Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League
Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Up next for reigning champions Shamrock Rovers is a visit from Dundalk, newly promoted First Division champions, in the Irish Premier Division. The Hoops aim to get revenge for their 4-0 thrashing at the hands of The Lilywhites while mounting a strong title defence early on. So, which team will lose their first game of the season, or are we in for a stalemate? Let’s get into our match prediction.
While other teams have already played three games this season, this will be Shamrock’s second league game. But they won't be complaining after starting on a strong foot with a victory over St Patrick’s. The Hoops remain the only team with a perfect record this season, and they hope to make it two out of two against Dundalk.
Shamrock comfortably won their last two league meetings with Dundalk with a 1-0 scoreline. However, their latest game, which was in the Leinster Senior Cup, saw The Lilywhites flog the Rovers 4-0 against all the odds.
That resounding victory, along with the fact that Dundalk are still unbeaten after two games, will give the visitors confidence that could see them walk away with at least one point. Dundalk are indeed winless in two opening games, but were widely impressive with back-to-back draws, first away to Derry City as the heavy underdogs, then at home to a tough Drogheda United.
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Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.52 | 3.85 | 5.4 |
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1.56 | 3.94 | 5.78 |
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1.56 | 3.98 | 5.73 |
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1.48 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
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1.55 | 3.8 | 5.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk?
Our prediction for the Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk match is: Shamrock Rovers win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/02/2026 between Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk in Airtricity League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.97% for a win of Shamrock Rovers against Dundalk with odds of 1.56 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk is 30.65% with odds of 3.98 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers with odds of 6.25 at LSbet.
Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shamrock Rovers Dundalk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 36.97% | 1.56 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.26% | 1.8 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.54% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shamrock Rovers | 14.65% | 4.2 at LSbet |
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk Form
Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk's standings in the Airtricity League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
40 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +14 |
|
4
|
29 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | +3 |
Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
31 Jan 2026 - FAI Presidents Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - FAI Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
31 Jan 2026 - FAI Presidents Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - FAI Cup
1 Nov 2025 - Airtricity League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
26 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
17 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
22 Sept 2025 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
13 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
30 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Oct 2025 - First Division
10 Oct 2025 - First Division
3 Oct 2025 - First Division
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
10 Oct 2025 - First Division
26 Sept 2025 - First Division
12 Sept 2025 - First Division
29 Aug 2025 - First Division
8 Aug 2025 - First Division
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
30 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Oct 2025 - First Division
3 Oct 2025 - First Division
20 Sept 2025 - First Division
5 Sept 2025 - First Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Oct 2024 - Airtricity League
4 Jul 2024 - Airtricity League
17 May 2024 - Airtricity League
16 Feb 2024 - Airtricity League
Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk Key Points
- Shamrock has won eight of its last nine home meetings against Dundalk without a single loss.
- Shamrock won the last two meetings with Dundalk (home and away) in the Premier Division.
- Shamrock enters this game with two straight wins without conceding a goal.
- Dundalk are winless in their opening two games.
- In the Premier Division, Shamrock has won seven of its last nine home games.
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Our Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction
The Lillywhites have proven they're here to stay after gaining promotion following back-to-back draws with giants Derry City and a more-experienced Drogheda United. However, even walking away with a point against the reigning champions in their home will be an uphill battle.
The Hoops have now won seven of their last nine home league games, stretching back to last season. And Shamrock has already started this season strong with two clean sheet wins, including a home league win over rivals St Patrick’s. Hence, our Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk prediction is that Shamrock Rovers win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shamrock Rovers Dundalk
| Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 1.59 | 1.56 | -1.9% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.98 | +0.8% |
| Dundalk wins | 5.4 | 6.25 | +15.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shamrock Rovers is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.9% and is now 64.1% (1.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.