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Spain vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Spain
04/09/2025 14:30
Greece

Prediction :

 

Spain Over 69.5 Points

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions

Spain clashes with Greece in a do-or-die FIBA Eurobasket Group C finale that will determine which team advances to the knockout stages and which goes home empty-handed. La Roja sits dangerously in fifth place, just outside the qualification zone, while Greece occupies second spot with only one point separating these desperate rivals. Find out our best Spain vs Greece match prediction.

The historical scoring patterns between these teams strongly favor Spanish offense whenever they meet on the court. Spain has been remarkably consistent against Greece, scoring at least 70 points in all eight of their head-to-head meetings dating back to 2008.

Even more telling, Spain has won three of their last four encounters against Greece while recording 70+ points in every single one of those games. Spain's recent offensive form adds another layer of confidence to this prediction. They've scored 70+ points in two of their last three games and reached that mark in seven of their last ten outings across all competitions. 

Greece's 80-77 loss to Bosnia & Herzegovina ended their perfect group stage record, but that defeat also highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. They've allowed over 69.5 points in six of their last ten games, creating exactly the kind of environment where Spain's attack can flourish. With Spain needing a win to reach the knockouts and Greece fighting to secure top spot, this final group game should see both teams going all out from the opening tip.

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The Best Betting Odds for Spain v Greece Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.25 1.36
William Hill
3 1.36
Betway
3.2 1.35
Ladbrokes
3 1.33
Unibet
3.05 1.38
Check all Spain vs Greece odds
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Who will win the Spain vs Greece Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Spain vs Greece match is: Spain Over 69.5 Points.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Spain vs Greece game on 04/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Spain has a 55.7% chance to pick up the win against Greece according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.25.
  • There is a probability of 44.3% ⭐ for Greece to win vs Spain with odds of 1.38 at Unibet.

Spain vs Greece Form

Spain and Greece's standings in the EuroBasket

Teams Pts P W L Series
1
Greece
Greece
9 5 4 1 1
5
Spain
Spain
7 5 2 3 -2

Spain and Greece Last Matches

Spain
Spain Last matches
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
67 :  63
Spain

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

23 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
105 :  106
Germany

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
67 :  75
France

7 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
87 :  73
Czechia

5 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Spain
74 :  76
Portugal
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
67 :  63
Spain

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

23 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Germany
95 :  78
Spain

16 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
78 :  73
Spain

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Latvia
83 :  66
Spain

22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Slovakia
72 :  76
Spain
Greece
Greece Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
69 :  61
Montenegro
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Czechia
89 :  93
Greece

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Great Britain
73 :  72
Greece

6 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece

Spain vs Greece Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

Players list

Spain
Spain
S. De Larrea S. Aldama S. Yusta J. Pradilla J. Parra
Greece
Greece
D. Katsivelis T. Dorsey K. Sloukas G. Antetokounmpo K. Papanikolaou

Substitutes

Spain
Spain
W. Hernangomez Y. Sima M. Saint-Supery Fernandez D. Brizuela J. Hernangomez X. Lopez-Arostegui J. Puerto
Greece
Greece
G. Larentzakis V. Toliopoulos K. Antetokounmpo T. Antetokounmpo D. Mitoglou P. Kalaitzakis A. Samodurov

Spain - Greece Key Points

  1. Spain have scored at least 70 points in all eight head-to-head meetings with Greece dating back to 2008.
  2. Spain have won three of their last four meetings against Greece, recording 70+ points in each game.
  3. Spain have scored 70+ points in two of their last three games across all competitions.
  4. Spain have made 70 or more points in seven of their last ten games.
  5. Greece have allowed over 69.5 points in six of their last ten games.
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Our Spain vs Greece Prediction

We believe Spain’s perfect scoring record in this head-to-head matchup provides the foundation for confidence heading into this crucial encounter. La Roja knows they need a strong attacking display to keep their knockout stage hopes alive, while Greece's recent defensive struggles suggest they'll have difficulty containing the Spanish offense.

With both teams playing for their tournament lives, we should see an open, entertaining contest that allows Spain to continue their remarkable scoring consistency against Greece. Hence, our Spain vs Greece prediction is Spain Over 69.5 Points.

Prediction :

 

Spain Over 69.5 Points

 
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bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Spain and Greece? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Spain vs Greece Prediction
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