Real Sociedad vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Sociedad, chasing a place in Europe, are set to take on struggling Alaves in their next La Liga match. The Saturday match finds Sociedad seventh, three points below the top six, while Alaves are 15th. Read on for our prediction.
Nine points separate these two sides, Real Sociedad starting the round on 41 points after their 2-0 win over Levante. Erreala haven't won consecutive league matches since January when they won three back-to-back.
They will hope to break that run, but this isn’t a game they’ve won a lot lately. They did beat Alaves in the Copa del Rey recently, but that was after losing three straight times.
In their last visit to Real Sociedad, Alaves pulled a 2-1 win. They also won the reverse fixture 1-0 before falling 3-2 to Sociedad in the Copa in February.
The two go into their third meeting of the season with Alaves unbeaten in their last three matches. Two of those were drawn, with the latest a 2-2 outcome at home to Osasuna.
This run has moved El Glorioso to 32 points, three above the relegation zone. While they’ve done well in this fixture, Alaves have struggled a bit lately, winning once in their last eight league games (4D, 3L).
They also haven't kept a clean sheet in the last 10 away league matches, conceding 2+ in seven.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Real Sociedad v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.77 | 3.85 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.78 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.78 | 4.78 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.75 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Alavés match is: Real Sociedad wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Real Sociedad and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.65% for a win of Real Sociedad against Alavés with odds of 1.79 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Alavés is 22.04% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Real Sociedad with odds of 4.93 at 888Starz.
Real Sociedad - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Sociedad Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 54.65% | 1.79 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.32% | 2 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 67.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 24.12% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Real Sociedad vs Alavés Form
Real Sociedad and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Real Sociedad and Alavés Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
U. Marrero
A. Fraga
DefenderA. Munoz
L. Beitia
I. Basurco
A. Zakharyan
P. Marin
Wesley
T. Kubo
J. Karrikaburu
G. Guedes
M. Oyarzabal
G. Swiderski
R. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Pacheco
V. Koski
Y. Enriquez
E. Munoz
MidfielderA. Guevara
Calebe
C. Alena
D. Suarez
M. Diaz
L. Boye
Missing players
A. Odriozola
J. Martin
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderI. Zubeldia
Y. Herrera
J. Gorrotxategi
F. Garces
MidfielderC. Benavidez
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
Alavés
M. Oyarzabal
(15 Goals)
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
Real Sociedad - Alavés Key Points
- Alaves lost seven times in the last 10 away league matches.
- At home, Sociedad are unbeaten in nine games, winning six.
- Real Sociedad won seven times in the last 12 league matches.
- In their last eight league games, Alaves managed one win and lost three.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Alavés Prediction
Deportivo Alaves have in their recent four meetings with Real Sociedad claimed three wins. They will be gunning for an extension of the same here, but their recent form dictates this may go otherwise. The visitors have only managed one win in their last nine matches in all competitions.
Seven of their last 10 league games on the road ended in defeat while they meet up with a side unbeaten in nine at home. Sociedad have won six of the last nine games they hosted. Our prediction for Real Sociedad v Alaves is that Real Sociedad wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Alavés
| Real Sociedad vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 1.85 | 1.79 | -3.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
| Alavés wins | 5.04 | 4.93 | -2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 55.9% (1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
