Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction & Betting Tips - Adelaide International
ATP - Adelaide International
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Two unseeded players meet in round one of the Adelaide International. Reilly Opelka takes on Australian Alexei Popyrin with the winner facing second seed Tommy Paul in round two. Read our match prediction below.
Reilly Opelka was 60th in the last ranking list. This is the second tournament of the year for the American. He played in Brisbane last week (a tournament he was the runner-up in last year) and was beaten in the second round by Kamil Machrzak in three sets.
Each set was decided by a tie-break. Opelka is renowned for his heavy serve and a side-bet on each set going to 7-5 or 7-6 may well produce a profit. The 28-year-old lost his only previous match against Popyrin but that was played five years ago.
Alexei Popyrin also played in Brisbane but lost in his first round match in three sets to Quentin Halys, his sixth successive loss.. Popyrin was ten places above Opelka in the last ranking list. He's playing in this tournament for the first time since 2023 when reaching the last eight.
2025 saw him reach three quarter-finals, two on clay. His best run in an outdoor hard court tournament was in Toronto where he had wins over Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune. We tip more than 23.5 games to be played.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Reilly Opelka v Alexei Popyrin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2 | 1.8 |
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1.99 | 1.81 |
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1.96 | 1.77 |
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1.97 | 1.78 |
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1.99 | 1.81 |
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Who will win the Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin match is: more than 23.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin game on 11/01/2026 of the current Adelaide International season:
- Reilly Opelka has a 59.13% chance to win against Alexei Popyrin according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.02.
- Alexei Popyrin has a 40.87% probability of winning facing Reilly Opelka ⭐ with odds of 1.85 at LSbet.
Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Reilly Opelka has a 59.13 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Reilly Opelka | 59.13 % |
| Alexei Popyrin | 40.87 % |
Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin Form
Reilly Opelka and Alexei Popyrin Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
3 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
25 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
2 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
13 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Reilly Opelka - Alexei Popyrin Key Points
- The last match played by Opelka saw three tie-breaks played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction, Opelka has played at least one in 23 of his last 28 matches.
- Six of the last eight best-of-three sets matches played by Popyrin have had more than 23.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set has been played in seven of the last ten matches Popyrin has played.
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Our Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction
These two players are rarely involved in short matches. Both have heavy serves and that means plenty of 7-5 or 7-6 sets are played in their matches. For Opelka, his last match went to three sets and each was decided via a tie-break.
Alexei Popyrin struggled at the end of last year and lost his first match of 2026. He will want to get some wins under his belt before the Australian Open. Our Reilly Opelka v Alexei Popyrin prediction is more than 23.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
