Senegal vs Botswana Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Senegal
23/12/2025 07:00
Botswana

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in AFCON Predictions

African Cup of Nations (AFCON) favorites Senegal begin their 2025 tournament on Tuesday against Botswana. The two teams are pooled together in Group D alongside DR Congo and Benin. With each team in the group playing three games, qualification into the knockout rounds will be for the top two nations. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

This is the third time that these two countries are facing off. Their first two encounters came 10 years ago, in the qualifiers for the 2015 AFCON tournament. Senegal won both home and away, scoring five goals without conceding. The Teranga Lions are once again coming here as the overwhelming favorites against the Zebras of Botswana.

Botswana are back at this stage after a 13-year absence and will only be making their second appearance. This match will also mark the fourth straight AFCON game where they face a West African opponent. In 2012, they met Ghana, Mali, and Guinea.

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The Best Betting Odds for Senegal v Botswana Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.2 6.25 15
Betfred
1.17 5.5 15
William Hill
1.2 5 17
Unibet
1.19 6.25 17
Betway
1.2 6 15
Check all Senegal vs Botswana odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Senegal and Botswana?

Our prediction for the Senegal vs Botswana match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/12/2025 between Senegal and Botswana in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.54% for a win of Senegal against Botswana with odds of 1.23 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Senegal vs Botswana is 32.95% with odds of 6.55 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 10.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Botswana vs Senegal with odds of 17 at William Hill.

Senegal vs Botswana Form

Senegal and Botswana Last Matches

Senegal
Senegal Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
4 :  0
Mauritania

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Congo DR
2 :  3
Senegal

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Sudan
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
4 :  0
Mauritania

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Sudan

12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  1
Congo Republic

5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria

7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Guinea

4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Guinea
D D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Congo DR
2 :  3
Senegal

29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

26 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Morocco
1 :  1
Senegal
Botswana
Botswana Last matches
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
2 :  2
Botswana

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
0 :  1
Uganda

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
2 :  0
Botswana

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Algeria
3 :  1
Botswana

11 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Botswana
3 :  3
Zambia

9 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Comoros
0 :  0
Botswana
W D L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
0 :  1
Uganda

11 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Botswana
3 :  3
Zambia

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
2 :  0
Somalia

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Botswana
1 :  3
Algeria

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Botswana
1 :  1
Mauritania

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Botswana
1 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.
W D D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Guinea
2 :  2
Botswana

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Mozambique
2 :  0
Botswana

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Algeria
3 :  1
Botswana

9 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Comoros
0 :  0
Botswana

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  1
Botswana

10 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Cape Verde Isl.
0 :  1
Botswana

Senegal - Botswana: Form Analysis

Senegal have qualified for the continent’s biggest showpiece for a sixth consecutive time and will be looking to add to their 2021 title. The Lions of Teranga had a disappointing defence of their title in the last edition in Ivory Coast, falling to the hosts in the round of 16.

Now, under former Senegal international Pape Thiaw, the West Africans target to go all the way once again. Senegal qualified for this tournament unbeaten, winning five of six qualifiers.

In their most recent fixture, a friendly match played slightly over a month ago, Senegal thumped Kenya 8-0.

Botswana are searching for its first-ever win at the AFCON level.

Botswana aren’t as experienced as Senegal at this stage; this is only their second appearance at an AFCON. The Southern African nation first participated at this level in 2012.

It was a disastrous debut, as they lost all three of their group games, scoring just twice and conceding nine goals. In one match, the Zebras were hammered 6-1 by Guinea, one of the biggest scorelines in recent history.

In the qualifiers, Botswana was pooled in a tricky qualifying group that had World Cup-bound Egypt and Cape Verde, along with Mauritania.

They finished second behind Egypt. The COSAFA region nation hasn’t won any of its last five fixtures and lost 2-1 to Tunisia in a build-up game earlier in the week.

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Senegal & Botswana Squad Analysis

Once again, Senegal have called up a star-studded side full of household names in some of the big leagues in Europe. Idrissa Gueye, Ismaila Sarr, Boulaye Dia, Nicholas Jackson, Iliman Ndiaye, and Sadio Mane are some of the big names in the squad.

Mane was in the team when Senegal last played Botswana and was amongst the scorers. As his nation’s leading scorer with 50 goals, he will be expected to make a big impact here.

Sadio Mane will be Senegal's main man, having scored 50 times for the Teranga Lions.

Botswana’s squad is filled with players who feature much closer to home. Only five players in the team play outside Botswana, and only one, defender Thatayaone Ditlhokwe of Al Ittihad, plays outside Africa.

Two players, Tumisang Orebonye and Kabelo Seakanyeng, are well aware of their surroundings in Morocco as they ply their trade in the country.

Orebonye, who plays for Wydad Casablanca, has scored five goals for his country and was on target in the loss to Tunisia earlier in the week.

Senegal - Botswana Key Points

  1. Botswana have conceded two or more goals five times in their last seven games.
  2. Senegal have scored three or more goals four times in their last five outings.
  3. Senegal have scored five goals in their two previous meetings with Botswana.
  4. Botswana’s last five matches had a total of 14 goals.
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Our Senegal vs Botswana Prediction

Our prediction for the Senegal v Botswana match is for more than 2.5 goals. Senegal have been free-scoring; they are among the most potent teams in Africa. Seeing games in which they are involved in producing a high-scoring outcome has been a constant occurrence.

In their most recent outing, the Teranga Lions scored eight goals without reply. With their current squad filled with some of the game’s top talents, including Sadio Mane and Ismaila Sarr, we seem bound for another goal fest. Meanwhile, Botswana have one of the leakiest defence lines, which adds justification for this prediction.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Senegal vs Botswana - Other Interesting Predictions

Sadio Mane to score

Odds 1.9

In our second prediction, we’ll back Sadio Mane to score. The forward is Senegal’s all-time leading scorer with 50 goals so far. He scored a hat-trick in Senegal’s last match and has found the back of the net in each of his last two matches with his club.

Mane also netted in the first-ever meeting between Senegal and Botswana.

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Senegal vs Botswana match : Frequently asked questions

This match will be played on Tuesday, 23 December.

This match will be played at the Tangier Grand Stadium in Tangiers, Morocco.

Fans in Senegal will be able to watch this year’s AFCON tournament on Canal+, RTS and SuperSport. In Botswana, SuperSport will air this match. Sportytrader will also have minute-by-minute updates of this and other AFCON matches.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Senegal vs Botswana Prediction