Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
A narrow one-goal deficit from the first leg against Hamrun Spartans might propel RFS into action as they go all out to remain in the playoffs of the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League. This second-leg match on Thursday at LNK Sporta Parks comes with our prediction of a home win and under 2.5 goals.
Hamrun won the first leg 1-0, and the winner of this two-legged tie goes into the league phase of the competition, while the losers will be out of European competitions altogether.
A 55th-minute goal was the difference in the first leg as RFS came up short against Hamrun. That continued their yo-yo form in recent games, as the Latvian hosts have five wins and losses in their last ten competitive games.
Impressive home form should be driving RFS’ charge, as they have won three of their last four home fixtures in all competitions. That said, the lone defeat in this sequence came in Europe.
Hamrun surprised everyone with a gritty display in the first leg, which was also their second game without defeat (W1, D1). This mini-sequence could improve their morale, as they lost four games in a row prior to that.
It’s their away form that’s a concern, as Hamrun have lost their three recent away games in Europe and failed to score in three of the last four such trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for FK RFS v Hamrun Spartans Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.65 | 4 | 4.75 |
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1.62 | 4 | 4.6 |
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1.67 | 3.75 | 4.6 |
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1.65 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
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1.73 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between FK RFS and Hamrun Spartans?
Our prediction for the FK RFS vs Hamrun Spartans match is: RFS win and under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2025 between FK RFS and Hamrun Spartans in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.09% for a win of FK RFS against Hamrun Spartans with odds of 1.73 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FK RFS vs Hamrun Spartans is 15.06% with odds of 4.07 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamrun Spartans vs FK RFS with odds of 5.01 at 22bet.
FK RFS vs Hamrun Spartans Form
FK RFS and Hamrun Spartans Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Cup
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
10 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
6 Aug 2025 - Europa League
3 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Cup
10 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
6 Aug 2025 - Europa League
26 Jul 2025 - Virsliga
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
15 Jul 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
3 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
19 Jul 2025 - Virsliga
12 Jul 2025 - Cup

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League, Championship Round
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
5 Aug 2025 - Europa League
29 Jul 2025 - Champions League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
5 Aug 2025 - Europa League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
15 Jul 2025 - Champions League
14 May 2025 - FA Trophy
31 Mar 2025 - Premier League, Championship Round
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League, Championship Round
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
29 Jul 2025 - Champions League
9 Jul 2025 - Champions League
10 May 2025 - Premier League, Championship Round
5 May 2025 - Premier League, Championship Round
FK RFS vs Hamrun Spartans Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
FK RFS - Hamrun Spartans Key Points
- In seven of their last nine matches in UEFA competitions, RFS saw exactly one goal scored.
- Hamrun failed to score in three of their latest four away matches in UEFA competitions.
- Hamrun lost four of their latest six matches, winning and drawing just once.
- RFS won two of their last four home matches in UEFA competitions.
- Hamrun lost five of their six latest fixtures in UEFA competitions.
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Our FK RFS vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction
The 1-0 win in the first leg gives Hamrun a great chance to upset the odds, although it’s still a tricky lead and not a decisive one. RFS have enjoyed turning things around in home legs in Europe, and this match could follow the same pattern. Quite interestingly, RFS have been alternating wins and losses in their last ten matches and are unlikely to drop their guard.
This could be a tight win for the home team, and our FK RFS vs Hamrun Spartans prediction is RFS win and under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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