Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga in Liga Portugal Predictions
Up next for Benfica in the Liga Portugal is a trip to Rio Ave in search of three crucial points. Mourinho’s men drew the first leg 1-1 at home, but are determined to win at all costs as they desperately chase first-placed Porto. See our best bet in this match prediction.
It’s been bad news after bad news for the visitors, Benfica, who just lost to Porto in the Taca de Portugal quarterfinal. And that loss followed Benfica’s exit from the Taca de Liga semifinals at the hands of Braga. For the Eagles, their only chance of lifting silverware is the league title, as they also hang outside the qualification playoff zone in the UEFA Champions League.
They trail Porto by ten points, sitting in third place behind Sporting CP with three points. Even if they don't win the league, finishing the Champions League qualification zone is the top priority, and that's why another slip-up against Rio Ave is unaffordable.
The home side sits squarely in the middle of the table at 10th place. Riovistas just ended their four-game winless run with a 3-1 victory over Casa Pisa. That might just give Rio Ave, a team that's won only one of seven prior games, enough confidence heading into Saturday’s game.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Rio Ave v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9.5 | 5 | 1.27 |
|
|
8.6 | 5 | 1.34 |
|
|
10 | 5.35 | 1.3 |
|
|
9.2 | 4.9 | 1.31 |
|
|
9.2 | 5.4 | 1.33 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rio Ave and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica scores 2+ goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Rio Ave and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.13% for a win of Rio Ave against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 10 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon is 19.16% with odds of 5.55 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Rio Ave with odds of 1.34 at Stake.
Rio Ave - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rio Ave Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 60.72% | 1.34 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.86% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.67% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 31.31% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Rio Ave and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
39 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | +25 |
|
11
|
20 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -7 |
Rio Ave and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
Rio Ave against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Chamorro
DefenderG. Liavas
J. Panzo
O. Richards
MidfielderO. Pohlmann
T. Nikitscher
A. Papakanellos
ForwardK. Zoabi
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
D. Ferreira
DefenderJ. Neto
S. Lopes Cabral
A. Silva
MidfielderF. Ivanovic
E. Barrenechea
M. Silva
ForwardBruma
J. Rego
Missing players
T. Bakoulas
S. Soares
DefenderA. Bah
MidfielderJ. Veloso
ForwardD. Lukebakio
Most goals and assists
Rio Ave
Benfica Lisbon
C. Silva
(10 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(17 Goals)
C. Silva
(6 Assists)
F. Aursnes
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Dedic
(3 Assists)
,
V. Pavlidis
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Lukebakio
(3 Assists)
, Rio Ave and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal
Rio Ave - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Benfica have scored the joint second-most goals (36).
- Benfica have created the fourth-most big chances (49).
- Rio Ave has conceded the joint fourth-most goals (29).
- Rio Ave has conceded in ten straight games, with seven allowed in their last three games alone.
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Our Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Benfica desperately needs a win, and we expect that to reflect in their away game against Rio Ave. After the 1-1 draw earlier this season, The Eagles are especially aware that only one goal might not cut it.
And scoring multiple goals shouldn't be a problem for a Benfica side that's scored the second-most in the league this season. After all, they've scored 2+ goals in seven of their last nine league games. Hence, our Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon prediction is that Benfica scores 2+ goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rio Ave Benfica Lisbon
| Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave wins | 10 | 10 | 0% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.55 | +5.7% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.3 | 1.34 | +3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 74.6% (-2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Rio Ave vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Rio Ave and Benfica Lisbon? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
