Santos vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Vila Belmiro turns into a goal factory whenever these two meet in the Brasileirão. Four of the last five head-to-head clashes have settled on exactly three goals, and that trend alone has our match prediction locked onto the over. Cruzeiro rolls into São Paulo full of running, 38 goals already banked in the league, while Santos aren't far behind on 37.
Peixe comes off a red-hot week, dispatching Atlético-MG 2-0 in the Copa Sudamericana before turning their attention back to the table. Cuca's side sit down in 13th on 32 points, but don't let that fool you. Santos have won both of their last two meetings with Raposa, five goals shared between the pair.
Look closer at that record and the bet practically writes itself. Santos put Cruzeiro away 3-0 at home and snatched a 2-1 win on the road last year, both games winning the over 2.5 goals bet. Despite this season's reverse fixture fizzling out 0-0 in March, four of the last five games between Santos and Cruzeiro have produced 3+ goals.
Additionally, Raposa hasn't beaten Peixe since a 3-0 shocker back in 2023. But they have hardly been shy in front of goal themselves, putting three past Athletico Paranaense last time out to sit sixth.
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Santos v Cruzeiro Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.30 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.40 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.77 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.26 | 3.06 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Cruzeiro?
Our prediction for the Santos vs Cruzeiro match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Santos and Cruzeiro in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.24% for a win of Santos against Cruzeiro with odds of 2.82 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Cruzeiro is 29.49% with odds of 3.4 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Cruzeiro vs Santos with odds of 3.1 at 1xbet.
Santos - Cruzeiro Prediction and Best Odds:
| Santos Cruzeiro Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 39.24% | 2.82 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.52% | 1.97 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Santos | 15.18% | 6.50 at Roobet |
Santos vs Cruzeiro Form
Santos and Cruzeiro's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
54 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 |
|
8
|
46 | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +2 |
Santos and Cruzeiro Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Sept 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
20 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil
29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil
Santos vs Cruzeiro Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sept 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Santos against Cruzeiro Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Diogenes
DefenderRafael Gonzaga
Samuel Pierri
J. Santos Paes da Costa
J. Ananias Bento
MidfielderC. Oliva
G. Menino
Miguelito
G. Caballero
Thaciano
A. Melo
V. Lima
Cassio
DefenderK. Moraes
L. Villalba
William
MidfielderWesley
Z. Lucas
F. Morais
L. Silva
B. Rodrigues
L. Rodriguez
Marquinhos
J. Costa
Missing players
V. Lira
Most goals and assists
Santos
Cruzeiro
G. Barbosa
(15 Goals)
K. Jorge
(11 Goals)
Neymar
(4 Assists)
M. Pereira
(8 Assists)
Santos - Cruzeiro Key Points
- Four of the last five meetings between Santos and Cruzeiro have settled on exactly three goals.
- Santos have won both of their last two meetings with Cruzeiro, 3-0 and 2-1.
- Cruzeiro has scored 38 goals in the league this season, Santos 37.
- Santos beat Atlético-MG 2-0 in the Copa Sudamericana in midweek, their most recent match overall.
- Cruzeiro sit sixth after putting three past Athletico Paranaense last time out.
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Our Santos vs Cruzeiro Prediction
Four of the last five meetings between these two sides have landed on exactly three goals. Santos' last two wins over Cruzeiro, 3-0 and 2-1, both cleared this line. Only March's goalless stalemate broke the trend.
Both attacks have carried that form into their league campaigns too, with Cruzeiro on 38 goals and Santos on 37. And as for goals conceded, Cruzeiro have allowed 37, while Santos have conceded 28 in just 26 games. Hence, our Santos vs Cruzeiro match prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Santos Cruzeiro
| Santos vs Cruzeiro | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 2.47 | 2.82 | +14.2% |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.40 | +2.4% |
| Cruzeiro wins | 2.91 | 3.10 | +6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Santos is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.5% and is now 35.5% (-5.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
