Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Oviedo have a chance to post back-to-back home wins when they welcome Athletic Bilbao to Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Heading into the weekend, Oviedo sit rock bottom, while Athletic Bilbao are 10th. Both sides are coming off league wins, so let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Oviedo posted only their third league victory of the season last time out, beating Girona 1-0. That couldn’t, however, move them from the basement, but a Sunday win might.
They are two points below the side ahead of them and seven adrift of safety. History would also have a stopover for Oviedo, as they have beaten Athletic in La Liga more than they have any other opponent - 27 times.
Athletic Bilbao will not only be going for a second straight win in La Liga, but they are also eyeing a league double against Oviedo. In the reverse meeting, Athletic posted a 1-0 win at home.
Heading into this game, however, they suffered defeat in the Copa del Rey. Hosting the first leg of their semi-final meeting, they fell 1-0 at home to Real Sociedad.
That ended a three-match unbeaten run for the visitors, and it was a seventh winless outing for them in 10 matches. On the road, Los Leones have also managed three wins in 10.
Sitting just six points above the relegation zone should be a genuine concern.
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Real Oviedo v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.1 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.56 | 3.02 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.82 | 2.46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Oviedo and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Real Oviedo and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.9% for a win of Real Oviedo against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.7 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao is 34.53% with odds of 3.15 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Real Oviedo with odds of 2.5 at Shangrila.
Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Oviedo Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 38.57% | 2.5 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 2.13 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 25.47% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Real Oviedo and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
|
20
|
29 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 |
Real Oviedo and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Real Oviedo against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
H. Moldovan
DefenderR. Alhassane
D. Calvo
L. Ahijado
Agudin
N. Fonseca
L. Ilic
S. Cazorla
L. Dendoncker
ForwardT. Borbas
T. Fernandez
A. Fores
A. Padilla
DefenderJ. Areso
A. Boiro
I. Monreal
I. Lekue
MidfielderU. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
S. Sanchez
M. Vesga
R. Navarro
U. Izeta
Missing players
D. Costas
Y. Alvarez
D. Vivian
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardA. Berenguer
M. Sannadi
Most goals and assists
Real Oviedo
Athletic Bilbao
F. Vinas
(9 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
T. Fernandez
(4 Assists)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Athletic are winless in four away league matches.
- Oviedo drew five of their last six home league games.
- In their last 10 La Liga matches, Real Oviedo drew half.
- Athletic failed to win seven of their last 10 away matches.
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Our Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Real Oviedo carry into this encounter a six-game unbeaten home run. The latest of them was a slim win over Girona, but they had drawn in each of the preceding five. Out of their last 16 matches, Real Oviedo have managed just one win.
This could look like an easy outing for Athletic, but they too aren’t on a really good run. Across their last 10 matches, they managed just three wins. This poor run could extend as they meet an Oviedo side proving hard to beat at home. Our prediction for Real Oviedo v Athletic Bilbao is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Oviedo Athletic Bilbao
| Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo wins | 3.9 | 3.7 | -5.1% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.15 | -6.0% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.05 | 2.5 | +22.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 40.0% (-8.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
