Spain vs Iraq Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
FIFA World Cup 2026 preparations continue on Thursday evening with Spain taking on Iraq at Estadio Municipal de Riazor. La Roja have not lost any of their last 28 matches in regulation time, and our prediction is that they will be far too strong for the Lions of Mesopotamia.
Spain are one of the favourites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and they came through qualifying with flying colours, winning five and drawing just one of their six group-stage matches.
La Roja played to a goalless draw against Egypt in March and are unbeaten in eight since the Nations League final. They kept clean sheets in all but one match during this unbeaten run.
This week’s hosts have not lost a match on home soil since a friendly against Colombia in March 2014. Their only previous match against Iraq ended in a 1-0 win back in 2009.
Meanwhile, it is set to be a huge summer for Iraq, who qualified for the World Cup for the first time in four decades by winning all six of their AFC WC qualification matches.
The Lions of Mesopotamia also defeated Andorra 1-0 in a friendly last Friday. They featured in the FIFA Arab Cup at the end of 2025 but bowed out in the quarter-finals 1-0 to Jordan.
Excluding the FIFA Arab Cup, the visitors are unbeaten in their last four away games and kept clean sheets in three of those matches.
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Spain v Iraq Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 9.2 | 25 |
|
|
1.08 | 12.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.08 | 12.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.07 | 12 | 21 |
|
|
1.06 | 12 | 25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and Iraq?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Iraq match is: Spain wins & BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/06/2026 between Spain and Iraq in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.75% for a win of Spain against Iraq with odds of 1.08 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs Iraq is 23.25% with odds of 23 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 17% chance ⭐ for a win of Iraq vs Spain with odds of 70 at Betsson.
Spain - Iraq Prediction and Best Odds:
| Spain Iraq Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 59.75% | 1.08 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.12% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 71.43% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Spain/Spain | 33.32% | 1.33 at Bet365 |
Spain vs Iraq Form
Spain and Iraq Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
12 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - King's Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
12 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Players list
J. Garcia
DefenderJ. Martin
A. Grimaldo
P. Porro
A. Laporte
MidfielderGavi
M. Bernal
A. Baena
ForwardB. Iglesias
D. Olmo
F. Torres
A. Basil
DefenderM. Doski
Z. Tahseen
A. Hashim
H. Ali
MidfielderZ. Ismael
I. Bayesh
A. Alammari
ForwardAli Jasim
M. Farji
A. Alhamadi
Substitutes
L. Roman
U. Simon
DefenderM. Pubill
J. Rodriguez
P. Cubarsi
M. Llorente
E. Garcia
J. Guerra
B. Turrientes
M. Merino
G. Garcia
J. Rodriguez Caraballo
Y. Pino
S. Gomez
J. Hassan
F. Talib
DefenderA. Yahya
M. Younus
M. Saadoon
R. Sulaka
F. Putros
Z. Iqbal
Y. Amyn
A. Sher
K. Yakob
A. Qasem
A. Hussein
M. Ali
A. Yousif
Spain - Iraq Key Points
- Spain are the number-two-ranked team in the world.
- Spain have not lost any of their last 28 matches in regulation time.
- Spain have kept clean sheets in four of their last five home games.
- Spain have scored two or more goals in 14 of their last 15 matches.
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Our Spain vs Iraq Prediction
Iraq have been one of the more impressive teams from the AFC region over the last couple of years, but while they have only lost two of their last 13 matches in all competitions, this is by far their toughest opponent during this period.
Spain will be determined to put their Nations League disappointment behind them in North America this summer, and they will want to lay down a marker here. We fancy La Roja to win this one comfortably. Our Spain vs Iraq prediction is Spain wins & BTTS (NO).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Spain Iraq
| Spain vs Iraq | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins | 1.02 | 1.08 | +5.9% |
| Draw | 20 | 23 | +15.0% |
| Iraq wins | 54 | 70 | +29.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Spain is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 98.0% and is now 92.6% (-5.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Spain vs. Iraq game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
