Sigma Olomouc vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Joseph King | in Conference League Predictions
The Conference League round of 16 gets started with this early kickoff as Sigma Olomouc host FSV Mainz 05 at the Andruv Stadion. Will the Hanaks be able to frustrate their opponents, or will Die Nullfünfer return to Germany with an aggregate lead? Check out our match prediction below!
Sigma Olomouc just squeezed into the playoff spots, finishing in 24th place and edging out 25th place solely on goals scored tiebreaker. They battled past Swiss club Lausanne 3-2 on aggregate in the knockout round playoff to qualify for this stage in their first ever appearance in the UEFA Conference League (UECL).
Mainz qualified directly for this round thanks to their seventh-place finish in the league phase. It marks the first time that they have ever qualified for the knockout rounds of a major UEFA tournament in only their second European campaign. A matchup against either Rijeka or Strasbourg awaits the winner in the quarter-finals. Let’s take a look at some key stats!
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Sigma Olomouc v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.4 | 3.7 | 1.71 |
|
|
4.85 | 3.57 | 1.77 |
|
|
5.55 | 3.64 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.5 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.55 | 1.76 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sigma Olomouc and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Sigma Olomouc vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2026 between Sigma Olomouc and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.46% for a win of Sigma Olomouc against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 5.55 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sigma Olomouc vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 32.41% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.13% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc with odds of 1.82 at LSbet.
Sigma Olomouc - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sigma Olomouc 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc wins | 43.46% | 5.55 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.32% | 2.23 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 69.05% | |
| Half-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 / Full-time: Sigma Olomouc | 15.82% | 41 at Bet365 |
Sigma Olomouc vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Sigma Olomouc and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
1 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
31 Jan 2026 - Chance Liga
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
7 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
20 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Sigma Olomouc - 1 Fsv Mainz 05: Form Analysis
Sigma Olomouc grabbed a late winner in their 2-1 away win over Jablonec in the Czech First Division on Saturday. The visitors will be high in confidence after winning their last four in a row across all competitions.
Sigma were fortunate to qualify for the knockout round playoff after losing the last two league stage matches to finish on seven points (2W-1D-3L). With that being said, the Hanaks were able to take full advantage in the playoff, securing a 2-1 away win over Lausanne in the second leg to advance on aggregate.
Despite struggling in the Bundesliga, Mainz will feel bullish about their chances in this competition.
Mainz are clearly feeling the effects of having to juggle midweek European fixtures which has impacted their league form. They find themselves even on points with 16th-placed St. Pauli in the relegation playoff spot but lead thanks to their superior goal differential.
In Europe, the Germans have been excellent. A win on the final day of fixtures ensured they would qualify for the top eight with 13 points on a 4-1-1 record.
Mainz were able to rescue a point in stoppage time in their 2-2 home draw with Stuttgart at the weekend. It was their third stalemate in a row, although Karnevalsverein have only lost twice in their last 14 across all competitions.
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Sigma Olomouc against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
T. Stoppen
M. Hruska
DefenderP. Siegl
MidfielderD. Drabek
F. Slavicek
S. Jalovicor
D. Janosek
ForwardJ. Sip
M. Mikulenka
M. Yasser Nour
A. Dolznikov
L. Babatz
L. Riess
DefenderS. Widmer
M. Leitsch
MidfielderL. Maloney
S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
D. Gleiber
L. Jae-sung
A. Sieb
F. Moreno Fell
N. Weiper
Missing players
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Bell
A. Hanche Olsen
A. Caci
M. Dal
MidfielderN. Amiri
ForwardB. Hollerbach
K. Bos
Sigma Olomouc & 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Squad Analysis
Sigma Olomouc boss Tomas Janotka will be without six players for this Conference League round of 16 fixture. Most notably are defender Jan Kral and January signing John Paul Dembe, who has yet to make his debut for the club.
Defender Abdoulaye Sylla will also miss out due to suspension after picking up three yellow cards.
The dangerman for the hosts is winger Danijel Sturm, who has gotten off to a fast start after transferring over from NK Celje in January (3G, 2A in 7 appearances). Sturm was instrumental in the playoff victory over Lausanne, scoring in the first leg and providing assists for both goals in the return leg.
Leading goalscorer Nadiem Amiri will be a huge miss for the visitors.
Mainz manager Urs Fischer is dealing with a lengthy injury list containing no fewer than eight players. Among them are goalkeeper Robin Zentner, Anthony Caci, Benedict Hollerbach and Nadiem Amiri.
The 29-year-old Amiri is having a fantastic season and is the team’s leading goalscorer with 15 goals in 28 matches (including four in the UECL). He suffered a heel injury after the Hamburg match and is still expected to be out for a few weeks.
Mainz’s last two matches have seen January signings Phillip Tietz and Sheraldo Becker starting as the two strikers. However, the latter was not registered for the Conference League squad, meaning a start for Silas Katompa Mvumpa is likely.
Most goals and assists
Sigma Olomouc
1 Fsv Mainz 05
J. Kral
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Ghali Abubakar
(2 Goals)
N. Amiri
(2 Goals)
, 
S. Posch
(2 Goals)
D. Sturm
(2 Assists)
L. Jae-sung
(2 Assists)
,
P. Nebel
(2 Assists)
Sigma Olomouc - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Seven of the last 10 matches across all competitions for Mainz have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Mainz’s last 10 matches have seen a total of 65 clear cut chances created between the two teams (6.5 average per match).
- Sigma have seen over 2.5 goals in three of their last four games.
- Mainz created an average of 1.53 xG and 2.7 clear cut chances per match in their last three away fixtures (against Leipzig, Dortmund and Leverkusen).
- Sigma have scored nine goals and created 13 clear cut scoring chances in their last five matches overall.
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Our Sigma Olomouc vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Mainz recent matches have been shootouts with both sides creating scoring chances at will. The visitors are the favourites coming into this first leg fixture and will look to kill off this tie early. As evidenced by their recent performances, Die Nullfünfer are creating quality scoring chances.
Sigma have been in a solid vein of goalscoring form themselves, netting nine times in their last five outings. The hosts will have opportunities to get at this Mainz side, which should result in a high-scoring matchup. Our Sigma Olomouc vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction: more than 2.5 goals.Sigma Olomouc vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Alternative Predictions
1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins
The underlying numbers show a Mainz side that have been playing well lately on the attacking side of the ball. They played Leipzig, Dortmund and Leverkusen in their last three away fixtures and managed to average 1.53 expected goals and 2.7 clear cut chances created per match during that stretch. They’ll face much easier competition here, which should result in Mainz returning to Germany with an aggregate lead.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sigma Olomouc 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Sigma Olomouc vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc wins | 3.7 | 5.55 | +50.0% |
| Draw | 3.68 | 3.75 | +1.9% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 1.96 | 1.82 | -7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sigma Olomouc is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 50.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 18.0% (-9.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
