Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Shabana will face Sofapaka next in the Kenyan Premier League, as the two sides look to shake off recent wobbly performances. Five dropped points in the last two games have left Shabana fourth, while Sofapaka are second from bottom. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Shabana will view this as a chance to bounce back after two winless outings. A 0-0 draw with Gor Mahia last time out was somewhat a positive outcome, having earlier lost 3-1 to Nairobi United.
They have a third straight home game, and the Glamour Boys will want to make it count. Shabana have only won two of their eight home matches.
Sofapaka will hope to add to Shabana’s woes at home. However, their own run isn’t eye-catching at all. The 2009 league champions are strong contenders for the drop, having won just three of their 16 league games so far.
Their 1-1 draw with Bidco United to start the year wasn’t the most desirable result in their circumstance, and they’ll hope to do better here. Batoto Ba Mungu are a point below safety and come here winless in eight.
They lost four of those eight games, and here they are coming off two straight draws.
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Shabana FC v Sofapaka FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 2.9 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.95 | 5.43 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.95 | 5.43 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.05 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.95 | 5.43 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Shabana FC and Sofapaka FC?
Our prediction for the Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC match is: Shabana wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Shabana FC and Sofapaka FC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.06% for a win of Shabana FC against Sofapaka FC with odds of 1.86 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC is 21.44% with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Sofapaka FC vs Shabana FC with odds of 5.43 at Melbet.
Shabana FC - Sofapaka FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shabana FC Sofapaka FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shabana FC wins | 46.06% | 1.86 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 69.39% | 1.65 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shabana FC | 23.46% | 4.33 at LSbet |
Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC Form
Shabana FC and Sofapaka FC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
52 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
|
18
|
19 | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | -32 |
Shabana FC and Sofapaka FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jan 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
4 May 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Shabana FC - Sofapaka FC Key Points
- Shabana have won three more matches than Sofapaka this season.
- Sofapaka are winless in their last eight games, losing five of them.
- Shabana won three of their four matches against Sofapaka.
- Sofapaka lost each of their last four away matches.
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Our Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC Prediction
Shabana taking on Sofapaka is rarely a massive contest anymore, as the former have been dominant in their recent matches. Sofapaka have only managed one win in the last four meetings with Shabana. They come into this match on a poor run of form, especially in away matches.
The visitors have failed to win any of their last eight outings, losing five. All of their last four away games also ended in defeat, and Shabana will want to take advantage of this. Our prediction for Shabana v Sofapaka is that Shabana wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shabana FC Sofapaka FC
| Shabana FC vs Sofapaka FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana FC wins | 1.83 | 1.86 | +1.6% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.05 | -3.2% |
| Sofapaka FC wins | 4.9 | 5.43 | +10.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shabana FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 53.8% (-0.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
