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by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions
The match everyone has been waiting for is here; top seed Jannik Sinner will defend his US Open title against second seed Carlos Alcaraz. This fixture has grown to be one of the most anticipated matchups in tennis in recent seasons. Their 16th career showdown is also their fifth of the season and their sixth consecutive meeting as a championship match. Read on to find our prediction.
Sinner defeated 25th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime to advance to the final, while Alcaraz saw off the challenge of seventh seed Novak Djokovic. Though he has a strong head-to-head advantage over Sinner, Alcaraz isn’t favored by the bookies to win this match. That honor goes to Sinner, who hasn’t lost at the US Open since last year’s showpiece.
One thing should be certain, though, that we are in for a blockbuster matchup as the best two players in the world get to go head-to-head.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Carlos Alcaraz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 2.15 |
|
|
1.8 | 2.1 |
|
|
1.65 | 2.2 |
|
|
1.75 | 2 |
|
|
1.76 | 2.12 |
|
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Carlos Alcaraz wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 07/09/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 50.05% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 49.95% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 2.2 at Betway.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 50.05 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 50.05 % |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 49.95 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
6 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
4 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
5 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
8 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
18 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
19 Oct 2024 - Six King Slam
2 Oct 2024 - ATP Beijing Open
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz: Form Analysis
Jannik Sinner is on a 13-match winning streak at Flushing Meadows. Since defeating Mackenzie McDonald in the first round last year, the Italian has been on a tear in this event.
Now he is looking to become the first player in 17 years to defend his title. Sinner saw off the challenge of Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime in four sets.
He lost the second set with only three games won but recovered to secure victory in three hours and 19 minutes. Winner of 37 of 41 matches this season, Sinner has made the final of all four majors this year.
The 24-year-old, who is second in the live ranking, defended his Australian Open title and also overthrew Alcaraz at Wimbledon.
Sinner won two of the earlier three Grand Slams this season.
Carlos Alcaraz was denied the chance to win three consecutive Wimbledon titles by Sinner back in July. He will have the agony of that defeat in the back of his mind as he looks to dish out the same treatment here.
Alcaraz, a former champion in New York, has been in stunning form in his run to the final and throughout the season. The Spaniard has romped to the final without losing a set.
He made light work of his duel with Djokovic, a four-time US Open champion, racing to the win in two hours and 26 minutes. Alcaraz, who defeated Sinner to lift this year’s French Open, has compiled an incredible 60-6 record, culminating in six titles.
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Jannik Sinner & Carlos Alcaraz Squad Analysis
Jannik Sinner is renowned for his devastating two-sided backhand that almost has no counter. The Italian is a no-nonsense, aggressive baseliner and, with his lanky frame, has strong defensive capabilities.
Sinner's season, both before and after suspension, can only be summarized by one word: Dominance. He's had that in most of his matches, and it is the big quality he brings here.
Dominance, unpredictability, and consistency will all be in the mix as Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner face off in the 2025 US Open men's final.
Carlos Alcaraz is one of the best, if not the most, aggressive players on a tennis court today. The Spaniard has an all-court style, which makes him a nightmare for his opponents, as he can easily adapt to their style.
Blessed with power, Alcaraz has dominated opponents with his unpredictable forehand. The Spaniard has laced his unpredictability with consistency this season, losing just six times in the year.
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz has defeated Sinner 10 times previously.
- Alcaraz won four of his last five championship matches against Sinner.
- Three of Sinner’s last four tour finals have ended in defeat.
- Alcaraz is on a 12-match winning streak.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Sinner hasn’t lost a tie in this tournament since last season. However, we fancy Alcaraz to end his streak and be crowned US Open champion for a second time. The Spaniard is playing otherworldly at the moment. He is on a 12-match winning streak and has arrived at this final without losing a set at Flushing Meadows.
He also has an incredible record against Sinner, with four of his 10 wins in this series coming in tournament-deciding fixtures. It is also worth noting that no player has defended a US Open title in 17 years. Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Carlos Alcaraz is that Carlos Alcaraz wins the match.
Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz - Other Interesting Predictions
over 3.5 sets
At least four sets have been contested in the five Grand Slam duels between Sinner and Alcaraz. Therefore, for our second prediction, we settle for over 3.5 sets to be contested. This is one of the most anticipated matchups of a calendar year in tennis, and we expect it to be a spectacle.
Sinner and Alcaraz have each won at least one set in the previous five times they have duelled at a major. Both players are also phenomenal hardcourt players, which adds to the thrill.
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Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Sunday, 7 September.
This match will be played on Centre Court at the Billie Jean King National Tennis Centre in New York, USA.
Fans in the UK and Italy can follow this match live on Sky Sports, while those in Spain can follow the action on Telefonica. If unable to get the final live, check out the Sportytrader US Open Men Singles live minute-by-minute updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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