 - Portugal League Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 May 2021 - Liga Portugal
8 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon against Nacional Madeira Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Virginia
DefenderG. Vagiannidis
Goncalo Inacio
R. Mangas
MidfielderA. Santos
D. Braganca
G. Kochorashvili
S. Faye
F. Trincao
K. Medeiros de Freitas
DefenderF. Goncalves
MidfielderA. Sousa
Deivison
C. Labidi
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
M. Baeza
W. Quembo
L. Joao
Missing players
I. Fernandes
Ulisses
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Nacional Madeira
L. Suarez
(28 Goals)
J. Ramirez
(18 Goals)
F. Trincao
(11 Assists)
J. Mendes Gomes
(5 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Nacional Madeira Key Points
- Sporting CP has conceded the second-fewest goals this season (10).
- Sporting CP has kept the second-most clean sheets this season (10).
- Sporting CP has conceded only three goals at home this season (the second-fewest).
- Sporting CP hasn't conceded a single goal in its last five home league games.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira Prediction
Even with their earlier bout this season ending 4-1, we don't see goals from both sides in this game. The likely outcome is Sporting CP winning this game without conceding a goal, considering its incredibly crazy scoring form and seemingly impenetrable defence.
But to stay safe, we’ll just take the “BTTS - No”, which wins even with a 0-0 outcome or shocking goalless defeat for Os Leões. Hence, our Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira prediction is Both Teams To Score - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Nacional Madeira
| Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.17 | 1.17 | 0% |
| Draw | 7.3 | 12 | +64.4% |
| Nacional Madeira wins | 17.5 | 22 | +25.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 85.5% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Sporting Lisbon vs. Nacional Madeira game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Sporting Lisbon and Nacional Madeira when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Liga Portugal!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
