Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction & Betting Tips - Eliteserien
Norway - Eliteserien
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
It’s early-season crisis mode at Lerkendal as 16th-placed Rosenborg hosts Sarpsborg 08 on Matchday 4 of the new Eliteserien season. Rosenborg has endured a catastrophic start to 2026, losing all three openers without scoring a single goal. Can the Troillongan finally find the net, or will 08 extend their nine-game unbeaten run against the hosts? See our match prediction below.
Rosenborg is currently at rock bottom, reeling from consecutive 2-0 defeats to Tromsø, Molde, and Vålerenga. The departure or absence of key offensive players has left The Troll Children toothless, and injuries to David Duris and Tomas Nemcik have only deepened the gloom in Trondheim.
For a club used to challenging for titles, this winless and scoreless run is a historic low that Alfred Johansson must fix immediately to avoid an unthinkable relegation battle. In contrast, Sarpsborg 08 has started the year with the confidence of a top-six side. Following a clinical 2-0 away win at Sandefjord, they fought to a 1-1 draw against IK Start.
08 have become Rosenborg's ultimate nightmare, having won or drawn the hosts in their last nine meetings across all competitions. But with the pressure at an all-time high for the hosts, Sarpsborg’s 5-year-long streak might just end on Sunday.
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Rosenborg v Sarpsborg 08 Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.26 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.54 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.56 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rosenborg and Sarpsborg 08?
Our prediction for the Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 match is: draw or Sarpsborg 08.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Rosenborg and Sarpsborg 08 in Eliteserien :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.27% for a win of Rosenborg against Sarpsborg 08 with odds of 2.3 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 is 14.7% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg with odds of 3 at Bet365.
Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 wins | 47.04% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.88% | 2.15 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sarpsborg 08/Sarpsborg 08 | 19.45% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Form
Rosenborg and Sarpsborg 08's standings in the Eliteserien
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
14 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 |
|
15
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9 |
Rosenborg and Sarpsborg 08 Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Eliteserien
22 Mar 2026 - Eliteserien
14 Mar 2026 - Eliteserien
8 Mar 2026 - NM Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Eliteserien
27 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Feb 2026 - Atlantic Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Eliteserien
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Eliteserien
14 Mar 2026 - Eliteserien
8 Mar 2026 - NM Cup
30 Jan 2026 - Atlantic Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Eliteserien
1 Nov 2025 - Eliteserien
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Eliteserien
26 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Mar 2026 - Eliteserien
8 Mar 2026 - NM Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Eliteserien
26 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Nov 2025 - Eliteserien
8 Nov 2025 - Eliteserien
25 Oct 2025 - Eliteserien
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Eliteserien
8 Mar 2026 - NM Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Dec 2025 - NM Cup
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
60 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Eliteserien
18 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien
25 Jun 2025 - NM Cup
23 Nov 2024 - Eliteserien
12 Jul 2024 - Eliteserien
Rosenborg against Sarpsborg 08 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
R. Sandberg
DefenderJ. Svensson
M. Ceide
H. Volden
A. Nilsen Pereira
S. Vaananen
J. Bakke
J. Reitan Sunde
D. Islamovic
L. Oy
DefenderM. Koch
E. Wichne
B. Gueye
J. Gregersen
C. Kouakou
M. Svenningsen-Gronn
S. Christiansen
Noa Williams
Most goals and assists
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08
S. Nordli
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Chiakha
(2 Goals)
, 
D. Islamovic
(2 Goals)
D. Seland Karlsbakk
(3 Goals)
,
V. Halvorsen
(3 Goals)
O. Selnaes
(2 Assists)
,
I. Fossum
(2 Assists)
,
E. Ceide
(2 Assists)
S. Sorli
(3 Assists)
Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 Key Points
- Sarpsborg 08 is unbeaten in their last nine games against Rosenborg (6 wins, 3 draws).
- What’s more, Sarpsborg has won five of its last six games in this stadium.
- Rosenborg has lost all three games this season.
- Additionally, Rosenborg has failed to score even a single goal this season.
- Sarpsborg are undefeated so far, winning and drawing their only two games.
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Our Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction
1.67 odds for Sarpsborg 08 to make it out alive, just as they’ve done in their last nine meetings against Rosenborg, is a bet that’s hard to pass up. But history aside, the stats are pointing in the same direction. While it’s true that The Troll Children enter with desperation that cannot be underrated, it’s not necessarily going to undo the structural problems plaguing them.
They’ve not only lost all three games so far, but lost 2-0 in each game, leaving no room for doubt about the difference in quality between them and their opponents. Hence, our Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 prediction is draw or Sarpsborg 08.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
| Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg wins | 2.03 | 2.3 | +13.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.6 | -5.3% |
| Sarpsborg 08 wins | 3.36 | 3 | -10.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sarpsborg 08 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.8% and is now 33.3% (3.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
