Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon’s four-game Liga Portugal winning run ended following its recent draw with Famalicão. They sit four points above their next opponents, Arouca, who have picked up three wins in their past five games. Both teams are closely matched, so our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca match prediction is under 3.5 goals.
Arouca found the net but succumbed to a 2-1 defeat in their recent game against Santa Clara. They were also held to a 0-0 tie against Estoril despite winning three of their first four games. Arouca have also only conceded five goals in six games ahead of their trip to face 3rd-placed Sporting Lisbon, whose unbeaten run in the league remains.
Sporting Lisbon’s last game was a 1-1 tie with Familicao, ending their four-match winning run which followed their opening day draw at Estrela Amadora. Sporting Lisbon are now the second-highest-scoring side in the league with 15 goals in six games, and so we expect them to get on the scoresheet when they play Arouquenses.
However, Arouca have only conceded five goals all season, one less than Leões, so we expect a quieter night when both teams play at the Estádio José Alvalade. Furthermore, only two of their past ten H2H meetings have ended with more than 3.5 goals, and we see no reason why Saturday will be different.
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Sporting Lisbon v Arouca Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.2 | 6.6 | 11 |
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1.19 | 7.75 | 16.5 |
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1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
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1.16 | 7.5 | 16 |
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1.17 | 7.5 | 16 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca match is: Under 3.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.32% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.23 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca is 18.06% with odds of 7.75 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 16.5 at 1xbet.
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Form
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +9 |
|
5
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 |
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Pereira
DefenderR. Dias
Quaresma
G. Vagiannidis
MidfielderR. Zalazar
P. Barros
S. Andersen
E. Felicissimo
J. Derry
ForwardF. Ioannidis
N. Irankunda
R. Nel
M. Silva Duarte
J. Vinarcik
DefenderM. Climent
B. Popovic
D. Monteiro
MidfielderM. Flores
P. Santos
ForwardP. Si-hoo
D. Nandin
B. Mansilla
F. Mayulu
G. Rukavina
Missing players
N. Santos
H. Lee
ForwardM. Puche Garcia
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca Stats in Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Arouca Key Points
- Sporting Lisbon played a 1-1 draw in their last game against Famalicão.
- Arouquenses have scored only two goals in their past four games
- Sporting has scored less than 3.5 goals this season in five out of six league games.
- Eight of their past ten H2H meetings have ended with fewer than 3.5 goals.
- Arouca has only scored eight goals in six games.
- Five out of six Arouca matches this season have ended with less than 3.5 goals.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction
The Leões welcome Arouca ahead of matchday seven. The home team will look to extend their unbeaten run against an Arouca side who have been very solid in defense. Sporting Lisbon’s form is stronger, and they have been more victorious in recent H2H meetings, so a victory for them will be no surprise.
However, we expect a low-scoring tie with fewer than four goals due to the away side’s defensive solidity. Hence, our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca prediction is Under 3.5 Goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.