Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Southampton
07/02/2026 07:30
Watford

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score - Yes

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions

Prepare for another dramatic mid-table clash when Southampton hosts Watford in Round 31. The Saints are down to 14th in the Championship but are only four points behind the Hornets at 8th. Can Southampton bag another home win, or will this be another stalemate like the last meeting? Let's get into our match prediction!

Southampton are steadily building momentum after going three games unbeaten. Since their defeat to Hull, the Saints have now beaten Sheffield United (1-0), drawn Portsmouth (1-1), and broken Stoke’s defensive wall to win 2-0 on the road.

They haven't improved much in terms of table position, but are now stable and poised to skyrocket a few places if they can snag a win here. But Watford are determined to make life hell for Southampton as they themselves look to overturn a string of winless performances.

The latest outing was a 0-0 draw against Hull, but that has extended The Hornets winless run to six straight games. That slump came as a shock, considering Watford won the four games prior and went 12 of its previous 13 games unbeaten. Southampton definitely arrives with better form, but Watford are just as capable of travelling back unbeaten.

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Southampton v Watford Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.98 3.5 3.7
Melbet
1.96 3.6 3.59
Betwinner
1.89 3.65 3.79
Bet365
1.91 3.5 3.8
Roobet
1.95 3.5 3.8
Check all Southampton vs Watford odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Watford?

Our prediction for the Southampton vs Watford match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Southampton and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.73% for a win of Southampton against Watford with odds of 1.98 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Watford is 39.75% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Southampton with odds of 4.02 at 888Starz.

Southampton - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Southampton wins 40.73% 1.98 at Stake
Under 2.5 50.37% 2.05 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 66.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton 17.82% 5 at Bet365

Southampton vs Watford Form

Southampton and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Southampton
80 46 22 14 10 +26
16 Watford
57 46 14 15 17 -12

Southampton and Watford Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
Southampton

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Sheffield United

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Hull

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Doncaster
2 :  3
Southampton

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton
W W D D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Sheffield United

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Hull

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Millwall

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
West Brom

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham
L D L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
Southampton

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Doncaster
2 :  3
Southampton

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  1
Southampton
Watford
Watford Last matches
L L D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  0
Watford

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Swansea

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Watford

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Portsmouth

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Millwall

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Bristol City
5 :  1
Watford
D W W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Swansea

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Portsmouth

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Millwall

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday
D W W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  0
Watford

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Watford

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Bristol City
5 :  1
Watford

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  2
Watford

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

Southampton vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

33 %

Draw

50 %

Watford

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Southampton

13 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  2
Watford

6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Watford

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford
1 :  1
Southampton

9 Dec 2023 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Southampton

13 Mar 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Watford

Southampton against Watford Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

41
D. Peretz
14
J. Bree
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
5
J. Stephens
34
Welington
20
C. Jander
4
F. Downes
18
T. Fellows
10
F. Azaz
13
L. Scienza
11
R. Stewart
20
M. Doumbia
8
G. Chakvetadze
39
E. Kayembe
42
O. Maamma
10
I. Louza
23
N. Mendy
16
M. Bola
21
S. Mfuni
25
J. Abankwah
2
J. Ngakia
1
E. Selvik

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Watford

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

N. Wood

T. Fellows 90'

E. Jelert

Midfielder

S. Charles

F. Downes 38'

K. Matsuki

R. Manning

Forward

C. Archer

S. Edozie

L. Scienza 67'

C. Larin

R. Stewart 67'

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

F. Mendy

N. Mendy 85'

S. Goglichidze

S. Mfuni 70'

J. Petris

J. Ngakia 85'

Midfielder

J. Grieves

T. Ince

Forward

K. Baah

O. Maamma 86'

V. Semedo

L. Kjerrumgaard

M. Doumbia 63'

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

M. Roerslev

Watford
Watford
Midfielder

H. Kyprianou

P. Dwomoh

R. Vata

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Goals)
England A. Armstrong (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (10 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil L. Scienza (9 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (9 Assists)

Southampton - Watford Key Points

  1. Southampton has scored the 6th-most goals this season (43).
  2. Watford has scored 39 goals, averaging 1.3 goals per game.
  3. Southampton has also conceded the 6th-most goals (41), allowing 1.36 per game.
  4. Watford has kept the 3rd-fewest clean sheets (5), while Southampton has kept the 4th-fewest (6).
  5. Both teams have scored in four of their last five meetings.
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Our Southampton vs Watford Prediction

Goals should flow from both ends in this one, just like in their 2-2 meeting earlier this season. And while Watford aren't in form, there's an interesting dynamic here. Southampton are already betting the 6th-most goals, but are also allowing the 6th-most, underscoring their offence-heavy play that leaves The Saints vulnerable at the back.

Additionally, Watford, who haven't conceded as much, have actually kept the 3rd-fewest clean sheets, meaning they tend to concede more across many games than many in one. Hence, our Southampton vs Watford prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score - Yes

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Watford

Southampton vs Watford Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Southampton wins 1.83 1.98 +8.2%
Draw 3.65 3.7 +1.4%
Watford wins 4.1 4.02 -2.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Southampton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 50.5% (-4.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Southampton vs Watford Prediction