Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
23/11/2025 08:00
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction :

 

Rayo Vallecano wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

Two sides with really contrasting starts to the season, Real Oviedo and Rayo Vallecano, face off when La Liga action returns. The hosts in this fixture, Real Oviedo, start the weekend placed at the bottom, while Rayo, 12th, are just three points off the European football slots. We have a prediction for the match below.

Real Oviedo haven't had their desired welcome back into the topflight. Their two wins so far haven't been enough to lift them off the foot of the table.

They are paying the price more for not scoring a lot. Luis Carrion’s charges are the lowest scorers with seven goals but are only two points away from safety. Failure to score in the last three home matches has added to Oviedo’s woes.

Just as Oviedo are desperate to rise from the bottom three, Rayo are looking to bounce into the European football positions. The visitors have been inconsistent this season, but their last five outings have been quite solid.

They once again put up an impressive show in the Madrid derby to hold league leaders Real Madrid to a 0-0 draw. With that, they headed into the international break on a high and will be looking to pick it up from there.

Rayo have only lost once in the last nine matches, winning six times as they prepare to meet Oviedo for the first time in four years.

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Real Oviedo v Rayo Vallecano Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.55 3.3 2.25
Melbet
3.56 3.19 2.18
Betwinner
3.56 3.19 2.18
Bet365
3.5 3.2 2.2
Roobet
3.4 3.15 2.2
Check all Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Real Oviedo and Rayo Vallecano?

Our prediction for the Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Rayo Vallecano wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2025 between Real Oviedo and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.67% for a win of Real Oviedo against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano is 21.34% with odds of 3.33 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 55.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo with odds of 2.29 at 888Starz.

Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Oviedo Rayo Vallecano Prediction Probability Odds
Rayo Vallecano wins 55.99% 2.29 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 55.58% 2.28 at Melbet
Both Team To Score: No 64.29%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano 23.19% 5.5 at Bet365

Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Form

Real Oviedo and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Rayo Vallecano
50 38 12 14 12 -3
20 Real Oviedo
29 38 6 11 21 -34

Real Oviedo and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo Last matches
L L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Real Oviedo

3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Osasuna

28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
4 :  2
Real Oviedo

25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

17 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  2
Espanyol

4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  2
Levante
L W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Osasuna

17 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  2
Espanyol

4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  2
Levante

25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  3
Barcelona

30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  3
Real Madrid
L L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Real Oviedo

28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
4 :  2
Real Oviedo

25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

30 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Oviedo

21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  0
Real Oviedo

13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
2 :  0
Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Last matches
D W W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
KKS Lech Poznan

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Yuncos
1 :  6
Rayo Vallecano

26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Alavés

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

BK Häcken
2 :  2
Rayo Vallecano
D L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
KKS Lech Poznan

26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Alavés

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Shkendija

28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Sevilla

21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Celta Vigo
L W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Yuncos
1 :  6
Rayo Vallecano

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

BK Häcken
2 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Real Oviedo against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11

Real Oviedo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
A. Escandell
22
N. Vidal
4
D. Costas
12
D. Calvo
25
J. Lopez
20
L. Dendoncker
11
S. Colombatto
9
F. Vinas
8
S. Cazorla
7
I. Chaira
23
S. Rondon
10
S. Camello
18
A. Garcia
7
I. Palazon
19
J. De Frutos
23
O. Valentin
17
U. Lopez
3
P. Chavarria
32
N. Mendy
24
F. Lejeune
2
A. Ratiu
13
A. Batalla

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

Substitutes

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo
Goalkeeper

H. Moldovan

Defender

L. Ahijado

E. Bailly

O. Luengo

A. Alhassane Bonkano

J. Lopez 46'

Midfielder

K. Sibo

L. Ilic

Agudin

S. Rondon 61'

Forward

A. Reina Campos

L. Dendoncker 79'

A. Fores

F. Vinas 85'

J. Brekalo

H. Hassan

S. Cazorla 61'

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

D. Cardenas

A. Molina

Defender

L. Felipe

I. Balliu

J. Vertrouwd

Midfielder

F. Perez

I. Palazon 85'

P. Ciss

N. Mendy 57'

S. Gomez

G. Gumbau

O. Valentin 85'

Forward

Alemao

S. Camello 70'

O. Trejo

Missing players

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo
Forward

O. Ejaria

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Defender

A. Espino

A. Mumin

Midfielder

P. Díaz

D. Mendez

Forward

R. Nteka

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Oviedo
CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay F. Vinas (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. De Frutos (10 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Fernandez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (5 Assists)

Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano Key Points

  1. Rayo Vallecano have posted six wins in their last nine matches.
  2. Rayo Vallecano only lost once in their last five away matches.
  3. Real Oviedo lost six times in their last 10 matches.
  4. In their last three home matches, Oviedo failed to score.
  5. Oviedo managed just one win in their six home games so far.
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Our Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Rayo Vallecano have lost a little bit of touch with the sides fighting for European slots. This is the kind of match that they’ll look at and feel they can draw three points from to help with their continental ambitions. They have six wins in their last nine matches across all competitions.

That run should lift them against a side without a goal in the last three home outings. Oviedo have also attempted fewer shots than any other side in La Liga. Our prediction for Real Oviedo v Rayo Vallecano is that Rayo Vallecano wins.

Prediction :

 

Rayo Vallecano wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Oviedo Rayo Vallecano

Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Real Oviedo wins 3.2 3.6 +12.5%
Draw 3.1 3.33 +7.4%
Rayo Vallecano wins 2.3 2.29 -0.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 43.7% (0.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction