South Africa vs Guinea Prediction & Betting Tips - African Nations Championship

Africa - African Nations Championship

South Africa
11/08/2025 10:00
Guinea

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions

South Africa will battle it out against Guinea, looking to register their first win of the 2024 African Nations Championships (Chan). The two nations are competing in Group C, where Guinea are third and South Africa fourth. Our prediction for this match follows below. 

Though not a win, South Africa’s 1-1 draw with Algeria to open their tournament will have felt like a win. This is because the North Africans were coming into the tie after a dominant 3-0 victory over co-hosts Uganda. 

Molefi Ntseki’s men started their campaign in Group C a round late due to the group having five teams. This meant they had ample time to analyse the Foxes, who many tip as favourites for this year’s title. The COSAFA nation is making its third Chan appearance. 

Guinea had an excellent start to their fourth Chan tournament, defeating Niger 1-0 on matchday one. Soulaymane Camara’s men were, however, unable to build on the result and fell 3-0 to Uganda in their very next game. 

The loss allowed Uganda to leapfrog them and nudge them out of the knockout qualification places. This, therefore, is a must-win match for the Syli Nationale, who will close out their group campaign against Algeria. 

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South Africa v Guinea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.97 3.15 3.35
1xbet
1.89 3.11 5.08
Melbet
1.94 3.02 4.84
Betwinner
1.88 3.1 5.05
Bet365
1.83 2.88 4.33
Check all South Africa vs Guinea odds

What is the prediction for the football match between South Africa and Guinea?

Our prediction for the South Africa vs Guinea match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/08/2025 between South Africa and Guinea in African Nations Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.41% for a win of South Africa against Guinea with odds of 2.13 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between South Africa vs Guinea is 27.1% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Guinea vs South Africa with odds of 5.25 at Betobet.

South Africa - Guinea Prediction and Best Odds:

South Africa Guinea Prediction Probability Odds
South Africa wins 47.41% 2.13 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 76.26% 1.33 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 88.1% 1.41 at Betsson
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: South Africa 33.47% 4.5 at LSbet

South Africa vs Guinea Form

South Africa and Guinea's standings in the African Nations Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 South Africa
6 4 1 3 0 +1
4 Guinea
4 4 1 1 2 -3

South Africa and Guinea Last Matches

South Africa
South Africa Last matches
D W D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Algeria
1 :  1
South Africa

15 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Angola
3 :  0
South Africa

13 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
3 :  1
Comoros

10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
0 :  0
Mauritius

7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
2 :  0
Zimbabwe

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

South Africa
0 :  0
Tanzania
L L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
3 :  1
Comoros

10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
0 :  0
Mauritius

7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
2 :  0
Zimbabwe

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

South Africa
0 :  0
Tanzania

4 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
0 :  1
Mozambique

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

South Africa
0 :  3
Lesotho
W D W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Algeria
1 :  1
South Africa

15 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Angola
3 :  0
South Africa

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Benin
0 :  2
South Africa

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Uganda
0 :  2
South Africa

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Congo Republic
1 :  1
South Africa

10 Sept 2024 - AFCON

South Sudan
2 :  3
South Africa
Guinea
Guinea Last matches
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Guinea
0 :  3
Uganda

4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Niger
0 :  1
Guinea

7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Guinea

4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Guinea

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  0
Guinea

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  0
Somalia
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Guinea
0 :  3
Uganda

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  0
Somalia

20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
4 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

16 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  0
DR Congo

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
4 :  1
Ethiopia

10 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  2
Tanzania
W L L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Niger
0 :  1
Guinea

7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Guinea

4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Guinea

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  0
Guinea

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Tanzania
1 :  0
Guinea

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Guinea

South Africa - Guinea Key Points

  1. Guinea have scored just one goal in two Chan fixtures.
  2. Guinea have kept one clean sheet in two matches in Group C.
  3. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in South Africa’s last five matches.
  4. South Africa have failed to score three times in their last six games.
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Our South Africa vs Guinea Prediction

Both Guinea and South Africa are under pressure to secure a positive result in this match. The two teams are highly favoured to make the knockout rounds, and a loss here will greatly hamper this. Guinea won their opener but were hammered 3-0 by Uganda in their last match.

We expect changes as they plot to shore up defensively as they did on matchday one. With SA, decent defensively and inconsistent on the opposite end, we could be in for a low-scoring affair. Our prediction for South Africa vs Guinea is for under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis South Africa Guinea

South Africa vs Guinea Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
South Africa wins 2.52 2.13 -15.5%
Draw 2.89 3.15 +9.0%
Guinea wins 3.22 5.25 +63.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • South Africa is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 39.7% and is now 46.9% (7.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

South Africa vs Guinea Prediction