Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
19/09/2026 15:30
Arouca

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Sporting Lisbon’s four-game Liga Portugal winning run ended following its recent draw with Famalicão. They sit four points above their next opponents, Arouca, who have picked up three wins in their past five games. Both teams are closely matched, so our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca match prediction is under 3.5 goals.

Arouca found the net but succumbed to a 2-1 defeat in their recent game against Santa Clara. They were also held to a 0-0 tie against Estoril despite winning three of their first four games. Arouca have also only conceded five goals in six games ahead of their trip to face 3rd-placed Sporting Lisbon, whose unbeaten run in the league remains.

Sporting Lisbon’s last game was a 1-1 tie with Familicao, ending their four-match winning run which followed their opening day draw at Estrela Amadora. Sporting Lisbon are now the second-highest-scoring side in the league with 15 goals in six games, and so we expect them to get on the scoresheet when they play Arouquenses. 

However, Arouca have only conceded five goals all season, one less than Leões, so we expect a quieter night when both teams play at the Estádio José Alvalade. Furthermore, only two of their past ten H2H meetings have ended with more than 3.5 goals, and we see no reason why Saturday will be different.

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Sporting Lisbon v Arouca Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.2 6.6 11
1xbet
1.19 7.75 16.5
Melbet
1.17 7.5 15
Betwinner
1.16 7.5 16
22bet
1.17 7.5 16
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca match is: Under 3.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.32% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.23 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca is 18.06% with odds of 7.75 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 16.5 at 1xbet.

Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Form

Sporting Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Sporting Lisbon
14 6 4 2 0 +9
5 Arouca
10 6 3 1 2 +3

Sporting Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Galatasaray

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Nacional Madeira

28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Galatasaray

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Nacional Madeira

22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Nottingham Forest

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Monaco
D D W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon
Arouca
Arouca Last matches
W W L W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Santa Clara

7 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  0
Arouca

29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  1
Maritimo

23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Arouca

16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
4 :  0
Moreirense

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca
W D W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Santa Clara

29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  1
Maritimo

16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
4 :  0
Moreirense

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  1
Tondela

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
2 :  2
Santa Clara

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  0
Estrela Amadora
L W D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  0
Arouca

23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Arouca

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Famalicao
0 :  0
Arouca

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  3
Arouca

24 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  1
Arouca

Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

83 %

Draw

17 %

Arouca

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  2
Arouca

13 Sept 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

8 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Arouca
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction

Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca last Lineups

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Silva
22
I. Fresneda
6
Z. Debast
25
G. Inacio
20
M. Araujo
5
S. Altimira
77
I. Doumbia
10
G. Catamo
31
L. Guilherme
58
F. Goncalves
97
L. Suarez
17
Barbero
7
N. Djouahra
10
P. Gozalbez
19
A. Trezza
8
T. Fukui
6
E. Van Ee
18
O. Lebedenko
3
J. Fontán
15
J. Sanchez
28
T. Esgaio
12
I. De Arruabarrena

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Arouca

Substitutes

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

K. Pereira

Defender

R. Dias

Quaresma

G. Vagiannidis

Midfielder

R. Zalazar

P. Barros

S. Andersen

E. Felicissimo

J. Derry

Forward

F. Ioannidis

N. Irankunda

R. Nel

Arouca
Arouca
Goalkeeper

M. Silva Duarte

J. Vinarcik

Defender

M. Climent

B. Popovic

D. Monteiro

Midfielder

M. Flores

P. Santos

Forward

P. Si-hoo

D. Nandin

B. Mansilla

F. Mayulu

G. Rukavina

Missing players

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Forward

N. Santos

Arouca
Arouca
Midfielder

H. Lee

Forward

M. Puche Garcia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato Arouca
Top Goalscorer
Colombia L. Suarez (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain Barbero (4 Goals)
Best assists
Mozambique G. Catamo (3 Assists)
Best assists
France N. Djouahra (3 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon and Arouca Stats in Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Arouca
Arouca
67%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
33%
33%
Draws
17%
3.5
Average goals per match
2.17
2.5
Goals scored per match
1.33
1
Goals conceded per match
0.83
33%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
33%
No goals conceded
50%
67%
BTTS
33%

Sporting Lisbon - Arouca Key Points

  1. Sporting Lisbon played a 1-1 draw in their last game against Famalicão.
  2. Arouquenses have scored only two goals in their past four games
  3. Sporting has scored less than 3.5 goals this season in five out of six league games.
  4. Eight of their past ten H2H meetings have ended with fewer than 3.5 goals.
  5. Arouca has only scored eight goals in six games.
  6. Five out of six Arouca matches this season have ended with less than 3.5 goals.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction

The Leões welcome Arouca ahead of matchday seven. The home team will look to extend their unbeaten run against an Arouca side who have been very solid in defense. Sporting Lisbon’s form is stronger, and they have been more victorious in recent H2H meetings, so a victory for them will be no surprise. 

However, we expect a low-scoring tie with fewer than four goals due to the away side’s defensive solidity. Hence, our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca prediction is Under 3.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.