Rennes vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Rennes and Metz will be putting on the line their contrasting ambitions when they clash in Ligue 1 this Sunday. Seventh placed Rennes play host seeking points to get into the top six as bottom placed Metz battle for survival. Let’s have a look at the prediction ahead of the match.
Rennes will be ken on bouncing back after their four-game winning run was brought to a halt last week. Les Rouge et Noirs were handed a 2-1 defeat at Lille, their seventh loss leaving them outside the top six by goal difference.
At 43 points and with eight straight wins against Metz, the hosts will sure be expected to step up.
Metz have had a torrid return to Ligue 1 and come here only targeting their fourth league win of the season. One win in their last 10 meetings with Rennes means this will be a tall order for the visitors.
They are fresh from a 4-3 home loss against Toulouse a match they should have won at least a point from. Les Grenats conceded in stoppage time when they had looked likely to claim a 3-3 draw.
Their fifth straight defeat left them 14 points adrift of safety and it seems almost certain they will be dropping to Ligue 2.
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Rennes v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.32 | 6 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.45 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.45 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.4 | 9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Metz?
Our prediction for the Rennes vs Metz match is: Rennes to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between Rennes and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.86% for a win of Rennes against Metz with odds of 1.36 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rennes vs Metz is 13.42% with odds of 6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Rennes with odds of 9.85 at 888Starz.
Rennes - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rennes Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes wins | 67.86% | 1.36 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.49% | 1.57 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Rennes/Rennes | 36.17% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Rennes vs Metz Form
Rennes and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Rennes and Metz Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
Rennes vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2021 - Ligue 1
Rennes against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Silistrie
DefenderA. Seidu
M. Nagida
A. Ait Boudlal
MidfielderD. Cisse
G. Kamara
ForwardY. Zabiri
M. Altamari
B. Embolo
J. Fischer
O. Ba
DefenderF. Ballo-Toure
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
U. Mboula
B. Munongo
N. Mbala
L. Michal
G. Kvilitaia
Missing players
N. Mukiele
C. Melieres
ForwardG. Hein
J. Mangondo
Most goals and assists
Rennes
Metz
E. Lepaul
(21 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
M. Altamari
(6 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Rennes - Metz Key Points
- Rennes posted four wins in their last five matches.
- Metz are winless in their last 11 matches, losing nine.
- In five of Metz’s last seven matches, they failed to score.
- In three of their last four matches, Rennes kept clean sheets.
- In the last eight meetings between these sides, Rennes posted straight wins.
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Our Rennes vs Metz Prediction
Rennes will go into this game as clear favorites, and their ambition to get into the European football slots will definitely gain some steps here. The hosts have dominated this clash, winning each of the last eight meetings.
Going by their recent form as well as Metz’s struggles, it will be a massive shocker if this doesn’t go the home team’s way. Additionally, Metz have had their troubles in attack, failing to score in five of their last seven matches. With that, our prediction for Rennes v Metz is for Rennes to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rennes Metz
| Rennes vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes wins | 1.39 | 1.36 | -2.2% |
| Draw | 5.43 | 6 | +10.5% |
| Metz wins | 8.8 | 9.85 | +11.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rennes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.9% and is now 73.5% (1.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
