Southampton vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions
Matchday two in the EFL Championship sees Southampton take on Stoke City at St. Mary's Stadium. With three wins in their last five home league meetings in this fixture, our prediction favors a comfortable Southampton win.
Southampton have one primary goal on their agenda this season: push for promotion. In the previous season, they finished in the promotion places, sitting in fourth place with 80 points.
Unfortunately, they couldn't secure promotion to the top flight due to a spying scandal that had them expelled. The Saints had won 2-1 on aggregate against Middlesbrough in the semi-finals.
Tonda Eckert's men began their current campaign on a rather disappointing note. Watford gave them a difficult time as they lost 2-1 on the road. This comes on the back of a comfortable 2-0 away win against Colchester in the first round of the EFL Cup.
Stoke City have posted identical results with their opponents in this upcoming encounter.
Their opening match in the 2026-27 Championship season resulted in a 2-1 home defeat against Swansea. This has left them sitting in 20th place, four places above their opponents who are at the bottom of the table on -4 points.
Prior to this, the Potters secured safe passage to the next round of the EFL Cup with a decisive 2-0 home victory against Oldham in the first round.
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Southampton v Stoke Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.64 | 4 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.64 | 4 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.02 |
|
|
1.63 | 4 | 4.93 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Stoke match is: Southampton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Southampton and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.49% for a win of Southampton against Stoke with odds of 1.67 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Stoke is 21.33% with odds of 4.1 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Southampton with odds of 5.2 at Shangrila.
Southampton vs Stoke Form
Southampton and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
24
|
-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Southampton and Stoke Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - Championship
28 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
20 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
Southampton vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
3 Oct 2023 - Championship
30 Sept 2017 - Premier League
Southampton vs Stoke last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Long
DefenderN. Wood
Welington
MidfielderT. Fellows
F. Azaz
ForwardC. Archer
B. Brereton
D. Mubama
S. Edozie
J. Griffiths
DefenderB. Gibson
F. Anderson
M. Talovierov
MidfielderB. Jun-ho
D. Soumare
B. Pearson
ForwardR. Bozenik
T. Martin
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Stoke
C. Larin
(1 Goals)
E. Bocat
(1 Goals)
C. Bragg
(1 Assists)
T. Rigo
(1 Assists)
Southampton and Stoke Stats in Championship
Southampton - Stoke Key Points
- Southampton's last league game against Stoke City was a 2-0 away victory.
- Stoke City concluded last season with a nine-match winless run on the road.
- Southampton boasted the joint-third-best home record in the 2025-26 EFL Championship season.
- Stoke City have lost three of their last five away Championship games against Southampton.
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Our Southampton vs Stoke Prediction
Southampton began the season with a four point deduction because of breaking integrity rules related to the spying scandal. It's quite obvious that the Saints have a challenging road ahead in their promotion pursuit.
The hosts suffered defeat in their opening match but we expect them to bounce back here. So far, they've won three of their last five Championship home games in this fixture. Stoke City concluded last season on the road with a nine match winless run suggesting they could face another difficult afternoon. That said, expect a comfortable home win. Our Southampton vs Stoke City prediction: Southampton wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
