Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - Adelaide International
ATP - Adelaide International
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Second seed Tommy Paul has no seeded players between himself and the semi-finals of the Adelaide International. In the last 16 he faces fellow American Reilly Opelka. Expect some heavy serves here. Read our match prediction below.
In the quarter-finals, the winner will face either Aleksandar Vukic or Andrea Vavassori, both being qualifiers.
Tommy Paul is yet to win a match in 2026. He was beaten in Brisbane by Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. The match went to three sets with two decided via a tie-break. Betting on sets going the distance in this outdoor hard court match looks to be a good idea.
Paul is 21st in the live rankings but has been as high as eighth this time last year. He won 13 of his 19 matches played on this surface last year.
That included reaching the semi-finals of the 2025 Adelaide International.
Reilly Opelka defeated Alexei Popyrin in straight sets in round one. Last week saw him reach the second round in Brisbane but lost to Kamil Machrzak with all three sets going to a tie-break. It's 1-1 in previous meetings between these two players.
Paul won the most recent one played last year on an indoor hard court in Dallas.
We tip more than 22.5 games in this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Reilly Opelka v Tommy Paul Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 1.53 |
|
|
2.43 | 1.56 |
|
|
2.36 | 1.54 |
|
|
2.37 | 1.54 |
|
|
2.35 | 1.59 |
|
Who will win the Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul match is: more than 22.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul game on 13/01/2026 of the current Adelaide International season:
- Reilly Opelka has a 42.52% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
- Tommy Paul has a 57.48% probability of winning facing Reilly Opelka ⭐ with odds of 1.59 at 888Starz.
Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Reilly Opelka has a 42.52 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Reilly Opelka | 42.52 % |
| Tommy Paul | 57.48 % |
Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul Form
Reilly Opelka and Tommy Paul Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
7 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
3 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
25 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
7 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul Key Points
- More than 22.5 games were played in three of Paul's last four best-of-three sets matches.
- Our prediction would be helped by a 7-5 or 7-6 set. Paul has played nine in his last three matches.
- 11 of Opelka's last 18 matches have seen more than 22.5 games played.
- Opeka has played at least one 7-5 or 7-6 sets in six of his last eight matches, including one that saw three tie-breaks.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
Our Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Tommy Paul is playing only his second tournament since last year's US Open in August. He is still waiting for his first win of the year and will have to cope with the hard-hitting serves of his opponent.
Paul is also difficult to break and long sets are likely in this match. Reilly Opelka had a good win in round one against Alexei Popyrin and this will be difficult for his opponent. Our Reilly Opelka v Tommy Paul prediction is more than 22.5 games.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Reilly Opelka vs. Tommy Paul game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Reilly Opelka and Tommy Paul when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Adelaide International!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
