Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips - J.League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Shimizu S-Pulse will meet Gamba Osaka this Sunday for a high-stakes Matchday 18 battle in the J1 League. Only one point separates these mid-bottom-table neighbours, meaning tactical discipline will likely overshadow any urge to play it risky. See why that favours the under 2.5 goals bet in our Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka match prediction below.
The 7th-placed S-Pulse desperately try to snap out of an offensive slump that’s seen them lose four of their last seven games. Although S-Pa has scored in four of their last five games, they’ve struggled to manage more than one goal per game. The hosts have only scored six goals in their last seven matches, and failed to do so last time out when they lost 2-0 to Okayama.
The same goes for Gamba Osaka, who sits just one spot above their hosts. While their defensive line has been reasonably sturdy, keeping matches tight, the Nerazzurri’s attack is struggling with goals on the road. The visitors have only managed 9 goals in 9 games on the road this season, which is the 4th-fewest.
What’s more, that same Osaka side is also coming off a goalless defeat to Sanfrecce (1-0). It’s true that their early-season meeting ended 2-2 full-time. But that’s still only their first of eight games since 2020 that a game between Shimizu and Gamba saw more than 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Shimizu S-Pulse v Gamba Osaka Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.35 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.05 | 2.81 |
|
|
2.71 | 3.24 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.1 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.1 | 2.68 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Osaka?
Our prediction for the Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2026 between Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Osaka in J.League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.56% for a win of Shimizu S-Pulse against Gamba Osaka with odds of 2.75 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka is 44.03% with odds of 3.35 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse with odds of 2.81 at Melbet.
Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shimizu S-Pulse Gamba Osaka Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.03% | 3.35 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 56.77% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Shimizu S-Pulse / Full-time: Draw | 18.83% | 15 at Bet365 |
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Form
Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Osaka's standings in the J.League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
28 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | +4 |
|
7
|
24 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Osaka Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - J.League
10 May 2026 - J.League
6 May 2026 - J.League
2 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - J.League
6 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
22 Mar 2026 - J.League
14 Mar 2026 - J.League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - J.League
2 May 2026 - J.League
11 Apr 2026 - J.League
5 Apr 2026 - J.League
1 Apr 2026 - J.League
18 Mar 2026 - J.League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
10 May 2026 - J.League
6 May 2026 - J.League
2 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - J.League
2 May 2026 - J.League
22 Apr 2026 - J.League
19 Apr 2026 - J.League
11 Apr 2026 - J.League
8 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
6 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
15 Apr 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
21 Mar 2026 - J.League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Feb 2026 - J.League
15 Jun 2025 - J.League
8 Mar 2025 - J.League
Shimizu S-Pulse against Gamba Osaka Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Y. Oki
DefenderS. Hasukawa
K. Kitazume
S. Takagi
M. Yumiba
R. Ohata
M. Nishihara
T. Takahashi
K. Chiba
M. Higashiguchi
DefenderS. Sasaki
S. Nakano
Y. Yoshihara
T. Yamamoto
H. Minamino
Welton
T. Tono
G. Nawata
Most goals and assists
Shimizu S-Pulse
Gamba Osaka
O. Se-Hun
(7 Goals)
D. Hummet
(8 Goals)
Y. Yoshida
(3 Assists)
R. Hatsuse
(3 Assists)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka Key Points
- Shimizu S-Pulse has conceded the joint 4th-fewest goals this season.
- Interestingly, Shimizu has also scored the joint 3rd-fewest goals this season.
- Seven of the last eight games between Shimizu and Gamba finished with fewer than 2.5 goals.
- Gamba have scored the 4th-fewest away goals this season (9).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction
Shimizu’s persistent struggles in the final third and surprisingly solid defence make a sudden goal explosion highly unlikely on Sunday. Gamba themselves aren’t looking so hot after losing their last two games, with only one goal scored. What’s more, Nerazzurri are notoriously poor away, with the 4th-fewest away goals scored on the road.
The 2-2 draw between these two earlier this season was an outlier in our opinion, especially as it was the first of their last eight matches to not feature less than 2.5 goals. Hence, our Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shimizu S-Pulse Gamba Osaka
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-Pulse wins | 2.85 | 2.75 | -3.5% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.35 | 0% |
| Gamba Osaka wins | 2.4 | 2.81 | +17.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.9% and is now 29.9% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Osaka game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
