Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Conference League Predictions
Shakhtar Donetsk looks to seal the deal when they welcome KKS Lech Poznan to Stadion Miejski with a 3-1 advantage. Hirnyky (The Pitmen) outrightly dominated that game, but must not forget that Kolejarz (Railwayman) created several big chances with a 1.45 xG compared to Shakhtar’s 1.79. Can Donetsk get the job done at home, or will we see Lech get a RO16 miracle in this Conference League bout? Let’s get into our match prediction.
The Pitmen are on red-hot form after their latest win against Metalist 1925 (1-0), which has made it five straight wins. For context, Shakhtar has now won all five of its competitive games outside friendlies this year, boasting of a perfect start to 2026. Interestingly, their second-biggest win in that span was the 3-1 thrashing of Lech Poznan.
However, Railwayman have vengeance in their eyes and glory to fight for. Lech just finally tasted victory after beating Zaglebie L. to end their three-game winning streak, which ended with the Shakhtar game.
It’s either Shakhtar reignites that losing streak or Lech musters just enough to upset the Ukrainian side. For a team that has won four of its last five games with three clean sheets, they’ll surely believe they can force extra time on their next trip.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Shakhtar Donetsk v KKS Lech Poznan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.1 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
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2.17 | 3.48 | 3.28 |
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|
2.15 | 3.64 | 3.2 |
|
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2.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
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2.18 | 3.55 | 3.2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shakhtar Donetsk and KKS Lech Poznan?
Our prediction for the Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Shakhtar Donetsk and KKS Lech Poznan in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.38% for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk against KKS Lech Poznan with odds of 4.1 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan is 10.62% with odds of 3.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 27% chance ⭐ for a win of KKS Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 3.28 at Melbet.
Shakhtar Donetsk - KKS Lech Poznan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shakhtar Donetsk KKS Lech Poznan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 62.38% | 4.1 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shakhtar Donetsk | 26.91% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan Form
Shakhtar Donetsk and KKS Lech Poznan Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
6 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
5 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
5 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
6 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
4 Mar 2026 - Polish Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
4 Mar 2026 - Polish Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
15 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jan 2026 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
7 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
22 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
7 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
3 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
25 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Shakhtar Donetsk against KKS Lech Poznan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Fesiun
D. Tvardovskyi
DefenderIrakli Azarov
Y. Konoplya
MidfielderL. Ferreira
Isaque
A. Bondarenko
M. Shved
ForwardL. Traore
Eguinaldo
P. Obah
Luca Meirelles
P. Andreev
M. Pruchniewski
DefenderM. Skrzypczak
M. Gurgul
J. Pereira
P. Walemark
T. Ouma
A. Gholizadeh
S. Dudek
L. Bengtsson
Y. Agnero
Most goals and assists
Shakhtar Donetsk
KKS Lech Poznan
Luca Meirelles
(3 Goals)
,
Alisson
(3 Goals)
M. Ishak
(8 Goals)
K. Elias
(4 Assists)
T. Ismaheel
(3 Assists)
Shakhtar Donetsk - KKS Lech Poznan Key Points
- Shakhtar has scored in 16 of its last 18 games outside friendlies.
- Lech has scored in 20 of its last 23 games.
- Both teams have scored in eight of Lech’s nine Conference League games so far.
- Shakhtar has scored in six of seven Conference League games, while Lech has scored in all nine they featured in.
- Both Shakhtar Donetsk and KKS Lech Poznan scored in their 3-1 first-leg clash.
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Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan Prediction
You can expect both teams to score here. Lech, especially, will be desperate to net one early to immediately cut the gap to just 3-2 on aggregate. That desperation will likely lead to a lot of spaces and counterattack opportunities for The Pitmen, who have scored in 16 of their last competitive games.
The Railwayman also possess all the tools to unlock this defence, just as they did in the first leg and in 20 of their last 23 games outside friendlies. Hence, our Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shakhtar Donetsk KKS Lech Poznan
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs KKS Lech Poznan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 2.01 | 4.1 | +104.0% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 3.8 | -1.3% |
| KKS Lech Poznan wins | 3.5 | 3.28 | -6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shakhtar Donetsk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 104.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 49.8% and is now 24.4% (-25.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
