Southampton vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions
After their stalemate against Birmingham on Monday, Southampton returned to Championship action on Thursday, welcoming Millwall to St. Mary's Stadium. Can the Saints bounce back with a win against Millwall? Here is our prediction.
Cameron Archer's 71st-minute equalizer saved a point for Southampton at St. Andrews Stadium against Birmingham on Monday. They dominated their hosts, but fell short of the maximum three points. That result extended their winless run to four games (D2, L2) and saw them slip to 13th in the standings with 32 points – six points adrift of the top six.
Notably, Tonda Eckert's side boasted an efficient attack, scoring in their last 11 games, but have conceded in 10 of those. They have both scored and conceded in each of their last seven games, and most of their recent matches have produced high scorelines.
Millwall strengthened their bid for a play-off finish, leaping to fifth in the standings with 38 points after a 2–1 victory over Bristol City on Monday, thanks to Macaulay Langstaff's 55th-minute winner. That victory ended a four-game winless run for the Lions. They have conceded in four of their last five games, and in nine of their last 10 away fixtures, most of which produced at least three goals.
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Southampton v Millwall Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.81 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.42 | 3.92 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.76 | 4.37 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.55 | 3.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Millwall match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2026 between Southampton and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.52% for a win of Southampton against Millwall with odds of 1.97 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Millwall is 23.43% with odds of 3.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Southampton with odds of 4.4 at LSbet.
Southampton - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 52.52% | 1.97 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.08% | 1.95 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton | 23.57% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Millwall Form
Southampton and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
83 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 |
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
Southampton and Millwall Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
Southampton vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Feb 2024 - Championship
4 Nov 2023 - Championship
Southampton against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
J. Quarshie
MidfielderB. Williams
F. Azaz
T. Fellows
C. Jander
J. Robinson
A. Armstrong
S. Benda
DefenderD. McNamara
J. Bryan
W. Harding
MidfielderR. Bangura-Williams
B. Mitchell
A. Emakhu
A. Matthews
J. Howland
Missing players
M. Roerslev
L. Jensen
MidfielderM. Luongo
B. Baker
D. Kelly
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Millwall
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
, 
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
F. Azeez
(11 Goals)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
F. Azeez
(8 Assists)
Southampton - Millwall Key Points
- Southampton have scored 13 goals in their last four home matches, averaging 3.25 goals per contest.
- Southampton have both scored and conceded in each of their last seven matches.
- Nine of Southampton’s last 11 games have produced at least three goals.
- Millwall have conceded in four of their last five games.
- Millwall have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last 10 away games.
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Our Southampton vs Millwall Prediction
Southampton have been terrific on the attack, scoring with reckless abandon, particularly when playing at home. However, they have struggled to keep things tight at the back, conceding in most of their games. Millwall are also struggling with poor defending despite their stronger overall results this season.
Unsurprisingly, most of the two teams' recent games have been high-scoring affairs, producing at least three goals. Hence, we expect another goal-fest in Thursday's cracker. Our Southampton vs Millwall prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Millwall
| Southampton vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 1.64 | 1.97 | +20.1% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0% |
| Millwall wins | 5.17 | 4.4 | -14.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 50.8% (-10.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
