Southampton vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Southampton
24/02/2026 15:00
QPR

Prediction :

 

Southampton wins

 
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 by Ian John | in Championship Predictions

Southampton will welcome Queens Park Rangers to St Mary's on Tuesday night as the Saints seek to continue their excellent recent form against the Hoops. QPR though will be aiming to put a dent in the hosts rise up the table and enhance their own form with a win here. Here's our prediction for the match.

Just two spots separate the two teams in the current Championship table, and both have amassed 47 points from 33 games. Southampton lie eleventh buy virtue of a better goal difference than their opponents (+4 compared to -1). QPR occupy 13th spot in the table with Bristol Citty sandwiched between the two.

Southampton's recent form has been excellent with four wins and two draws in their last six. league games That run includes a 2-0 win at Stoke, a 1-0 win at home to Watford and then a dramatic 4-3 win at Leicester, nwhere they came from 3-0 down at half time to win 4-3. They then beat Leicester 2-1 in the FA Cup before last weekend's 1-1 home draw with Charlton.

QPR's recent form has been erratic, with two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last six in the league. That run includes a 0-0 draw away to Charlton Athletic and then a 3-1 home defeat against Blackburn Rovers. However, at the weekend they earned a superb 3-1 victory away at promotion-chasing Hull City.

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Southampton v QPR Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.71 3.95 4.5
Melbet
1.76 3.86 4.42
Betwinner
1.7 3.84 4.6
Bet365
1.66 3.9 4.5
Roobet
1.73 3.85 4.4
Check all Southampton vs QPR odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and QPR?

Our prediction for the Southampton vs QPR match is: Southampton wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/02/2026 between Southampton and QPR in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.79% for a win of Southampton against QPR with odds of 1.76 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs QPR is 31.5% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.71% chance ⭐ for a win of QPR vs Southampton with odds of 4.9 at LSbet.

Southampton - QPR Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton QPR Prediction Probability Odds
Southampton wins 52.79% 1.76 at Melbet
Under 2.5 51.15% 2.16 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score 56.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton 30.6% 4.75 at Bet365

Southampton vs QPR Form

Southampton and QPR's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Southampton
80 46 22 14 10 +26
15 QPR
58 46 16 10 20 -12

Southampton and QPR Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
D W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Leicester

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  4
Southampton

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Watford

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
Southampton
D L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Leicester

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Watford

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Sheffield United

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Hull

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Millwall
D L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  4
Southampton

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
Southampton

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Doncaster
2 :  3
Southampton

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton
QPR
QPR Last matches
D L W D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
1 :  3
QPR

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  3
Blackburn

6 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
QPR

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Coventry City

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  3
Wrexham

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  0
QPR
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  3
Blackburn

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Coventry City

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  3
Wrexham

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  1
Leicester
L L D D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
1 :  3
QPR

6 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
QPR

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  0
QPR

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
QPR

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  1
QPR

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
QPR

Southampton vs QPR Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

100 %

Draw

0 %

QPR

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Southampton

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

QPR
0 :  1
Southampton

26 Aug 2023 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
QPR

Southampton against QPR Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

41
D. Peretz
14
J. Bree
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
5
J. Stephens
3
R. Manning
4
F. Downes
20
C. Jander
27
K. Matsuki
10
F. Azaz
13
L. Scienza
9
C. Larin
26
R. Kolli
22
R. Kone
14
K. Saito
24
N. Madsen
15
I. Hayden
20
H. Vale
18
R. Norrington-Davies
37
R. Edwards
3
J. Dunne
27
A. Mbengue
13
J. Walsh

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

QPR

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

G. Long

Defender

E. Jelert

N. Wood

Midfielder

T. Fellows

K. Matsuki 75'

S. Charles

F. Downes 82'

C. Bragg

Forward

C. Archer

C. Larin 68'

S. Edozie

L. Scienza 75'

R. Stewart

F. Azaz 68'

QPR
QPR
Goalkeeper

B. Hamer

Defender

T. Smith

K. Morgan

N. Madsen 31'

Esquerdinha

R. Norrington-Davies 61'

K. Adamson

H. Vale 60'

J. Clarke-Salter

Midfielder

J. Varane

R. Kone 67'

D. Bennie

R. Kolli 46'

Forward

I. Alemayehu Mulugeta

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

M. Roerslev

QPR
QPR
Defender

Z. Larkeche

Forward

K. Dembele

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato QPR
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Goals)
England A. Armstrong (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast R. Kone (10 Goals) Jamaica R. Burrell (10 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil L. Scienza (9 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark N. Madsen (6 Assists)

Southampton - QPR Key Points

  1. Southampton are unbeaten in their last seven games in all competitions (W5, D2).
  2. QPR have won just one of their last eight away league games (D4, L3).
  3. Southampton have won six, drawn one and lost one of the last nine games between the two teams.
  4. The Saints were 2-1 winners when they played QPR at Loftus Road earlier this season.
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Our Southampton vs QPR Prediction

Our prediction for the Southampton vs. Queens Park Rangers Championship match is: Southampton wins.

There has been a huge improvement in form for Southampton over the last month or so and that has been the impetus for their climb up the table. QPR have been consistently inconsistent all season long, capable of great wins one week, then poor losses the next. This will be close based on their records, but with recent form on their side, it makes sense to back Southampton to land the victory here.

Prediction :

 

Southampton wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton QPR

Southampton vs QPR Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Southampton wins 1.69 1.76 +4.1%
Draw 3.96 4.1 +3.5%
QPR wins 4.51 4.9 +8.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Southampton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 56.8% (-2.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Southampton vs QPR Prediction