Southampton vs Charlton Athletic Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Southampton
21/02/2026 10:00
Charlton Athletic

Prediction :

 

Southampton to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions

Matchday 33 in the EFL Championship sees Southampton play host to Charlton Athletic at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton are in tenth place in the league standings, while Charlton are in 18th place. Here's our match prediction.

Southampton are in the hunt for the promotion playoff spots in the EFL Championship standings. At this point, the desired spot is easily attainable for them as they are two points behind the top six.

The Saints' recent match was an FA Cup fourth-round tie against Leicester City. With the support of their home crowd, they won 2-1 after extra time.

The attention now turns to league action. Consistency is their middle name, having avoided defeat in their last five matches (W4, D1). A narrow 4-3 away win to Leicester City last time out marked their third consecutive win. 

Charlton Athletic are treading with caution, having maintained a seven-point cushion over the relegation zone. With 13 games left to spare, a lot can happen during this period. 

It was unfortunate that they did not take a positive result from their recent league game against Portsmouth. A lack of cutting edge in the final third was the Addicks undoing as they succumbed to a 3-1 home defeat. In that match, they had 12 shots.

That result halted a three-match unbeaten run, in which they hadn't conceded a single goal. 

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Southampton v Charlton Athletic Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.54 4.2 5.8
Melbet
1.56 4.05 5.58
Betwinner
1.56 4.05 5.58
Bet365
1.51 4.2 5.75
Roobet
1.56 4.2 5.4
Check all Southampton vs Charlton Athletic odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Charlton Athletic?

Our prediction for the Southampton vs Charlton Athletic match is: Southampton to win and under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Southampton and Charlton Athletic in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.25% for a win of Southampton against Charlton Athletic with odds of 1.58 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Charlton Athletic is 27.92% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Charlton Athletic vs Southampton with odds of 6 at Tonybet.

Southampton - Charlton Athletic Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton Charlton Athletic Prediction Probability Odds
Southampton wins 57.25% 1.58 at LSbet
Under 2.5 51.64% 2.04 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 56.25%
Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton 24.17% 2.38 at Bet365

Southampton vs Charlton Athletic Form

Southampton and Charlton Athletic's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Southampton
80 46 22 14 10 +26
19 Charlton Athletic
53 46 13 14 19 -14

Southampton and Charlton Athletic Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Leicester

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  4
Southampton

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Watford

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
Southampton

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Sheffield United
D D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Leicester

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Watford

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Sheffield United

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Hull

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Millwall

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City
D L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  4
Southampton

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
Southampton

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Doncaster
2 :  3
Southampton

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic Last matches
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  3
Portsmouth

11 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Stoke

6 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
QPR

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  2
Charlton Athletic

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
4 :  0
Charlton Athletic

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Derby County
L W L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  3
Portsmouth

11 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Stoke

6 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
QPR

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Derby County

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Sheffield United

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Chelsea
D L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  2
Charlton Athletic

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
4 :  0
Charlton Athletic

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  2
Charlton Athletic

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Charlton Athletic

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  0
Charlton Athletic

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

Southampton vs Charlton Athletic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

100 %

Draw

0 %

Charlton Athletic

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

6
Total goals
100%
BTTS
5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  5
Southampton

Southampton against Charlton Athletic Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

41
D. Peretz
14
J. Bree
5
J. Stephens
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
3
R. Manning
4
F. Downes
24
S. Charles
18
T. Fellows
10
F. Azaz
13
L. Scienza
11
R. Stewart
99
L. Dykes
7
T. Campbell
19
L. Chambers
14
S. Carey
15
C. Coady
10
G. Docherty
28
C. Shichenje
17
A. Bell
5
L. Jones
2
K. Ramsay
1
T. Kaminski

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Charlton Athletic

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

G. Long

Defender

E. Jelert

N. Wood

Midfielder

C. Bragg

F. Downes 85'

K. Matsuki

T. Fellows 71'

C. Jander

S. Charles 65'

Forward

C. Archer

C. Larin

R. Stewart 71'

S. Edozie

L. Scienza 72'

Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
Goalkeeper

W. Mannion

Defender

M. Gillesphey

H. Clarke

C. Shichenje 90'

Midfielder

J. Rankin-Costello

C. Coventry

C. Coady 85'

L. Berry

Forward

C. Kelman

L. Dykes 85'

J. Fevrier

M. Leaburn

T. Campbell 66'

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

M. Roerslev

Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
Defender

J. Edwards

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Charlton Athletic
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Goals)
England A. Armstrong (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England S. Carey (8 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil L. Scienza (9 Assists)
Best assists
Scotland L. Dykes (3 Assists)

Southampton - Charlton Athletic Key Points

  1. Southampton have seen six of their last seven matches across all competitions end with under 3.5 goals
  2. Charlton Athletic have lost six of their last ten away league games.
  3. Southampton have won their last three league games.
  4. Five of Charlton Athletic's last seven league games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Southampton vs Charlton Athletic Prediction

Southampton are brimming with confidence, having won their last three league games. They have a superior squad to their opponents in this clash, which should be enough to see them secure a comfortable win. 

Charlton Athletic have already met Southampton in the EFL Championship, meaning this encounter marks the second meeting between the two sides. The first meeting ended in a 5-1 home thrashing. However, don't expect the hosts to run riot this time. Our Southampton vs Charlton Athletic prediction: Southampton to win and under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Southampton to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Charlton Athletic

Southampton vs Charlton Athletic Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Southampton wins 1.5 1.58 +5.3%
Draw 4.25 4.3 +1.2%
Charlton Athletic wins 6.75 6 -11.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Southampton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 63.3% (-3.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Southampton vs Charlton Athletic Prediction