Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina Prediction & Betting Tips - Chance Liga
Czech Republic - Chance Liga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Sparta Prague will welcome MFK Karvina to the epet ARENA on matchday 28 of the Czech First League. Prague are in second place in the league standings while Karvina are in eighth. Here's our match prediction.
Sparta Prague will be hoping the international break, now behind them, has had a positive impact. The Czech giants went into the break on a disappointing run of results. They had won just one of their last five matches across all competitions. This includes a 4-0 home defeat against AZ Alkmaar in the second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League last 16.
Their most recent league game was a 5-2 home thrashing of Slovacko. That result marked their sixth win in nine games.
In familiar territory, Iron Sparta have won their last three matches. This comes after failing to win three games in a row. It's worth noting that they boast the league's second-best home record.
MFK Karvina also went into the break low on confidence. This is largely due to a string of disappointing results, recording just one win in eight matches across all competitions. That single victory came against Viktoria Plzen in the MOL Cup quarter-finals.
Their recent league game was against Sigma Olomouc. Despite walking away with a point in a thrilling 2-2 draw, that result extended their winless run to seven games (D1, L6).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sparta Prague v MFK Karvina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.28 | 5.6 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.7 | 9.05 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.4 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.2 | 8.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Prague and MFK Karvina?
Our prediction for the Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina match is: Sparta Prague wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2026 between Sparta Prague and MFK Karvina in Chance Liga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.75% for a win of Sparta Prague against MFK Karvina with odds of 1.32 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina is 19.98% with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.28% chance ⭐ for a win of MFK Karvina vs Sparta Prague with odds of 9.2 at Betwinner.
Sparta Prague - MFK Karvina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sparta Prague MFK Karvina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 55.75% | 1.32 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.86% | |
| Both Team To Score | 53.13% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sparta Prague/Sparta Prague | 25.67% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina Form
Sparta Prague and MFK Karvina's standings in the Chance Liga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
63 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +27 |
|
9
|
39 | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | -8 |
Sparta Prague and MFK Karvina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
3 Mar 2026 - Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
28 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
15 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Chance Liga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
3 Mar 2026 - Cup
22 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
8 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
31 Jan 2026 - Chance Liga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
5 Mar 2026 - Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
21 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
14 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
5 Mar 2026 - Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
14 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
1 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
25 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
21 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
7 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
13 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2025 - Chance Liga
29 Nov 2025 - Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Chance Liga
15 Feb 2025 - Chance Liga
3 Dec 2024 - Chance Liga
10 Feb 2024 - Chance Liga
Players list
J. Surovcik
DefenderJ. Martinec
A. Sorensen
J. Zeleny
O. Sonne
MidfielderH. Sochurek
K. Kairinen
L. Haraslin
A. Irving
ForwardM. Vojta
J. Mercado
V. Neuman
DefenderA. Labik
Storman
P. Kacor
Y. Skyba
S. Camara
J. Fleisman
MidfielderL. Ezeh
D. Samko
J. Kristan
S. Bohac
Substitutes
S. Zajac
D. Kerl
DefenderA. Sevinsky
F. Panak
P. Kaderabek
S. Eneme
A. Rrahmani
G. Kuol
J. Grimaldo
J. Kuchta
O. Mrozek
J. Lapes
DefenderN. Milic
F. Prebsl
MidfielderY. Lawali
S. Sloncik
A. Traore
J. Chytry
J. Fiala
ForwardK. Guimaraes da Silva
O. Conde
Most goals and assists
Sparta Prague
MFK Karvina
L. Haraslin
(13 Goals)
E. Ayaosi
(6 Goals)
Sparta Prague - MFK Karvina Key Points
- Sparta Prague have seen their last four matches across all competitions end with over 2.5 goals.
- MFK Karvina's last three matches across all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Sparta Prague are averaging 2.54 goals per game when playing at home.
- MFK Karvina are winless in their last three away league games.
- Sparta Prague have won their last five home league games against MFK Karvina, scoring three or more goals in four outings.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina Prediction
Sparta Prague's recent league game against Slovacko was a show of dominance from start to finish. They scored five goals, and that firepower is hardly surprising for a side that is averaging 2.08 goals per game this season.
This fixture is an opportunity for them to secure their second straight league win and exact revenge on Karvina. The visitors won 2-1 in the previous fixture, halting a ten-match winless run. Replicating the same performance could prove difficult considering their away form. They are winless in three games. Our Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina prediction: Sparta Prague wins and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sparta Prague MFK Karvina
| Sparta Prague vs MFK Karvina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 1.37 | 1.32 | -3.6% |
| Draw | 5.05 | 5.8 | +14.9% |
| MFK Karvina wins | 6.87 | 9.2 | +33.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sparta Prague is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.0% and is now 75.8% (2.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Sparta Prague vs. MFK Karvina game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Sparta Prague and MFK Karvina when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Chance Liga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
