Roma vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Serie A Predictions
Roma will hope to stay in the Serie A title race with a win against relegation-threatened Genoa on matchday 17 on Monday. This match in Rome between the fourth-placed Giallorossi and the 17th-placed Grifone comes with our prediction of a home win.
With 30 points from 16 matches (W10, L6), Roma are three points behind leaders Inter Milan, although having played one game more. Genoa’s 14 points from 16 games (W3, D5, L8) see them start this round two points above the relegation zone.
Roma were beaten 2-1 away at Juventus in their last match, which was their third defeat across the last five competitive matches. That said, six wins in their last nine matches give them enough confidence.
Even in the league, they will be confident of overturning a run of three defeats across the last four matches (W1) at home. That’s because Roma have won three of their last four home league fixtures (L1).
Genoa were beaten 1-0 at home by Atalanta last time out, which was their third loss across the last four competitive games (W1). The only win came against Udinese in Serie A, and they could end up in the relegation zone with adverse results.
Their form on the road has been indifferent, as Genoa lost four of their last seven competitive trips (W2, D1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Roma v Genoa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.8 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.72 | 6.55 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.72 | 6.85 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.7 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.7 | 6.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Genoa match is: Roma wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Roma and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.7% for a win of Roma against Genoa with odds of 1.62 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Genoa is 12.9% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Roma with odds of 7.04 at 888Starz.
Roma - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 56.7% | 1.62 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.42% | 2.32 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Genoa / Full-time: Roma | 20.69% | 26 at Bet365 |
Roma vs Genoa Form
Roma and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
16
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Roma and Genoa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
15 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
Roma vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2024 - Serie A
19 May 2024 - Serie A
28 Sept 2023 - Serie A
12 Jan 2023 - Coppa Italia
5 Feb 2022 - Serie A
Roma against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
D. Vasquez
P. Gollini
DefenderD. Rensch
D. Ghilardi
J. Mirra
Angelino
K. Tsimikas
MidfielderA. Romano
N. Pisilli
A. Dovbyk
S. El Shaarawy
R. Mihelsons
E. Lysionok
DefenderA. Marcandalli
S. Sabelli
MidfielderP. Masini
V. Carboni
H. Cuenca
N. Stanciu
M. Thorsby
ForwardL. Colombo
S. Fini
J. Ekhator
L. Venturino
Missing players
E. Ndicka
MidfielderN. El Aynaoui
Most goals and assists
Roma
Genoa
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
L. Colombo
(7 Goals)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
A. Martin
(4 Assists)
Roma - Genoa Key Points
- Roma won three of their last four home league games.
- In the league, Roma won eight of their last 13 matches, losing the other five.
- Genoa lost four of their recent seven trips in all competitions.
- Genoa were beaten in three of their last four matches in all competitions.
- Roma won seven of their last ten matches against Genoa in all competitions.
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Our Roma vs Genoa Prediction
Both teams come into this fixture on the back of poor form and have a mandate to improve. Roma lost three of their last five matches in all competitions, while Genoa were beaten in three of their last four matches. Roma’s recent record against Genoa stands out, though, having lost only one of their last 20 games against them. That may not change here, as Genoa have struggled on the road this season.
Roma have an impressive record against Genoa, which could continue here. Our Roma vs Genoa prediction is Roma wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Genoa
| Roma vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 1.68 | 1.62 | -3.6% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.95 | +14.5% |
| Genoa wins | 6.4 | 7.04 | +10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 61.7% (2.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
