Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Sociedad welcome Osasuna this weekend as they seek to strengthen their European hopes in the Spanish La Liga. Only one point separates the two teams after 27 rounds of play. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Sociedad are coming off a disheartening defeat against Atletico. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s men travelled to the Rojiblancos having not lost in three games and with back-to-back wins.
They, however, were unable to extend the streak, ending up on the wrong side of a five-goal thriller. Fortunately, they did not lose further ground in the race for a top-six finish, as the leading pack also lost in the round.
La Real, who’ve defeated Osasuna both times so far this term, have accumulated 35 points, five off the top six.
Osasuna haven’t won in two outings. They drew with Mallorca 2-2 last time out, with the result coming after they had lost 1-0 to Valencia. Los Rojillos have racked up 34 points thanks to nine wins and seven draws.
Alessio Lisci’s men have conceded six goals in their two meetings with Sociedad this season. They lost the reverse league match 3-1 and then lost a five-goal thriller in the Copa, the last time they were at San Sebastian.
Osasuna had gone six matches without a loss before this current slump and had won four of those fixtures.
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Real Sociedad v Osasuna Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.92 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.54 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.54 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Osasuna?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Osasuna match is: Real Sociedad wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Real Sociedad and Osasuna in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.76% for a win of Real Sociedad against Osasuna with odds of 1.95 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Osasuna is 30.68% with odds of 3.68 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Osasuna vs Real Sociedad with odds of 4.32 at 888Starz.
Real Sociedad - Osasuna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Sociedad Osasuna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 47.76% | 1.95 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.3% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.42% | |
| Half-time: Osasuna / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 16.71% | 25 at LSbet |
Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Form
Real Sociedad and Osasuna's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
|
17
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 |
Real Sociedad and Osasuna Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad against Osasuna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
U. Marrero
T. Folgado
A. Fraga
DefenderA. Elustondo
MidfielderL. Sucic
A. Zakharyan
P. Marin
Wesley
J. Gorrotxategi
Y. Herrera
O. Oskarsson
J. Karrikaburu
A. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Herrando
J. Cruz
MidfielderA. Osambela
A. Bretones
I. Munoz
M. Gomez
I. Arguibide
K. Barja
Missing players
A. Odriozola
A. Munoz
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderT. Kubo
R. Garcia
R. Garcia
I. Benito
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
M. Oyarzabal
(15 Goals)
A. Budimir
(17 Goals)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
R. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Real Sociedad - Osasuna Key Points
- Sociedad have won the last three meetings with Osasuna.
- Osasuna are winless in the last two away matches against Real Sociedad.
- Sociedad haven’t lost any of their last seven games at home, winning four.
- Osasuna have failed to win five of their last eight away matches, losing four times.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction
Our prediction for Real Sociedad v Osasuna is that Real Sociedad wins. As the two teams seek to return to winning ways and boost their European chances, we can expect an exciting battle at San Sebastian. At the end of the game, though, we feel it is Real who will walk away with the three points.
The hosts have won twice this season in this fixture, and in each game, they have scored three goals. Sociedad have been in terrific form at home and haven’t lost against any of their last seven visitors. Osasuna, on the other hand, have struggled on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Osasuna
| Real Sociedad vs Osasuna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 1.98 | 1.95 | -1.5% |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.68 | +2.8% |
| Osasuna wins | 4.32 | 4.32 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.5% and is now 51.3% (0.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
