Southampton vs Leicester Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in FA Cup Predictions
Two days after clashing in the EFL Championship, Southampton and Leicester City are prepared to meet again, this time in the fourth round of the FA Cup. The match will be played at Southampton's home ground - St. Mary's Stadium. Here's our match prediction.
Southampton's hopes of reaching the EFL Championship promotion playoff spots received a major boost last time out. Facing Leicester City, they secured a narrow 4-3 away victory.
In that match, they achieved the impossible by staging a stunning comeback from three goals down. Apart from winning three consecutive matches, they remain unbeaten in five games.
The Saints now shift their focus to the FA Cup. They began in the third round and defeated Doncaster Rovers 3-2.
Leicester City had three points in the bag after punching their way to a three-goal lead. However, defensive lapses proved costly as they lost 4-3 at home against Southampton in the EFL Championship.
The Foxes are out to exact revenge on this opponent by securing their ticket to the next stage. However, that'll be easier said than done, considering they are winless in their last six matches, including a four-match losing streak.
Andy King's men are one-time FA Cup champions, having won the competition back in the 2020-21 season. They also began in the third round. Facing Cheltenham on the road, they won 2-0.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Southampton v Leicester Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.87 | 3.75 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.74 | 3.94 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.05 | 4.93 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.8 | 4 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.2 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Leicester match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Southampton and Leicester in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.06% for a win of Southampton against Leicester with odds of 1.87 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Leicester is 21.67% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Southampton with odds of 5.5 at Shangrila.
Southampton - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 58.06% | 1.87 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.79% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton | 21.73% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Leicester Form
Southampton and Leicester Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
25 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
25 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
5 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
Southampton vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Apr 2024 - Championship
15 Sept 2023 - Championship
Southampton against Leicester Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Peretz
DefenderT. Dobson-Ventura
J. Bree
F. Azaz
J. O'Brien Whitmarsh
Moses
B. Williams
S. Dibaga
N. Oyekunle
A. Begovic
DefenderK. Gray
L. Thomas
R. Pereira
W. Marcal
H. Winks
S. Thomas
D. Richards
P. Daka
Missing players
M. Roerslev
ForwardJ. Robinson
H. Souttar
Southampton - Leicester Key Points
- Southampton have seen both teams score in four of their last seven matches across all competitions.
- Leicester City have failed to score in just one of their last 16 matches across all competitions.
- Both teams scored in four of Southampton's last six home games against Leicester City.
- Leicester City have seen each of their last three away matches end with both teams scoring.
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Our Southampton vs Leicester Prediction
Southampton have Leicester City's number this season (W2). The home team will be hoping to make it three wins in a row for the first time. The last time they won more than three games against this opponent was in 2008 (W4). One of those wins was a 2-0 home victory in the FA Cup.
However, don't expect them to keep a clean sheet here. Neither side will be able to achieve this after their disastrous showing last time out. The visitors have consistently delivered BTTS outcomes as evidenced in 76% of their matches this season. Our Southampton vs Leicester City prediction: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Leicester
| Southampton vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 1.83 | 1.87 | +2.2% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 4.4 | +29.4% |
| Leicester wins | 4.6 | 5.5 | +19.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 53.5% (-1.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Southampton vs. Leicester game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Southampton and Leicester? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
