Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction & Betting Tips - Turkiye Kupasi
Turkey - Turkiye Kupasi
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor will be in action for the third time this season as both teams bid for a semi-final spot in the Turkiye Kupasi. Trabzonspor flogged Kırmızı Şimşekler (The Red Lightning) 3-0 in February, but entered this game with a slightly poorer form. Check out our Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor match prediction below.
Despite drawing their last two games to Alanyaspor (1-1) and Basaksehir (1-1), Karadeniz Fırtınası (Black Sea Storm) are still in incredible form. Trabzonspor are now unbeaten in 15 of their last 16 games since January, winning 12 of those matches. The 3-0 win over Samsunspor in that span also made it 5 victories and 3 draws for Trabzonspor in their last 10 encounters.
However, we might be in for a surprise from the underdogs who enter off back-to-back 2-1 wins against Eyupspor and lately, Besiktas. In this tournament, The Red Lightning has been nearly flawless, winning all four of their games since December, scoring 12 goals and conceding just three.
If they can hold the Black Sea Storm to a full-time draw just as they did in their first encounter this season (1-1), Samsunspor might just edge out on penalties. See key stats below.
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Samsunspor v Trabzonspor Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.44 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.44 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor?
Our prediction for the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor match is: Trabzonspor wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/04/2026 between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor in Turkiye Kupasi :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.29% for a win of Samsunspor against Trabzonspor with odds of 2.72 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor is 25.93% with odds of 3.8 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor with odds of 2.6 at Melbet.
Samsunspor - Trabzonspor Prediction and Best Odds:
| Samsunspor Trabzonspor Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor wins | 44.79% | 2.6 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.42% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 68.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Trabzonspor | 19.3% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Form
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
13 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
9 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
5 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
5 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
15 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
1 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
9 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
5 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
22 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
11 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
4 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
18 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
14 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
9 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
4 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
14 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
27 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
14 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Super Lig
18 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
9 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
22 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
40 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
31 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
25 May 2025 - Super Lig
4 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
4 May 2024 - Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
I. Egribayat
DefenderY. Cift
J. Mendes
T. Borevkovic
S. Gonul
A. Diabate
MidfielderA. Sousa
M. Mouandilmadji
E. Tavsan
A. Yildirim
O. Cevikkan
DefenderM. Lovik
S. Malkocoglu
B. Bouchouari
O. Cakroglu
ForwardE. Muci
U. Nayir
A. Nwakaeme
Samsunspor - Trabzonspor Key Points
- Trabzonspor has won five of the last ten encounters with Samsunspor, losing just two.
- The last time they faced in this tournament, Trabzonspor beat Samsunspor 3-0 (in 2022).
- Trabzonspor have won a staggering 12 of their last 16 games in all competitions since January.
- In the local league, Trabzonspor has scored the 3rd-most goals (57) and conceded the 5th-fewest (32).
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Our Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction
It’s never a one-sided affair between these two. However, Trabzonspor’s impeccable form this season makes them our undisputed winners. The Black Sea Storm is having one of its best spells this season, recording only one loss in almost four months. And in that run, they trashed The Red Lightning 3-0 to extend their dominance in this H2H.
And it only makes sense considering that Trabzonspor ranks 3rd in goals and 5th for the fewest conceded this season. Hence, our Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction is that Trabzonspor wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Samsunspor Trabzonspor
| Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor wins | 2.63 | 2.72 | +3.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.8 | +8.6% |
| Trabzonspor wins | 2.42 | 2.6 | +7.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Trabzonspor is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.3% and is now 38.5% (-2.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
