Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Sevilla
11/09/2026 15:00
Valencia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in LaLiga Predictions

7th-placed Sevilla picked up its second red card of the season in its last game against Espanyol. Now they will face a last-placed Valencia that is winless in four games. These two now lock heads up next in La Liga at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, and our Sevilla vs Valencia match prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Los Rojiblancos were held to a 1-1 draw at Espanyol, just a week after their 3-1 loss at Atletico Madrid. The team’s scoring has been modest, netting seven goals in four games. Valencia has had a worse time in front of goal, finding the net only once in their first four games.

Their last outing was a 5-0 loss to league leaders Barcelona, which makes it three straight defeats since their opening day draw against Celta. History also points to another low-scoring matchup between these two sides.

Each of the last five meetings between both sides ended with two goals or less. Additionally, only two out of their last 11 meetings ended with more than 2.5 goals. And with Valencia netting the fewest goals in the league this season (just one in four games), this should be another low-scoring fixture.

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Sevilla v Valencia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.81 3.65 4.90
1xbet
1.78 3.66 4.83
Melbet
1.76 3.62 4.78
Betwinner
1.84 3.38 4.64
22bet
1.76 3.62 4.78
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Valencia?

Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Valencia match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/09/2026 between Sevilla and Valencia in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.48% for a win of Sevilla against Valencia with odds of 1.85 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Valencia is 20.88% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Sevilla with odds of 5.13 at 888Starz.

Sevilla - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:

Sevilla Valencia Prediction Probability Odds
Sevilla wins 43.48% 1.85 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 54.74% 2.28 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 67.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sevilla 21.81% 5.00 at Betsson

Sevilla vs Valencia Form

Sevilla and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Sevilla
14 9 4 2 3 -2
19 Valencia
6 10 1 3 6 -10

Sevilla and Valencia Last Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla Last matches
W L W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Sevilla

29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  3
Sevilla

15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Sevilla

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Utrecht
0 :  1
Sevilla
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
2 :  1
AD Ceuta

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
1 :  0
Juventud Torremolinos CF

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Real Madrid

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Espanyol
D W W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Sevilla

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  3
Sevilla

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Sevilla

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Utrecht
0 :  1
Sevilla

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Sevilla

23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Córdoba
0 :  0
Sevilla
Valencia
Valencia Last matches
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

La Coruna
3 :  1
Valencia

25 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  1
Betis

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
0 :  1
CD Teruel

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
1 :  2
Newcastle
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

25 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  1
Betis

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
0 :  1
CD Teruel

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
1 :  2
Newcastle

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
1 :  2
CD Castellon
W W L W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

La Coruna
3 :  1
Valencia

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Valencia

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  2
Valencia

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Petroleos De Luanda
3 :  1
Valencia

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  4
Valencia

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Valencia

Sevilla vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sevilla

0 %

Draw

50 %

Valencia

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Valencia

7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Sevilla

11 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Sevilla

11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Valencia

17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Sevilla

11 Aug 2023 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Valencia
Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction

Sevilla against Valencia Lineups: Starting 11

Sevilla

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
O. Vlachodimos
2
J. Iglesias
5
A. Gallo Lopez
4
K. Salas
17
G. Suazo
30
M. Sierra
6
L. Agoume
24
Y. Fofana
20
F. Correia
19
L. Stassin
16
I. Romero
7
A. Danjuma
8
J. Guerra Moreno
39
R. Sato
23
F. Ugrinic
15
A. Dieng
27
D. Otorbi
14
J. Gaya
5
C. Tarrega
18
Pepelu
22
M. Arnau
1
S. Dimitrievski

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Valencia

Substitutes

Sevilla
Sevilla
Goalkeeper

F. Gonzalez

Defender

J. Carmona

I. Munoz

Marcao

Midfielder

J. Diaz

F. Correia 83'

M. Bueno

J. Guridi

L. Stassin 83'

G. Kochorashvili

Y. Fofana 71'

Forward

Peque

R. Ure

I. Romero 63'

A. Gonzales

C. Ejuke

M. Sierra 63'

Valencia
Valencia
Goalkeeper

K. Van Oevelen

Defender

J. Vazquez

J. Gaya 83'

I. Cordoba

C. Tarrega 24'

A. Panach

P. Maffeo

M. Arnau 62'

J. De Haas

Midfielder

A. Mayol

H. Elliott

R. Sato 62'

J. Dura

Forward

A. Blazquez

H. Duro

J. Guerra Moreno 83'

D. Raba

Missing players

Sevilla
Sevilla
Defender

A. Sangante

Forward

R. Vargas

Valencia
Valencia
Defender

D. Foulquier

M. Diakhaby

J. Copete

Midfielder

G. Rodriguez

L. Rioja

Forward

S. Canos

U. Sadiq

D. Lopez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sevilla
CD Huachipato Valencia
Top Goalscorer
Spain I. Romero (2 Goals) , 
Spain M. Sierra (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria U. Sadiq (1 Goals) ,  Spain L. Rioja (1 Goals) ,  Spain A. Mayol (1 Goals) ,  Spain D. Raba (1 Goals) ,  Spain D. Otorbi (1 Goals) ,  Spain Pepelu (1 Goals)
Best assists
Spain I. Romero (1 Assists) , 
Spain Oso (1 Assists) , 
Georgia G. Kochorashvili (1 Assists) , 
Portugal F. Correia (1 Assists) , 
France Y. Fofana (1 Assists) , 
Scotland R. Ure (1 Assists) , 
Belgium L. Stassin (1 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Guerra Moreno (2 Assists)

Sevilla - Valencia Key Points

  1. Los Rojiblancos have scored at a rate of 1.75 per game.
  2. Valencia has only scored one goal in four games.
  3. The last five H2H meetings between both sides ended with two goals or less.
  4. Los Che is winless in four games this season.
  5. Only two out of their last 11 meetings ended with more than two goals.
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Our Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction

The last H2H meeting between both sides that ended with more than two goals was in 2023. Now Sevilla and Valencia prepare to play at a time when Los Che have only scored one in four. 

Los Rojiblancos’ goal-scoring form is better so they will likely find the net. Still, we expect a repeat of history on Friday, for the under 2.5 goals bet to win, just as in nine of their last 11 encounters. Hence, our Sevilla vs Valencia match prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Valencia

Sevilla vs Valencia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sevilla wins 2.39 1.85 -22.6%
Draw 3.10 3.70 +19.4%
Valencia wins 3.43 5.13 +49.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sevilla is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 41.8% and is now 54.1% (12.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.