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Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Roma
04/05/2025 12:00
Fiorentina

Prediction :

 

Roma wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions

AS Roma will seek to keep rising when they return home to meet Fiorentina in the Italian Serie A. As the season enters matchday 35, Roma have the chance to rise into the Champions League positions, while Fiorentina are eighth. Read on for our prediction of this match.

AS Roma are coming off a big win. They trounced Inter Milan 1-0 in a result that has reshaped the title race as well as the battle for places in Europe.

Matias Soule scored the only goal of the game as Roma went undefeated in their last 18 league matches. At home in the last 10 matches, Roma won eight.Fiorentina are going through a rough patch.

Their quest to go unbeaten in 10 matches was stopped in the Conference League as they suffered a 2-1 loss to Real Betis. That defeat represented the fourth winless outing in the last seven matches.

La Viola’s on-and-off run has them at 59 points, trailing Roma by a point. In the final four matches of the season, they will be engaged in a battle of the top sides seeking European football slots.

The part that could let them down is their away form. Fiorentina have managed just four wins in 15 away matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.73 3.5 5
Betfred
1.73 3.6 5
William Hill
1.75 3.5 4.4
Betway
1.75 3.75 4.5
Ladbrokes
2.05 2.5 4.5
Check all Roma vs Fiorentina odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Roma vs Fiorentina match is: Roma wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Roma and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.76% for a win of Roma against Fiorentina with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Fiorentina is 24.06% with odds of 3.89 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Roma with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Roma - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Roma Fiorentina Prediction Probability Odds
Roma wins 56.76% 2.05 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 63.97% 2.07 at 22bet
Both Team To Score 72.5%
Half-time / Full-time : Roma/Roma 20.26% 2.85 at Unibet

Roma vs Fiorentina Form

Roma and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Roma
Roma
69 38 20 9 9 21
6
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
65 38 19 8 11 19

Roma and Fiorentina Last Matches

Roma
Roma Last matches
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

19 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Roma

6 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

29 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Roma

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Cagliari
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

6 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Cagliari

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Como 1907

24 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Monza
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Roma

29 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Roma

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Roma

9 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Roma

16 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Roma
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W D D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 May 2025 - Conference League

Betis
2 :  1
Fiorentina

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Empoli

23 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Fiorentina

17 Apr 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Celje

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

10 Apr 2025 - Conference League

Celje
1 :  2
Fiorentina
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Empoli

17 Apr 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Celje

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Juventus

13 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

1 May 2025 - Conference League

Betis
2 :  1
Fiorentina

23 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Fiorentina

10 Apr 2025 - Conference League

Celje
1 :  2
Fiorentina

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

9 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

6 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  2
Fiorentina

Roma vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

17 %

Draw

33 %

Fiorentina

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

27 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Roma

10 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Roma

10 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Fiorentina

27 May 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Roma

15 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 May 2022 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Roma
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

M. Svilar

Defender

D. Rensch

G. Mancini

E. Ndicka

Angelino

Midfielder

L. Gourna-Douath

M. Kone

N. Pisilli

Forward

M. Soule

T. Baldanzi

S. El Shaarawy

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

D. De Gea

Defender

L. Beltran

P. Mari

P. Comuzzo

F. Parisi

N. Fagioli

Midfielder

R. Mandragora

A. Colpani

Y. Adli

A. Gudmundsson

Forward

M. Kean

Substitutes

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

P. Gollini

Defender

M. Hummels

L. Gourna-Douath

B. Cristante

D. Rensch

Z. Celik

A. Salah-Eddine

S. Abdulhamid

V. Nelsson

Midfielder

N. Pisilli

L. Pellegrini

A. Saelemaekers

L. Paredes

T. Baldanzi

E. Shomurodov

Forward

P. Dybala

S. El Shaarawy

A. Dovbyk

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

T. Martinelli

P. Terracciano

Defender

M. Moreno

Midfielder

M. Folorunsho

N. Fagioli

R. Gosens

Y. Adli

C. Ndour

A. Colpani

A. Richardson

Forward

A. Gudmundsson

N. Zaniolo

L. Beltran

M. Pongracic

M. Caprini

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine A. Dovbyk (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (22 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina M. Soule (5 Assists)
Best assists
Germany R. Gosens (9 Assists)

Roma - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Fiorentina lost five of their last nine away league matches.
  2. Fiorentina won only four of their last 15 away matches.
  3. Roma are unbeaten at home to Fiorentina in nine matches.
  4. Roma are undefeated in their last 18 league games.
Up to $300 to bet on Roma - Fiorentina! 

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Our Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction

AS Roma will once again go into a league game as the favorites. Backed by their superb performance against Inter Milan last time out, Roma will also benefit from extended rest. They had no midweek activity and so will be energized for this game.

Fiorentina, on the other hand, are coming from an away game in Europe and are likely to struggle. They havent really been doing well on the road too. Our prediction for AS Roma v Fiorentina is that AS Roma wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Roma wins the match

 
Exclusive Offer
$300 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Fiorentina

Roma vs Fiorentina Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Roma wins 1.8 1.73 -3.9%
Draw 3.5 3.5 0%
Fiorentina wins 4.5 5 +11.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Roma is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 57.8% (2.2%)

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bet365 2 goals ahead early payout

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction
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