Real Oviedo vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
17/05/2026 13:00
Alavés

Prediction :

 

Alaves score between one and two goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in LaLiga Predictions

Alaves have their survival hopes on the line, traveling to face already-relegated Real Oviedo in La Liga Matchday 37 fixture on Sunday. Babazorros sit just one point above the relegation zone and will look to strengthen their survival bid with victory over Oviedistas. They have found the net in their last 10 matches and averaged 2.2 goals per game in their last five away outings, informing our goal prediction here for the away side. 

Alaves received a significant psychological boost in their push to survive relegation with a shock 1–0 home victory over runaway champions Barcelona on Wednesday. That victory saw them climb out of the relegation zone to 16th in the standings with 40 points, one point above the bottom three. 

The Blue-and-Whites head into this clash in decent goalscoring form, averaging 2.2 goals per contest across their last five away matches. They have also found the net in each of their last 10 matches, scoring between one and two goals in eight of those. 

Real Oviedo became the first of the three teams to be confirmed relegated from the Spanish top flight this season after losing 2–0 to Real Madrid on Thursday. They are now winless in their last five matches, conceding in four of those. They drew 1–1 with Alaves in the reverse fixture earlier this season.

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Real Oviedo v Alavés Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.95 3.35 2.04
Melbet
3.96 3.34 2
Betwinner
3.9 3.36 2
Bet365
4.1 3.4 1.95
Roobet
3.85 3.3 1.99
Check all Real Oviedo vs Alavés odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Oviedo and Alavés?

Our prediction for the Real Oviedo vs Alavés match is: Alaves score between one and two goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Real Oviedo and Alavés in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.21% for a win of Real Oviedo against Alavés with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Oviedo vs Alavés is 30.47% with odds of 3.65 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Real Oviedo with odds of 2.07 at 888Starz.

Real Oviedo - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:

Real Oviedo Alavés Prediction Probability Odds
Alavés wins 36.32% 2.07 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 53.36% 2.29 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 60.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Alavés 14.07% 5.25 at LSbet

Real Oviedo vs Alavés Form

Real Oviedo and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 Alavés
43 38 11 10 17 -12
20 Real Oviedo
29 38 6 11 21 -34

Real Oviedo and Alavés Last Matches

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo Last matches
W D L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Getafe

3 May 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  2
Elche

23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  1
Villarreal

12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  3
Real Oviedo
L W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  0
Getafe

26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  2
Elche

23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  1
Villarreal

5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Sevilla

14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Valencia

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid
L D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

3 May 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  3
Real Oviedo

21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
4 :  2
Real Oviedo

9 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Real Oviedo

4 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Real Oviedo
Alavés
Alavés Last matches
D L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Barcelona

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  1
Alavés

2 May 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  4
Athletic Bilbao

25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  1
Mallorca

21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Alavés
D D D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Barcelona

2 May 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  4
Athletic Bilbao

25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  1
Mallorca

5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Osasuna

13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Villarreal

23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Girona
L L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  1
Alavés

21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Alavés

22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
3 :  4
Alavés

8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
3 :  2
Alavés

27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
2 :  0
Alavés

Real Oviedo vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Oviedo

0 %

Draw

50 %

Alavés

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Real Oviedo

29 Oct 2022 - LaLiga 2

Alavés
2 :  1
Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo vs Alavés Prediction

Real Oviedo against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11

Real Oviedo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
H. Moldovan
24
L. Ahijado
4
D. Costas
12
D. Calvo
25
J. Lopez
23
N. Fonseca
11
S. Colombatto
5
A. Reina
8
S. Cazorla
10
H. Hassan
9
F. Vinas
11
T. Martinez
22
I. Diabate
21
A. Rebbach
18
J. Guridi
8
A. Blanco
4
D. Suarez
24
V. Parada
16
V. Koski
14
N. Tenaglia
7
A. Perez
1
A. Sivera

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Alavés

Substitutes

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo
Goalkeeper

M. Narvaez

A. Escandell

Defender

E. Bailly

N. Vidal

L. Ahijado 85'

D. Carmo

R. Alhassane

Midfielder

L. Ilic

K. Sibo

Forward

I. Chaira

S. Colombatto 66'

T. Borbas

H. Hassan 79'

A. Fores

F. Vinas 79'

T. Fernandez

N. Fonseca 46'

Alavés
Alavés
Goalkeeper

R. Fernandez

Defender

J. Pacheco

J. Otto

Y. Enriquez

A. Rebbach 46'

Midfielder

Calebe

A. Guevara

C. Protesoni

J. Guridi 87'

P. Ibanez

D. Suarez 69'

C. Alena

Forward

A. Manas

I. Diabate 69'

L. Boye

T. Martinez 82'

M. Diaz

Missing players

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo
Midfielder

B. Domingues

Alavés
Alavés

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Oviedo
CD Huachipato Alavés
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay F. Vinas (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain T. Martinez (14 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Fernandez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Spain C. Alena (4 Assists)
Algeria A. Rebbach (4 Assists)
Spain A. Perez (4 Assists)

Real Oviedo - Alavés Key Points

  1. Real Oviedo have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five matches.
  2. Oviedistas have conceded between one and two goals in three of their last five matches.
  3. Alaves have scored in their last five away matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
  4. Alaves have scored in their last 10 matches, netting between one and two goals in eight of those.
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Our Real Oviedo vs Alavés Prediction

Alaves have improved significantly in recent weeks amid the fierce relegation battle. Their impressive goal-scoring record is also worth noting with Babazorros finding the net in their last 10 matches. 

Meanwhile, Real Oviedo have only their pride on the line heading into Sunday's clash, having been confirmed relegated to the second division. They have struggled defensively from late and are likely to concede against a free-scoring Alaves. Our Real Oviedo vs Alaves prediction : Alaves score between one and two goals.

Prediction :

 

Alaves score between one and two goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Oviedo Alavés

Real Oviedo vs Alavés Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Real Oviedo wins 3.9 4.1 +5.1%
Draw 3.6 3.65 +1.4%
Alavés wins 1.85 2.07 +11.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Alavés is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 11.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 48.3% (-5.7%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.