Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Italy - Serie A

Sassuolo
17/05/2026 14:45
Lecce

Prediction :

 

Sassuolo wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Sassuolo will hope to end an outstanding Serie A campaign at home with a win as they host struggling Lecce on Sunday. With survival guaranteed, Sassuolo will be under no pressure, looking to build on a run of three wins, as many losses and two draws in the last eight games. Their three wins have all come at home, the reason our prediction here will back them too.

Sassuolo are only fighting to end the season on a high. The hosts have won four of their five meetings with sides starting this round in the bottom six.

They will therefore be confident of handling Lecce, who comes here under pressure as their safety isn’t guaranteed yet.

Should Lecce pick up three points here, their safety in Serie A will be assured with a game to spare. They fought hard in the last game but still lost 1-0 to Juventus, leaving them just a point above the drop zone.

The visitors will be determined not to join Pisa and Verona down the Serie B route and all they need is to match or better Cremonese’s next two results.

Lecce are unbeaten in their last two away matches, bagging four points from them, but those were against the two relegated sides. Facing Sassuolo, it could be uphill.

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Sassuolo v Lecce Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.7 3.25 2.75
Melbet
2.78 3.19 2.63
Betwinner
2.78 3.19 2.63
Bet365
2.63 3.2 2.75
Roobet
2.64 3.2 2.7
Check all Sassuolo vs Lecce odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and Lecce?

Our prediction for the Sassuolo vs Lecce match is: Sassuolo wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Sassuolo and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.2% for a win of Sassuolo against Lecce with odds of 2.9 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sassuolo vs Lecce is 18.35% with odds of 3.31 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Sassuolo with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.

Sassuolo - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:

Sassuolo Lecce Prediction Probability Odds
Sassuolo wins 59.2% 2.9 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 51.76% 2.1 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 53.75%
Half-time / Full-time : Sassuolo/Sassuolo 26.29% 4.33 at Bet365

Sassuolo vs Lecce Form

Sassuolo and Lecce's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Sassuolo
49 38 14 7 17 -4
17 Lecce
38 38 10 8 20 -22

Sassuolo and Lecce Last Matches

Sassuolo
Sassuolo Last matches
W L W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Sassuolo

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  0
AC Milan

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Como 1907

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  0
AC Milan

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Como 1907

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Bologna

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

20 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  0
Hellas Verona
W L D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Sassuolo

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Sassuolo

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Sassuolo

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Sassuolo
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
L L D D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Juventus

1 May 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
Lecce

25 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  0
Lecce

20 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Lecce

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Atalanta
W L W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Juventus

20 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Atalanta

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Cremonese

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Udinese
L L L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 May 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
Lecce

25 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  0
Lecce

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Lecce

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Lecce

28 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
3 :  1
Lecce

Sassuolo vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sassuolo

50 %

Draw

33 %

Lecce

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo

24 Sept 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
0 :  2
Sassuolo

21 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  3
Lecce

6 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Sassuolo

25 Feb 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Sassuolo

20 Aug 2022 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Lecce
Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction

Sassuolo against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11

Sassuolo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
S. Turati
25
W. Coulibaly
66
Pedro Felipe
80
T. Muharemovic
23
U. Garcia
90
I. Kone
18
N. Matic
42
K. Thorstvedt
10
D. Berardi
8
M. Nzola
45
A. Lauriente
99
W. Cheddira
19
L. Banda
29
L. Coulibaly
50
S. Pierotti
79
O. Ngom
20
Y. Ramadani
25
A. Gallo
44
Tiago Gabriel
5
J. Siebert
17
D. Veiga
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Lecce

Substitutes

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Goalkeeper

G. Zacchi

G. Satalino

A. Muric

Defender

J. Doig

T. Macchioni

Midfielder

C. Frangella

A. Lauriente 88'

E. Iannoni

L. Lipani

N. Matic 63'

D. Bakola

I. Kone 72'

Forward

A. Fadera

C. Volpato

D. Berardi 72'

L. Moro

A. Pinamonti

M. Nzola 63'

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

J. Samooja

C. Fruchtl

Defender

C. Ndaba

G. Jean

L. Banda 64'

S. Fofana

M. Ignacio

K. Gaspar

Midfielder

O. Gandelman

S. Pierotti 79'

O. Gorter

K. N’Dri

D. Veiga 86'

T. Helgason

F. Marchwinski

A. Sala

Forward

N. Stulic

Y. Ramadani 86'

F. Camarda

W. Cheddira 80'

Missing players

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Defender

S. Walukiewicz

F. Cande

E. Pieragnolo

Midfielder

D. Boloca

Lecce
Lecce
Forward

M. Berisha

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sassuolo
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Zambia L. Banda (5 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Lauriente (9 Assists)
Best assists
Italy A. Gallo (4 Assists) , 
Zambia L. Banda (4 Assists)

Sassuolo - Lecce Key Points

  1. Lecce have lost seven of their last 10 away matches.
  2. Sassuolo have won six of their last eight home games.
  3. Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last two matches against Lecce.
  4. Lecce have managed just two wins in their last 10 matches, losing six.
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Our Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction

Lecce have posted only two wins in their last 10 Serie A matches, and those were against sides that start this round in the relegation region—Pisa and Cremonese. In that 10-game stretch, they lost six times and will be getting into this game as heavy underdogs.

The visitors meet a side that has been solid at home in recent outings, Sassuolo posting six wins in the last eight home games. Our prediction for Sassuolo v Lecce is that Sassuolo wins.

Prediction :

 

Sassuolo wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sassuolo Lecce

Sassuolo vs Lecce Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sassuolo wins 2.4 2.9 +20.8%
Draw 3.28 3.31 +0.9%
Lecce wins 3.42 2.8 -18.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sassuolo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 20.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 34.5% (-7.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.