Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League
Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Up next for reigning champions Shamrock Rovers is a visit from Derry City in Matchday 5 of the Irish Premier Division. The Hoops have had a rather rocky start with only four points from three games. But just as they desperately need a win comes The Candystripes, who have won their last two meetings. See our best pick in this match prediction below.
Shamrock’s title defence has taken a dramatic turn early on after their opening day win over St. Patrick's. The Hoops failed to beat a 10-man Dundalk (1-1) in the following game, then lost the next on their away trip to Bohemian FC (3-2). After three games, Shamrock has now only picked up four points and is six points behind league leaders Bohemian FC.
But the Rovers have a tangible chance to cut that gap with their one game in hand. The only problem is they face a high-flying Derry City, who just beat Shamrock in the FAI Presidents Cup this January. While Shamrock struggles, The Candystripes have now gone unbeaten in three of their four opening games, winning two and only losing to the current league leaders.
Derry City just beat Waterford with a spectacular 4-2 comeback that overturned a 2-0 deficit. That win has now seen The Candystripes win six of their last eight league games, stretching back to last season.
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Shamrock Rovers v Derry City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.99 | 3.25 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.34 | 3.66 |
|
|
2 | 3.32 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City?
Our prediction for the Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City match is: Derry City wins or draws.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2026 between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City in Airtricity League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.82% for a win of Shamrock Rovers against Derry City with odds of 2.26 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City is 21.08% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
Shamrock Rovers - Derry City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shamrock Rovers Derry City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derry City wins | 49.11% | 3.8 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 54.95% | 1.98 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Derry City/Derry City | 19.5% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Form
Shamrock Rovers and Derry City's standings in the Airtricity League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
40 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +14 |
|
6
|
22 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
Shamrock Rovers and Derry City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
23 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
31 Jan 2026 - FAI Presidents Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
31 Jan 2026 - FAI Presidents Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - FAI Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
26 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
17 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
13 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
6 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
31 Jan 2026 - FAI Presidents Cup
1 Nov 2025 - Airtricity League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
20 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
13 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
6 Feb 2026 - Airtricity League
26 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
5 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - FAI Presidents Cup
1 Nov 2025 - Airtricity League
17 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
26 Sept 2025 - Airtricity League
12 Sept 2025 - Airtricity League
22 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2026 - FAI Presidents Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League
23 May 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
20 Sept 2024 - Airtricity League
Shamrock Rovers - Derry City Key Points
- Derry City has beaten Shamrock in their last two meetings.
- Derry City are unbeaten in three of their four league games this season.
- Derry are unbeaten in their last five away league games, winning four of those five.
- Derry has scored eight goals in four games this season, three more than Shamrock.
- Shamrock is winless in six of their last eight league games, stretching back to last season.
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Our Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prediction
Backing Derry City at Shamrock’s home is definitely a tricky bet, but it's one the numbers support. They've been the much better team this season, remaining unbeaten in three of four games and only narrowly losing to first-placed Bohemian FC.
But also telling is Shamrock’s recent form in the leagues. Besides going winless in two of three games this season, The Hoops are also winless in six of their last eight, stretching back to last season. Hence, our Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City prediction is that Derry City wins or draws.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shamrock Rovers Derry City
| Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 2.02 | 2.26 | +11.9% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.6 | +16.1% |
| Derry City wins | 3.55 | 3.8 | +7.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derry City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.2% and is now 26.3% (-1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
