Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Austrian Bundesliga
Austria - Austrian Bundesliga
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
The contender for “game of the season” in the Austrian Bundesliga came early as Salzburg hosts Sturm Graz in Round 7. Will the title defenders snatch an away victory from last season’s runners-up? Find out in our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz match prediction.
In recent years, every clash between these two sides has always been a blockbuster. So it’s no wonder that the odds for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are the same at 1.61. But for this game, we think it's more likely for both teams to net a goal than for anyone to walk away with a 3-0 win. Let’s look at the stats.
In their last three H2H and in five of their last six, both Salzburg and Sturm Graz scored a goal. Interestingly, each of those six games featured over 2.5 goals, so consider that for a secondary bet. What’s more, at Salzburg’s home in this H2H, both teams have scored in their last seven meetings.
Their league form this season only backs our bet. Die Roten Bullen just took a 3-1 away loss to Wolfsberger AC, making it four league games out of six where both teams scored. Meanwhile, Die Schwoazn did suffer an unfortunate 1-0 home defeat to Austria Wien after missing three big chances, but two of their prior three league games saw the BTTS bet win.Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Salzburg v Sturm Graz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.79 | 3.85 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.9 | 4 | 3.63 |
|
|
1.86 | 4.08 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.86 | 4.08 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Salzburg and Sturm Graz?
Our prediction for the Salzburg vs Sturm Graz match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Salzburg and Sturm Graz in Austrian Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.15% for a win of Salzburg against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.9 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Salzburg vs Sturm Graz is 16.82% with odds of 4.08 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg with odds of 3.9 at Stake.
Salzburg - Sturm Graz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Salzburg Sturm Graz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 49.03% | 3.9 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.75 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sturm Graz/Sturm Graz | 21.72% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Form
Salzburg and Sturm Graz's standings in the Austrian Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
38 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | +7 |
|
2
|
37 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +16 |
Salzburg and Sturm Graz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - ÖFB Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Aug 2025 - ÖFB Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Jul 2025 - ÖFB Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - ÖFB Cup
14 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
10 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - ÖFB Cup
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
1 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
25 Jul 2025 - ÖFB Cup
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Apr 2024 - ÖFB Cup
Salzburg against Sturm Graz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
C. Zawieschitzky
DefenderK. Gadou
MidfielderM. Diambou
T. Trummer
C. Bischoff
K. Alajbegovic
S. Kitano
E. Baidoo
K. Onisiwo
M. Bignetti
DefenderK. Bendra
J. Mitchell
N. Geyrhofer
S. Hierlander
B. Beganovic
J. Hodl
O. Kiteishvili
L. Grgic
Most goals and assists
Salzburg
Sturm Graz
P. Ratkov
(9 Goals)
, 
K. Alajbegovic
(9 Goals)
O. Kiteishvili
(15 Goals)
F. Kratzig
(7 Assists)
T. Horvat
(4 Assists)
,
O. Kiteishvili
(4 Assists)
Salzburg - Sturm Graz Key Points
- Both teams scored in the last three H2Hs between Salzburg vs Sturm Graz.
- The BTTS bet has won in five of their last six meetings.
- At Salzburg’s home in this H2H, both teams have scored in seven meetings in a row.
- Four of Salzburg’s six league games this season have featured both teams scoring.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction
If there's any game that can produce the kind of action that sees both teams scoring in this game week, it's the nail-biter between Die Roten Bullen and Die Schwoazn. They've done it time and time again, especially at this venue, plus in recent league games.
Their last three, five of their last six, and seven meetings in a row at Salzburg’s home have now seen both teams netting a goal. Hence, our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Salzburg Sturm Graz
| Salzburg vs Sturm Graz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salzburg wins | 2.04 | 1.9 | -6.9% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 4.08 | +11.8% |
| Sturm Graz wins | 3.26 | 3.9 | +19.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sturm Graz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.7% and is now 25.6% (-5.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
