Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
The Emilia-Romagna derby is upon us this weekend as Sassuolo welcomes Bologna in the 29th round of the Italian Serie A. There’s one point standing between the two sides, with Sassuolo being ninth on 38 and Bologna placed eighth. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
In the last five league matches, these two sides have had identical records. Hosts Sassuolo are coming off a 2-1 defeat against Lazio. A stoppage-time concession saw their three-game winning run come to an end.
However, with five wins in their last seven matches, Neroverdi remain one of the most in-form sides in Serie A.
Bologna dropped points from a winning position as they fell 2-1 to relegation-threatened Verona. It was one of the shocking outcomes in recent Serie A matches, ending Bologna’s run of three straight wins.
The Rossoblu could not fully recover as they drew 1-1 with AS Roma in their latest outing, a Europa League all-Italian affair.
Now winless in two matches and with fears of fatigue from the grueling midweek battle, Bologna have to find a way against a well-rested host.
They are 11 points adrift of the top six. Their charge for a return to winning ways is boosted by a run of four straight wins away from home.
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Sassuolo v Bologna Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.16 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.16 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Sassuolo vs Bologna match is: BTTS and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Sassuolo and Bologna in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.03% for a win of Sassuolo against Bologna with odds of 2.64 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sassuolo vs Bologna is 18.77% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Sassuolo with odds of 3.02 at 888Starz.
Sassuolo - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sassuolo Bologna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 49.2% | 3.02 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.56% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bologna/Bologna | 19.17% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Sassuolo vs Bologna Form
Sassuolo and Bologna's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
56 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 |
|
11
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 |
Sassuolo and Bologna Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
20 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
20 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
15 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Sassuolo vs Bologna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Feb 2024 - Serie A
28 Oct 2023 - Serie A
8 May 2023 - Serie A
12 Nov 2022 - Serie A
15 May 2022 - Serie A
Sassuolo against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Zacchi
S. Turati
G. Satalino
DefenderJ. Doig
W. Coulibaly
F. Romagna
Pedro Felipe
MidfielderE. Iannoni
A. Vranckx
C. Volpato
D. Bakola
L. Lipani
ForwardL. Moro
M. Nzola
F. Ravaglia
M. Pessina
DefenderT. Heggem
N. Casale
J. Mario
N. Zortea
C. Lykogiannis
E. Helland
MidfielderR. Freuler
T. Pobega
F. Bernardeschi
S. Castro
B. Dominguez
J. Rowe
Missing players
F. Cande
E. Pieragnolo
MidfielderD. Boloca
ForwardA. Fadera
L. Ferguson
Most goals and assists
Sassuolo
Bologna
A. Pinamonti
(9 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(10 Goals)
A. Lauriente
(9 Assists)
N. Cambiaghi
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Miranda
(4 Assists)
Sassuolo - Bologna Key Points
- Sassuolo only failed to score twice in five home matches.
- 15 goals were netted in Sassuolo’s last five home outings.
- Three of Bologna’s last five away games had over 2.5 goals.
- In four of the last five meetings between these two, both sides scored.
- An average of 2.6 goals were scored in the last five meetings between these sides.
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Our Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction
A mid-table battle almost always comes with the guarantee of an end-to-end game, and we could be in for one here. Only a point separates Sassuolo and Bologna in the standings ahead of the Romagna derby.
The two sides have been scoring in almost all their matches, and we would think of this one as an exception. The hosts have done well lately at home, while Bologna have generally been rediscovering their best. As the two are eyeing the top six, our prediction for Sassuolo v Bologna is BTTS and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sassuolo Bologna
| Sassuolo vs Bologna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo wins | 3.05 | 2.64 | -13.4% |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.4 | -7.1% |
| Bologna wins | 2.41 | 3.02 | +25.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bologna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.5% and is now 33.1% (-8.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
