Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Betting Tips - J.League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Matchday 18 of the J1 League will see Sanfrecce Hiroshima host the league-hunting Nagoya Grampus this Saturday. The home side remains desperate to close the distance on the top four, but they face a team operating with maximum efficiency right now. With the visitors boasting five wins in their last seven, our prediction backs Grampus to win or draw. See why below.
Sanfrecce sits at 5th today and looks to steady the ship after a mixed run of domestic results. While the Hiroshima side possesses a highly competitive attacking unit, their defensive integrity has repeatedly let them down at critical moments. Sanfrecce has managed to keep just one clean sheet across their last five league matches on their own turf.
Now they face a Nagoya side that boasts the most goals scored in the league this season (29). What’s more, Grampus arrives in spectacular domestic form despite their latest 6-1 thrashing from Cerezo. The visitors have still won three of their last four games and six of their last nine.
You’d naturally expect Nagoya to win this game, which was, in fact, the case two months ago when Grampus beat Sanfrecce 2-1. That win made it three victories in a row for Nagoya against the hosts. With a chance to cover the one-point gap at the top and go first, Nagoya should win.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.95 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.78 | 3.73 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.88 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.8 | 3.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus?
Our prediction for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus match is: Draw or Nagoya wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/05/2026 between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus in J.League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.32% for a win of Sanfrecce Hiroshima against Nagoya Grampus with odds of 1.87 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus is 21.38% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima with odds of 4.4 at Stake.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins | 41.32% | 1.87 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.81% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Nagoya Grampus / Full-time: Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 16.65% | 21 at Bet365 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus's standings in the J.League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +3 |
|
4
|
30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +8 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - J.League
10 May 2026 - J.League
6 May 2026 - J.League
1 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 May 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
18 Apr 2026 - J.League
11 Apr 2026 - J.League
5 Apr 2026 - J.League
14 Mar 2026 - J.League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - J.League
10 May 2026 - J.League
1 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
27 Mar 2026 - J.League
22 Mar 2026 - J.League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - J.League
10 May 2026 - J.League
6 May 2026 - J.League
3 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - J.League
6 May 2026 - J.League
29 Apr 2026 - J.League
19 Apr 2026 - J.League
4 Apr 2026 - J.League
18 Mar 2026 - J.League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - J.League
3 May 2026 - J.League
25 Apr 2026 - J.League
11 Apr 2026 - J.League
22 Mar 2026 - J.League
7 Mar 2026 - J.League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Mar 2026 - J.League
27 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
28 Jun 2025 - J.League
20 Apr 2025 - J.League
8 Sept 2024 - J. League Cup
4 Sept 2024 - J. League Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima against Nagoya Grampus Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
T. Yudai
DefenderS. Takaaki
MidfielderM. Ohara
N. Yotaro
M. Taishi
C. Yusuke
G. Ryo
K. Kosuke
M. Naoki
A. Pisano
DefenderK. Mikuni
Y. Sato
MidfielderM. Ono
H. Koda
T. Kikuchi
S. Sugiura
T. Morishima
K. Nagai
Most goals and assists
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
S. Akito
(5 Goals)
,
N. Sota
(5 Goals)
Y. Yamagishi
(10 Goals)
H. Shunki
(7 Assists)
K. Nakayama
(7 Assists)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus Key Points
- Nagoya are unbeaten in 13 of their 17 league games, while Sanfrecce are winless in 10 of 17.
- Nagoya has scored the most goals in the league this season (29).
- Nagoya has won the 2nd-most away games (3) and scored the 2nd-most away goals (14).
- Nagoya already beat Sanfrecce this season, making it three H2H wins in a row.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction
Sanfrecce is undoubtedly a strong side for Nagoya, so the visitors definitely have their work cut out for them. However, Nagoya have been the objectively better team all season, and literally has a chance to go to the top this weekend. With that kind of performance, it’s only reasonable to back Nagoya not to lose.
They’ve gone 13 of 17 games unbeaten this season, while boasting the most goals scored in the league. Hence, our Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus prediction is Draw or Nagoya wins.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sanfrecce Hiroshima Nagoya Grampus
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins | 1.68 | 1.87 | +11.3% |
| Draw | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Nagoya Grampus wins | 4.5 | 4.4 | -2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 53.5% (-6.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
