Europe - Conference League
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by Ian John in Conference League Predictions
There is key Europa Conference League Playoffs Second Leg action in Latvia this week as FC Riga face off against Sparta Prague with the Czech visitors leading 2-0 from the first leg match in Czechia last week. Adrian Gul'a's hosts Riga will need to mount a big comeback against Brian Priske's Iron Sparta in front of their home fans. A place in the draw for the League stage of the competition awaits the winner, and our considered prediction for this crucial match for both teams is outlined in more detail below.
To reach this stage of the competition, FC Riga beat Dila 5-4 on aggregate in the Second Qualifying round, winning 2-1 at home before drawing 3-3 away. They then beat Beitar Jerusalem 3-0 at home, before losing 3-1 away to progress 4-3 in the Third Qualifying Round. They lost the first leg in Prague 2-0, but domestically have lost just one game the entire season and are top of the table in Latvia.
Sparta Prague sole defeat so far this season came in the Second Qualifying round First Leg away to FC Aktobe, where they lost 2-1 before winning the home leg 4-0 to progress 5-2 on aggregate. In the Third Qualifying round, Ararat-Armenia were well beaten 4-1 and 2-1 for a 6-2 aggregate victory before the 2-0 home win over FC Riga last week. Domestically, Sparta are top of the table with five wins and a draw from six Czech First League matches. They beat Dukla Prague 3-2 ahead of this fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Riga FC v Sparta Prague Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.75 | 4 | 1.67 |
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3.75 | 4.2 | 1.73 |
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4 | 3.9 | 1.73 |
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3.75 | 3.8 | 1.78 |
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3.83 | 3.97 | 1.8 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Riga FC and Sparta Prague?
Our prediction for the Riga FC vs Sparta Prague match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2025 between Riga FC and Sparta Prague in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.9% for a win of Riga FC against Sparta Prague with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Riga FC vs Sparta Prague is 9.47% with odds of 4.2 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Sparta Prague vs Riga FC with odds of 1.8 at Vbet.
Riga FC vs Sparta Prague Form
Riga FC and Sparta Prague Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Cup
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Cup
10 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
27 Jul 2025 - Virsliga
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
12 Jul 2025 - Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Virsliga
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
19 Jul 2025 - Virsliga
27 Jun 2025 - Virsliga

6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
17 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
27 Jul 2025 - Chance Liga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Chance Liga
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
19 Jul 2025 - Chance Liga
18 May 2025 - Chance Liga
Riga FC vs Sparta Prague Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
Most goals and assists




Riga FC - Sparta Prague Key Points
- Four of FC Riga's five Conference League qualifiers have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Seven of Sparta's last ten games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- FC Riga have scored 24 goals in their last six home games.
- Sparta Prague have scored 12 goals in their last four Conference League qualifier matches.
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Our Riga FC vs Sparta Prague Prediction
Our prediction for the FC Riga vs. Sparta Prague Europa Conference League Playoff second leg is: Over 2.5 Goals.
The maths for FC Riga in this game is simple: they need to score three goals and not concede to win the game. That looks a tall order against a good Sparta side who themselves do score plenty of goals. With both teams amongst the goals, but not particularly solid defensively, a high-scoring second leg looks likely in Latvia, hence we're opting for the Over 2.5 Goals option for this game.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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