England - Championship
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions
Southampton have had an unbeaten return to the Championship and will hope to slow down the sprinting Stoke City. These two sides will face off in the third round of matches in the Championship, and below we have a prediction.
Southampton are looking to rise into the top six in these early days of the season. They have shown intent by winning four of a possible six points to start off life back in the second tier. The Saints also had a morale boost in beating Northampton 1-0 in the League Cup.
Heading into this match, a tight outing against fellow relegated side Ipswich Town produced a 1-1 draw.
Stoke City are having a good start to the season, as they look to do better than their performance last season. The Potters finished the 2024/25 campaign in 18th place, just two points above the relegation zone.
Looking to avoid the relegation scrap, Stoke City seek to bag as many points as they can early enough, and so far they’ve done just that.
The visitors come here sitting top of the standings with six points. They beat Derby 3-1 to start the season, and followed it up with a 3-0 win at Sheffield Wednesday. In between, they beat Walsall on post-match penalties in the League Cup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.75 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 4.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Stoke match is: Stoke City to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Southampton and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.82% for a win of Southampton against Stoke with odds of 1.74 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Stoke is 23.28% with odds of 3.9 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Southampton with odds of 4.8 at 22bet.
Southampton vs Stoke Form
Southampton and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
8
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Southampton and Stoke Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
Southampton vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
3 Oct 2023 - Championship
30 Sep 2017 - Premier League
21 May 2017 - Premier League
14 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Southampton vs Stoke last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Bree
MidfielderW. Smallbone
S. Gallagher
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Stoke
J. Stephens
(1 Goals)
, 
R. Manning
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandes
(1 Goals)
,
J. Robinson
(1 Goals)
D. Mubama
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Manhoef
(2 Goals)
R. Fraser
(1 Assists)
S. Thomas
(2 Assists)
Southampton - Stoke Key Points
- Stoke’s last five league matches produced 15 goals.
- Stoke City lost once in their last five away league games.
- Five goals were scored the last time these two sides faced off.
- In their last 11 home matches, Southampton managed just one win.
- Over 2.5 goals were realized in each of Stoke’s first two league matches.
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Our Southampton vs Stoke Prediction
Southampton haven’t had a great run in their recent competitive matches, especially at home. But their solid start in the Championship points to a team pushing for an immediate return to the Premier League. They have one win in 11 home matches, which isn’t a run worth banking on.
Stoke City, who are also off to a solid start, will want to look at that as a cue. They have two wins in two to start their season and will be confident going into this game. Our prediction for Southampton v Stoke City is for Stoke City to win and over 2.5 goals.
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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