Shkendija vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions
Samsunspor will travel to face Shkendija in this 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds Play-offs first leg on Thursday. Can the Red Lightning strengthen their bid to reach the next round of the competition with a win against the Ballists? Here is our prediction.
A run of two wins, one draw and three defeats saw Shkendija finish 22nd in the 2025-26 UECL league-phase standings with seven points. They sealed their berth in this round on goal difference, having managed similar point thresholds as five other teams, including the top two in the elimination zone.
Jeton Beqiri's side won their last domestic league fixture at the weekend, but wrapped up their UECL league-phase campaign on a disappointing note, losing 1–0 to AEK Larnaca.
Samsunspor come into this fixture off back-to-back defeats in the Turkey Super Lig, including a 3–1 loss to Antalyaspor last week. They also suffered consecutive defeats in their final two UECL league-phase matches, with the most recent being a 2–0 defeat to Mainz
However, a solid start to their campaign in Europe's third tier, including consecutive victories in their opening three league-phase matches and a draw in the fourth game, was enough to seal their place in the next round.
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Shkendija v Samsunspor Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.4 | 3.55 | 1.88 |
|
|
5.15 | 3.54 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.48 | 3.4 | 1.86 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.6 | 1.71 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Shkendija and Samsunspor?
Our prediction for the Shkendija vs Samsunspor match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2026 between Shkendija and Samsunspor in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.06% for a win of Shkendija against Samsunspor with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shkendija vs Samsunspor is 19.15% with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Samsunspor vs Shkendija with odds of 1.88 at Stake.
Shkendija - Samsunspor Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shkendija Samsunspor Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shkendija wins | 55.06% | 5.4 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 66.41% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.52% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Shkendija/Shkendija | 25.91% | 9 at Bet365 |
Shkendija vs Samsunspor Form
Shkendija and Samsunspor Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
10 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
1 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
19 Nov 2025 - Macedonia Cup
10 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
15 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
24 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
24 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
24 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
14 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
14 Jan 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
6 Jan 2026 - Super Cup
21 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
Shkendija against Samsunspor Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Amzai
F. Ramani
DefenderN. Ajetovikj
N. Ceka
MidfielderV. Krstevski
E. Krasniqi
A. Mazari
D. Islami
L. Kaba
F. Ndzengue
E. Berat Toruz
I. Egribayat
DefenderE. Albak
Y. Cift
T. Borevkovic
S. Gonul
MidfielderC. Yuksel
E. Ceesay
M. Mouandilmadji
Most goals and assists
Shkendija
Samsunspor
L. Latifi
(1 Goals)
,
S. Spahiu
(1 Goals)
M. Mouandilmadji
(8 Goals)
R. Webster
(2 Assists)
C. Holse
(5 Assists)
Shkendija - Samsunspor Key Points
- All of Shkendija’s six UECL league-phase matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Shkendija's last four competitive home matches have produced no more than two goals.
- Two of Samsunspor’s three UECL league-phase away matches this season ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Samsunspor's last seven away matches across all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Shkendija vs Samsunspor Prediction
Despite setbacks in their final two matches in the UECL league-phase campaign, Samsunspor are on the front foot heading into this match, having finished three points and 10 places better than Shkendija in the league-phase rankings. However, we expect a close contest that may not witness a rain of goals.
All of Shkendija's six matches in the competition have been low-scoring affairs producing fewer than three goals. Samsunspor have also seen most of their games fall below the three-goal benchmark. Our Shkendija vs Samsunspor prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shkendija Samsunspor
| Shkendija vs Samsunspor | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shkendija wins | 4.1 | 5.4 | +31.7% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.7 | +10.4% |
| Samsunspor wins | 1.88 | 1.88 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shkendija is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 31.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 24.4% and is now 18.5% (-5.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
