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Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Austrian Bundesliga

Austria - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
20/09/2025 11:00
Sturm Graz

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score - Yes

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions

The contender for “game of the season” in the Austrian Bundesliga came early as Salzburg hosts Sturm Graz in Round 7. Will the title defenders snatch an away victory from last season’s runners-up? Find out in our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz match prediction.

In recent years, every clash between these two sides has always been a blockbuster. So it’s no wonder that the odds for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are the same at 1.61. But for this game, we think it's more likely for both teams to net a goal than for anyone to walk away with a 3-0 win. Let’s look at the stats.

In their last three H2H and in five of their last six, both Salzburg and Sturm Graz scored a goal. Interestingly, each of those six games featured over 2.5 goals, so consider that for a secondary bet. What’s more, at Salzburg’s home in this H2H, both teams have scored in their last seven meetings.​

Their league form this season only backs our bet. Die Roten Bullen just took a 3-1 away loss to Wolfsberger AC, making it four league games out of six where both teams scored. Meanwhile, Die Schwoazn did suffer an unfortunate 1-0 home defeat to Austria Wien after missing three big chances, but two of their prior three league games saw the BTTS bet win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Salzburg v Sturm Graz Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.86 3.9 3.5
Betfred
1.83 3.75 3.6
William Hill
1.91 3.75 3.5
Betway
1.91 3.75 3.4
Unibet
1.82 3.9 3.7
Check all Salzburg vs Sturm Graz odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Salzburg and Sturm Graz?

Our prediction for the Salzburg vs Sturm Graz match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Salzburg and Sturm Graz in Austrian Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.15% for a win of Salzburg against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.91 at William Hill.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Salzburg vs Sturm Graz is 16.82% with odds of 4.08 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 49.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg with odds of 3.7 at Unibet.

Salzburg - Sturm Graz Prediction and Best Odds:

Salzburg Sturm Graz Prediction Probability Odds
Sturm Graz wins 49.03% 3.7 at Unibet
Over 2.5 goals 70% 1.55 at Betway
Both Team To Score 45.42%
Half-time / Full-time: Sturm Graz/Sturm Graz 21.72% 5.5 at Bet365

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Form

Salzburg and Sturm Graz's standings in the Austrian Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Salzburg
Salzburg
24 12 7 3 2 13
4
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
21 11 7 0 4 8

Salzburg and Sturm Graz Last Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg Last matches
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Wolfsberger
3 :  1
Salzburg

30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
2 :  2
Blau-Weiss Linz

27 Aug 2025 - ÖFB Cup

Dornbirn
1 :  3
Salzburg

23 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
3 :  0
LASK Linz

16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg
1 :  2
Salzburg

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
3 :  2
Salzburg
L D L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
2 :  2
Blau-Weiss Linz

23 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
3 :  0
LASK Linz

9 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
5 :  0
Grazer AK 1902

6 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Salzburg
0 :  1
Club Brugge

30 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Salzburg
1 :  1
SK Brann

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Salzburg
1 :  2
Derby County
W D L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Wolfsberger
3 :  1
Salzburg

27 Aug 2025 - ÖFB Cup

Dornbirn
1 :  3
Salzburg

16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg
1 :  2
Salzburg

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
3 :  2
Salzburg

2 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Josko Ried
2 :  2
Salzburg

26 Jul 2025 - ÖFB Cup

Wohnbau Dietach
0 :  4
Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Sept 2025 - ÖFB Cup

SC Rothis
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

14 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Austria Vienna

30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Grazer AK 1902
0 :  3
Sturm Graz

26 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
Bodoe/Glimt

20 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
5 :  0
Sturm Graz

16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Josko Ried
1 :  3
Sturm Graz
D W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Austria Vienna

26 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
Bodoe/Glimt

10 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  2
Rapid Wien

6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  3
Strasbourg

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
Hamburg

9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  1
Mlada Boleslav
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Sept 2025 - ÖFB Cup

SC Rothis
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Grazer AK 1902
0 :  3
Sturm Graz

20 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
5 :  0
Sturm Graz

16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Josko Ried
1 :  3
Sturm Graz

1 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

LASK Linz
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

25 Jul 2025 - ÖFB Cup

SK Bischofshofen
0 :  4
Sturm Graz

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Salzburg

17 %

Draw

17 %

Sturm Graz

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.83
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (home team)
3
Goals scored (away team)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

9 May 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
4 :  2
Salzburg

13 Apr 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
1 :  2
Sturm Graz

2 Mar 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
3 :  1
Sturm Graz

6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
5 :  0
Salzburg

28 Apr 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
2 :  2
Sturm Graz

4 Apr 2024 - ÖFB Cup

Salzburg
3 :  4
Sturm Graz
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Salzburg
Salzburg
Goalkeeper

A. Schlager

Defender

S. Lainer

J. Schuster

J. Rasmussen

C. Bischoff

Midfielder

M. Bidstrup

S. Diabate

E. Baidoo

M. Kjaergaard

Forward

K. Onisiwo

K. Alajbegovic

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Goalkeeper

O. Christensen

Defender

N. Geyrhofer

T. Oermann

E. Karic

D. Lavalee

E. Aiwu

Midfielder

O. Kiteishvili

J. Hodl

S. Hierlander

Forward

L. Grgic

M. Malone

Substitutes

Salzburg
Salzburg
Goalkeeper

C. Zawieschitzky

Defender

K. Gadou

Midfielder

C. Bischoff

F. Kratzig

M. Diambou

T. Trummer

Forward

E. Baidoo

M. Yeo

K. Onisiwo

P. Ratkov

K. Alajbegovic

Y. Vertessen

S. Kitano

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Goalkeeper

M. Bignetti

Defender

N. Geyrhofer

J. Gorenc-Stankovic

K. Bendra

J. Mitchell

Midfielder

O. Kiteishvili

F. Rozga

B. Beganovic

S. Hierlander

T. Chukwuani

J. Hodl

T. Horvat

Forward

L. Grgic

S. Jatta

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Salzburg
CD Huachipato Sturm Graz
Top Goalscorer
Serbia P. Ratkov (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Georgia O. Kiteishvili (6 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark M. Kjaergaard (4 Assists)
Best assists
Slovenia T. Horvat (4 Assists)

Salzburg - Sturm Graz Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in the last three H2Hs between Salzburg vs Sturm Graz.
  2. The BTTS bet has won in five of their last six meetings.
  3. At Salzburg’s home in this H2H, both teams have scored in seven meetings in a row.
  4. Four of Salzburg’s six league games this season have featured both teams scoring.
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Our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction

If there's any game that can produce the kind of action that sees both teams scoring in this game week, it's the nail-biter between Die Roten Bullen and Die Schwoazn. They've done it time and time again, especially at this venue, plus in recent league games.

Their last three, five of their last six, and seven meetings in a row at Salzburg’s home have now seen both teams netting a goal. Hence, our Salzburg vs Sturm Graz prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score - Yes

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Salzburg Sturm Graz

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Salzburg wins 2 1.86 -7.0%
Draw 3.6 3.9 +8.3%
Sturm Graz wins 3.2 3.5 +9.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sturm Graz is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 9.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 28.6% (-2.7%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Salzburg vs. Sturm Graz game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Salzburg and Sturm Graz? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Austrian Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Enjoy the promotion!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction

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