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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The fourth round in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers (AFC) will draw to a close on Tuesday evening, when Saudi Arabia play host to Iraq at King Abdullah Sports City. The Arabian Falcons lead Group B, while the Lions of Mesopotamia are in second place. Let’s get into the match prediction!
After featuring in the last two World Cups, Saudi Arabia are now 90 minutes away from booking their place in next year’s tournament, but they need to avoid defeat here to get through on the “goals scored” tiebreaker.
The Arabian Falcons netted three times against Indonesia (3-2) last week and are now unbeaten in their last three matches. They’ve only lost to Mexico, the USA and Australia in their last 10 games.
The hosts have also won three of their last four home games and beat their upcoming opponent 3-1 in their last meeting at the Arabian Gulf Cup in December.
Meanwhile, Iraq have not been to the World Cup since 1986. The equation for them is straightforward here - they must win this match to qualify for next year’s tournament in North America.
The Lions of Mesopotamia beat Indonesia 1-0 on Saturday evening and are now on a four-match win streak, a period during which they also clinched the 2025 King’s Cup in Thailand.
While the visitors lost to this opponent in their last meeting, they did avoid defeat against them in their last two encounters on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Saudi Arabia v Iraq Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 7 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.35 | 5.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Saudi Arabia and Iraq?
Our prediction for the Saudi Arabia vs Iraq match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between Saudi Arabia and Iraq in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.97% for a win of Saudi Arabia against Iraq with odds of 1.75 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Saudi Arabia vs Iraq is 11.84% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Iraq vs Saudi Arabia with odds of 7 at Bet365.
Saudi Arabia - Iraq Prediction and Best Odds:
| Saudi Arabia Iraq Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia wins | 54.97% | 1.75 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.23% | 2.21 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Saudi Arabia | 30.79% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Form
Saudi Arabia and Iraq's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Saudi Arabia and Iraq Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
30 May 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - King's Cup
4 Sept 2025 - King's Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - King's Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
28 Dec 2024 - Gulf Cup
22 Dec 2024 - Gulf Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - King's Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
25 Dec 2024 - Gulf Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
28 Dec 2024 - Gulf Cup
Saudi Arabia against Iraq Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Saudi Arabia
Iraq
F. Al-Buraikan
(5 Goals)
A. Hussein
(8 Goals)
M. Al-Juwayr
(2 Assists)
,
S. Al-Dawsari
(2 Assists)
Ali Jassim
(2 Assists)
Saudi Arabia - Iraq Key Points
- Four of Saudi Arabia’s last five matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Saudi Arabia have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight matches.
- Five of Iraq’s last seven matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Prediction
This World Cup qualification cycle has been a story of near-misses for Saudi Arabia so far, as they finished behind Jordan on goal difference in round one and came third in their group in the second round.
Still, all of that will be forgotten if they avoid defeat in this match, but Iraq will certainly not go down without a fight. Given the qualification scenario here, expect the visitors to throw caution to the wind, and we feel they will be able to get on the scoresheet. Our Saudi Arabia vs Iraq prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Saudi Arabia Iraq
| Saudi Arabia vs Iraq | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia wins | 1.75 | 1.53 | -12.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.9 | +14.7% |
| Iraq wins | 5 | 7 | +40.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Saudi Arabia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 65.4% (8.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Saudi Arabia vs. Iraq game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Saudi Arabia and Iraq? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
