Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
17/05/2026 13:00
Valencia

Prediction :

 

Draw or Valencia

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in LaLiga Predictions

11th-place Valencia will be out to strengthen their chances of beating the drop when they travel north-west to face eighth-place Real Sociedad in La Liga Matchday 37 clash on Sunday. The Black and Whites are just two points behind La Real and four clear of the relegation zone with two games left. They have avoided defeat in three of their last four away matches, while Real Sociedad have picked up just four points from their last six La Liga outings, hence our prediction in favour of the away side. 

Real Sociedad’s underwhelming performances of late continued in their last outing against Girona on Thursday, as they settled for a 1–1 draw. Thursday's stalemate made it six straight La Liga matches for Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side without a win (D4, L2). That run includes three consecutive home matches without victory.

Valencia picked up a crucial one point following a dramatic 1–1 draw with Rayo Vallecano on Thursday, thanks to Diego Lopez’s 40th-minute equaliser. That result saw them secure a four-point cushion above the drop zone, strengthening their survival hopes.

Blanquinegros have avoided defeat in three of their last four La Liga away matches and picked up results in four of their last five fixtures overall. They are unbeaten in their last two meetings with Real Sociedad.

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Real Sociedad v Valencia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.28 3.4 3.25
Melbet
2.26 3.32 3.22
Betwinner
2.25 3.32 3.24
Bet365
2.25 3.2 3.3
Roobet
2.24 3.3 3.15
Check all Real Sociedad vs Valencia odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Valencia?

Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Valencia match is: Draw or Valencia.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Real Sociedad and Valencia in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.16% for a win of Real Sociedad against Valencia with odds of 2.33 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Valencia is 27.65% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Real Sociedad with odds of 3.38 at 888Starz.

Real Sociedad - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Sociedad Valencia Prediction Probability Odds
Real Sociedad wins 46.16% 2.33 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 64.46% 2 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 57.92%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad 20.22% 5.75 at LSbet

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Form

Real Sociedad and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Valencia
49 38 13 10 15 -9
10 Real Sociedad
46 38 11 13 14 -2

Real Sociedad and Valencia Last Matches

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Last matches
D L D L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Betis

4 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Sociedad

22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Getafe

18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Real Sociedad
W W W D L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Betis

22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Getafe

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Alavés

4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Levante

15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Osasuna

4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
L L D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

4 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Sociedad

18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Valencia Last matches
L D W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Valencia

2 May 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Girona

21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  1
Valencia

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  0
Valencia
W W L W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

2 May 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Girona

5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  3
Celta Vigo

8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
3 :  2
Alavés

1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Osasuna
L L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Valencia

21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  1
Valencia

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  0
Valencia

21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Valencia

14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Valencia

22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Valencia

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Sociedad

50 %

Draw

17 %

Valencia

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

28 Sept 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Valencia

16 May 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Valencia

27 Sept 2023 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

25 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction

Real Sociedad against Valencia Lineups: Starting 11

Real Sociedad

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
A. Remiro
6
A. Elustondo
31
J. Martin
5
I. Zubeldia
3
A. Munoz
15
P. Marin
18
C. Soler
8
B. Turrientes
21
A. Zakharyan
23
B. Mendez
9
O. Oskarsson
9
H. Duro
11
L. Rioja
8
J. Guerra
16
D. Lopez
2
G. Rodriguez
23
F. Ugrinic
21
J. Vazquez
24
E. Coemert
5
C. Tarrega
4
U. Nunez
1
S. Dimitrievski

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Valencia

Substitutes

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper

U. Marrero

Defender

J. Aramburu

A. Elustondo 83'

L. Beitia

Midfielder

T. Kubo

L. Sucic

B. Mendez 58'

I. Basurco

Wesley

Y. Herrera

Forward

G. Carrera

S. Gomez

A. Munoz 57'

M. Oyarzabal

A. Zakharyan 57'

G. Guedes

O. Oskarsson 78'

Valencia
Valencia
Goalkeeper

J. Agirrezabala

Defender

R. Iranzo

M. Navarro

T. Correia

F. Ugrinic 73'

Midfielder

A. Almeida

U. Nunez 83'

Pepelu

D. Lopez 76'

B. Santamaria

Forward

D. Raba

L. Ramazani

L. Rioja 74'

D. Otorbi

U. Sadiq

H. Duro 73'

A. Danjuma

Missing players

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

A. Odriozola

Midfielder

J. Gorrotxategi

Forward

A. Barrenetxea

Valencia
Valencia
Defender

D. Foulquier

J. Gaya

M. Diakhaby

J. Copete

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Sociedad
CD Huachipato Valencia
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Oyarzabal (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain H. Duro (10 Goals)
Best assists
Spain S. Gomez (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain L. Rioja (6 Assists)
Spain J. Guerra Moreno (6 Assists)

Real Sociedad - Valencia Key Points

  1. Real Sociedad are winless in their last six La Liga matches.
  2. La Real are winless in their last three home matches.
  3. Valencia are unbeaten in four of their last five matches.
  4. Blanquinegros have avoided defeat in three of their last four away matches.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction

We expect a keen contest as both teams lock horns with just two points separating them in the standings. Valencia have stepped up their game recently as the relegation battle intensifies and will look to boost their survival chances with another strong performance on Sunday.

Real Sociedad have struggled for results at home of late and come into this clash riding a six-match winless run in the Spanish top flight. Our Real Sociedad vs Valencia prediction: Draw or Valencia.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Valencia

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Valencia

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Real Sociedad wins 2.04 2.33 +14.2%
Draw 3.72 3.5 -5.9%
Valencia wins 3.93 3.38 -14.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Real Sociedad is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 14.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 49.0% and is now 42.9% (-6.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.