Samsunspor vs Shkendija Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Conference League Predictions
Prepare for a heated second leg in the UEFA Conference League when Shkendija travels to Samsunspor to overturn a 1-0 deficit. Kırmızı Şimşekler, or The Red Lightning, were absolutely dominant in the first leg, but with only one goal separating both sides, Kuqezinjtë (The Red and Blacks) will definitely be coming with their A-game. Let’s get into this match prediction.
Samsunspor, playing in a much higher-ranked league, are undoubtedly the favourites, even with only one win in their last four games. Following the 1-0 victory over Shkendija in the first leg, The Red Lightning drew its next game against Fatih Karagümrük. And before that win was back-to-back league losses to Antalyaspor and Trabzonspor.
But even with those underwhelming performances, the step down from Turkish football to North Macedonian football is enough to justify Samsunspor’s low odds to win. However, their failure to bury the first leg has set the second up for a blockbuster, one that Shkendija should fully participate in.
Unlike the first leg at home, The Red and Blacks have nothing to lose as they already trail, making this a do-or-die affair for the reigning 1. MFL champions. Shkendija bounced back from that defeat with a 2-1 away win over Sileks, which should give them some confidence ahead of this matchup.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Samsunspor v Shkendija Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.32 | 5.6 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.5 | 9.1 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.5 | 9.1 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.2 | 9.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Samsunspor and Shkendija?
Our prediction for the Samsunspor vs Shkendija match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/02/2026 between Samsunspor and Shkendija in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.31% for a win of Samsunspor against Shkendija with odds of 1.32 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Samsunspor vs Shkendija is 9.96% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Shkendija vs Samsunspor with odds of 10.5 at Shangrila.
Samsunspor - Shkendija Prediction and Best Odds:
| Samsunspor Shkendija Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor wins | 53.31% | 1.32 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 52.55% | 2.16 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Samsunspor | 31.39% | 4 at LSbet |
Samsunspor vs Shkendija Form
Samsunspor and Shkendija Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
24 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
24 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
14 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
14 Jan 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
10 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
10 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
19 Nov 2025 - Macedonia Cup
10 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
14 Feb 2026 - 1. MFL
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - 1. MFL
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - 1. MFL
Samsunspor vs Shkendija Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
Samsunspor against Shkendija Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
E. Berat Toruz
I. Egribayat
DefenderY. Cift
J. Mendes
E. Albak
T. Borevkovic
S. Gonul
F. Atoen
C. Yuksel
E. Ceesay
A. Amzai
F. Ramani
DefenderN. Ajetovikj
M. Murati
MidfielderA. Mazari
A. Alhassan
R. Ramadani
V. Krstevski
E. Krasniqi
L. Kaba
B. Ibraimi
Most goals and assists
Samsunspor
Shkendija
M. Mouandilmadji
(8 Goals)
L. Latifi
(1 Goals)
,
S. Spahiu
(1 Goals)
C. Holse
(5 Assists)
R. Webster
(2 Assists)
Samsunspor - Shkendija Key Points
- Shkendija has conceded the joint-fewest goals in their local league this season (16).
- All seven games Shkendija has played in this campaign have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- In the entire tournament so far, Shkendija has scored the joint third-fewest goals (4).
- Samsunspor and Shkendija have conceded the joint sixth-fewest goals in this tournament (6).
- Samsunspor has kept the joint second-most clean sheets (4).
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Our Samsunspor vs Shkendija Prediction
Everything about this game screams under 2.5 goals. Notably, Shkendija are lacking offensively in this tournament, and Samsunspor underlined that when they kept The Red and Blacks quiet in the entire game.
But what's also interesting is Shkendija concedes few goals, and has let in just as much as The Red Lightning, which is under one goal per game as it stands. And that is why all of Shkendija’s seven games ended with under 2.5 goals. Hence, our Samsunspor vs Shkendija prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Samsunspor Shkendija
| Samsunspor vs Shkendija | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor wins | 1.29 | 1.32 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0% |
| Shkendija wins | 12 | 10.5 | -12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Samsunspor is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 75.8% (-1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
