Sheffield United vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Sheffield United
01/11/2025 11:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Joseph King | in Championship Predictions

Underperforming Sheffield United welcome Derby County to Bramall Lane on Saturday for matchday 10 of the English Championship. The Blades are looking to battle their way back after a poor start while the Rams will try to put some more breathing space between them and the drop zone. Check out our match prediction!

After a nightmare start saw Sheffield lose eight of their first nine Championship fixtures, Chris Wilder’s side looked to be on the comeback trail. They managed back-to-back wins over Blackburn and Watford to move up to nine points on the season.

The Blades raced out to a 2-0 lead away from home against Preston last weekend, only to give up three straight and lose the match 3-2. They now return home, where they’ve lost four of their five outings so far.

Derby, on the other hand, are playing quite well lately. They managed just a single victory in their first 11 league fixtures, the Rams have now won their last two straight.

The visitors have shown defensive solidity in those games, keeping a clean sheet over Norwich and QPR to secure 1-0 home wins in both matches. Derby have now opened up a five-point lead over the bottom three, but also find themselves just five points off the promotion playoff spots.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sheffield United v Derby County Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.76 3.5 4.5
Betfred
1.8 3.4 5
William Hill
1.8 3.3 4.6
Unibet
1.73 3.65 4.75
Betway
1.78 3.4 4.5
Check all Sheffield United vs Derby County odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sheffield United and Derby County?

Our prediction for the Sheffield United vs Derby County match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Sheffield United and Derby County in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.61% for a win of Sheffield United against Derby County with odds of 1.85 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sheffield United vs Derby County is 24.08% with odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Sheffield United with odds of 5 at Betfred.

Sheffield United - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:

Sheffield United Derby County Prediction Probability Odds
Derby County wins 42.31% 5 at Betfred
Under 2.5 57.73% 2.22 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 57.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County 20.34% 10 at Betfair

Sheffield United vs Derby County Form

Sheffield United and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Derby County
Derby County
31 22 8 7 7 1
18
Sheffield United
Sheffield United
26 22 8 2 12 -3

Sheffield United and Derby County Last Matches

Sheffield United
Sheffield United Last matches
L L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
3 :  2
Sheffield United

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  3
Sheffield United

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Watford

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Hull
1 :  0
Sheffield United

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  2
Southampton

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sheffield United
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Watford

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  2
Southampton

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  1
Charlton Athletic

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  1
Millwall

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  4
Bristol City

24 May 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  2
Sunderland
L L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
3 :  2
Sheffield United

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  3
Sheffield United

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Hull
1 :  0
Sheffield United

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sheffield United

12 Sept 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
5 :  0
Sheffield United

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Sheffield United
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
W L D D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
QPR

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Norwich

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Derby County

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Southampton

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Derby County
W L D L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
QPR

21 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Norwich

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Southampton

30 Sept 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Preston North End

22 Aug 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Bristol City
D L D W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Derby County

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Derby County

13 Sept 2025 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  1
Derby County

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  2
Derby County

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
2 :  1
Derby County

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

West Brom
1 :  1
Derby County

Sheffield United vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sheffield United

60 %

Draw

20 %

Derby County

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.2
Goals scored (home team)
0.8
Goals scored (away team)
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

21 Sept 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Derby County

24 Aug 2021 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield United
2 :  1
Derby County

20 Oct 2018 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Sheffield United

1 Jan 2018 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Sheffield United

Sheffield United against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11

Sheffield United

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
M. Cooper
2
J. Tanganga
25
M. McGuinness
15
B. Mee
19
C. Ogbene
42
S. Peck
18
E. Djibril Soumare
3
S. McCallum
10
C. O-Hare
11
A. Brooks
23
T. Campbell
9
C. Morris
7
P. Agyemang
25
B. Brereton
3
C. Forsyth
18
D. Ozoh
42
B. Clark
23
J. Ward
5
M. Clarke
28
D. Sanderson
6
S. Langas
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Derby County

Missing players

Sheffield United
Sheffield United
Defender

B. Godfrey

Midfielder

O. Arblaster

G. Hamer

Forward

T. Chong

Derby County
Derby County
Defender

C. Nelson

O. Beck

M. Johnston

Midfielder

L. Thompson

L. Travis

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sheffield United
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
England T. Campbell (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Morris (10 Goals)
Best assists
England C. O`Hare (3 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Ward (7 Assists)

Sheffield United - Derby County Key Points

  1. Derby have seen their last eight consecutive Championship matches stay under 2.5 goals.
  2. The visitors have conceded just a single goal in their last three appearances.
  3. Derby rank 23rd in the league in expected goals (10.8) and 20th in big chances created (19).
  4. Sheffield rank 18th in big chances created with 20.
  5. The hosts have failed to find the net six times in 12 matches, the highest amount in the division.
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Our Sheffield United vs Derby County Prediction

Derby have put forward some impressive defensive displays recently but they have consistent problems with chance creation. The result has been a string of low-scoring matches for the visitors and we could see more of the same on Saturday.

Both of the matches between these sides last season finished with under 2.5 goals, with this exact fixture resulting in a 1-0 win for Sheffield. A similar scoreline would not come as a big surprise. Our Sheffield United vs Derby County prediction: less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sheffield United Derby County

Sheffield United vs Derby County Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sheffield United wins 1.76 1.76 0%
Draw 3.7 3.5 -5.4%
Derby County wins 4.2 4.5 +7.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Derby County is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 22.2% (-1.6%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Sheffield United vs. Derby County game!

bet365 welcome offer

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sheffield United vs Derby County Prediction