Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Austrian Bundesliga
Austria - Austrian Bundesliga
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Aiming to leapfrog the two teams above them in the table is Salzburg, who play host to Sturm Graz at the Red Bull Arena on matchday 30 of the Bundesliga Championship Group. The hosts are third in the league standings, while the visitors are second. Here's our match prediction.
Salzburg have accumulated 28 points and are two points behind the top spot in the Championship Group table. Success here and results elsewhere will not only see them occupy first place but also leapfrog their opponents in this clash, who are in second place.
The hosts come into this clash boasting four wins in seven championship group games. Their most recent match was a bitter pill to swallow as they lost 1-0 away to SK Rapid. This follows a run of consecutive wins, both coming against Austria Vienna.
The Red Bulls return to their humble abode after halting a five-match winless run, including three consecutive defeats. Hopes of a second consecutive win look unlikely, considering the opponent they are up against.
Sturm Graz have won their last two games at this venue and are aiming to make it three consecutive wins for the first time in club history.
Their form has been far from impressive, though, having drawn their last four league games. This includes a recent 1-1 home draw against Austria Vienna. In fact, they have drawn five of their last six matches.
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Salzburg v Sturm Graz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.61 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.05 | 4.93 |
|
|
1.63 | 4 | 4.93 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.9 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.65 | 4 | 4.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Salzburg and Sturm Graz?
Our prediction for the Salzburg vs Sturm Graz match is: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Salzburg and Sturm Graz in Austrian Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.06% for a win of Salzburg against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.65 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Salzburg vs Sturm Graz is 28.46% with odds of 4.25 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg with odds of 5.2 at Shangrila.
Salzburg - Sturm Graz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Salzburg Sturm Graz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 41.49% | 5.2 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 55.05% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sturm Graz | 17.84% | 11.5 at LSbet |
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Form
Salzburg and Sturm Graz's standings in the Austrian Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
37 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +16 |
|
3
|
29 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | +15 |
Salzburg and Sturm Graz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
10 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
10 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - ÖFB Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - ÖFB Cup
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Salzburg against Sturm Graz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
C. Zawieschitzky
DefenderA. Chase
A. Terzic
M. Diambou
M. Yeo
D. Redzic
K. Konate
E. Baidoo
E. Aguilar
M. Bignetti
DefenderG. Haider
N. Geyrhofer
P. Koller
S. Hierlander
L. Weinhandl
A. Kayombo
O. Kiteishvili
R. Wilson
Most goals and assists
Salzburg
Sturm Graz
P. Ratkov
(9 Goals)
, 
K. Alajbegovic
(9 Goals)
O. Kiteishvili
(15 Goals)
F. Kratzig
(7 Assists)
T. Horvat
(4 Assists)
,
O. Kiteishvili
(4 Assists)
Salzburg - Sturm Graz Key Points
- Salzburg have seen BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals in four of their last five league games.
- Both teams scored in Sturm Graz's last three league games.
- Salzburg's last two home league games have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Sturm Graz have scored in four consecutive away league games.
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Our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction
With the top spot still within touching distance, Salzburg will be desperate to secure maximum points against a Sturm Graz side that has given them problems this season. Their previous match against this opponent ended in a 1-1 draw, underlining the fine margins between the two sides.
We expect a contest filled with plenty of goals. Strum Graz have seen three of their last four away meetings in this fixture end with BTTS + Over 2.5 goals. It won't be surprising if this match were to end in a high-scoring draw. Our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz prediction: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Salzburg Sturm Graz
| Salzburg vs Sturm Graz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salzburg wins | 1.68 | 1.65 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.25 | +6.3% |
| Sturm Graz wins | 4.5 | 5.2 | +15.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sturm Graz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.2% and is now 19.2% (-3.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
